re: How much better off we would all be if the South had been permitted to secede

What would have been best for all would have been the adoption of the Corwin Amendment as the 13th Amendment to the Constitution.

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No amendment shall be made to the Constitution which will authorize or give to Congress the power to abolish or interfere, within any State, with the domestic institutions thereof, including that of persons held to labor or service by the laws of said State.

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Not only would the cotton states not have worried about having northern abolitionists gaining enough strength in Congress to outlaw slavery, you would have Constitutionally enshrined states rights as the law of the land.

Slavery ends in its own time with a much more peaceful and equitable transition for slaves and their descendants into society or they are resettled to Africa or their own area of the west. On top of that, the federal government remains what the founders envision, a bottom up grant of power that represents the desires of the individual states and not an imperial juggernaut that controls everything in a top down manner.

Bonus, the professional politician, at least at the federal level,, never comes into being.

The westward push would have been so different with 2 countries headed westward.
It would have led to two weaker nations.
We wouldn't have saved Europe from world wars. What if all of western Europe was Germany. Japan would own most of Asia.
Eventually slavery would have ended; what if it was by revolt like in Haiti? If that had happened, we may have had a white north USA and a black South.

No guarantee that the CSA could have actually formed a stable government with a standing army. Keep in mind, Lee lead the Army of Virginia, not the Army of the CSA. We are stronger as the USA .

nothing says freedom like slavery

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We’d be infinitely worse. The United States would’ve been a whole Europe of countries.

With the power vacuum you’d undoubtedly see Japan and Germany as the two major superpowers in the world. The Soviet Union wouldn’t have been able to defeat the Nazis without the US lend lease program and the opening of a second front in France. There would’ve been no one to slow down Japan taking all of Southeast Asia and the Pacific.

Japan and Germany likely end up taking down the Soviet Union and dividing the territory.

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WWII, most likely, would not have occurred if the US had not been involved in WWI/Treaty of Versailles. European wars before this generally just petered out and the loser ceded territory.

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Absolutely not. Great Britain wanted to Balkanize the US, to keep us under their thumb.

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Well Britain wanted a lot of retarded things that were completely out of the question.

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the confederates didn’t seem to think so

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Technology and innovation were on the way to making slavery obsolete. Slaves were replaced with machinery just like how AI, Automation, and Robotics are going to replace huge swaths of current American workforce in coming years.

It’s hard to imagine the Confederacy granting democratic voting rights to Black people after the abolition of slaver, especially given that they would have been the majority population in many Southern regions. Politically, it likely would have resembled something like modern-day South Africa under apartheid. There’s a strong chance it could have led to a second civil conflict, this time between Black and white population, within the Confederate States themselves.

No unified United States….

….no Mexican war…Mexico controls Cali/arizona/NM/NV/colorado

…..no 54.40 or fight. Canada/UK controls the Pacific Northwest.

……no Spanish American war. No Philippians. Spain likely loses to other European. Cuba controlling gulf access.

…..No Sewaed’s follly (no Alaska) Russia has foothold in North America

…..north and south fight over Midwest.

I'll let Bocephus explain it.