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re: How many Dem seats are lost in Texas if they can get this map passed?

Posted on 8/2/25 at 6:34 pm to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133312 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

Dems will gain seats in the Texas delegation in 2026
Then why are the Dems threatening to boycott the redistricting vote and leave the state preventing a vote from being taken if their party would benefit from the proposed redistricting??
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
30404 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

Dems threatening to boycott the redistricting vote

Because the Democrats actually listen to their constituents and recognize this wholly unorthodox off-season redistricting attempt for what it is: a naked power grab by the GOP in an attempt to gain power in areas they do not presently claim. Hopefully they'll remain out of state for the remainder of the session.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
21738 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

Because the Democrats actually listen to their constituents and recognize this wholly unorthodox off-season redistricting attempt for what it is: a naked power grab by the GOP in an attempt to gain power in areas they do not presently claim

Don't you think Republicans trying to grab more power for the GOP is them listening to their constituents? I can't imagine many Republicans object to what the party is trying to do.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
72677 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

You don’t know a thing about any of the maps being drawn and Democrats have been chasing that unicorn for decades


Correct—and let’s not pretend Tarzana is some beacon of reason or objectivity. Never has been, never will. He copy and pastes Leftist talking points straight from Reddit.
This post was edited on 8/2/25 at 8:21 pm
Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
47744 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:25 pm to
I do not want gerrymandering in any fashion - if they just get rid of the purposefully designed "majority black" districts I'll be happy -

I do NOT want them to gerrymander to create 'safe' GOP districts - I want that madness STOPPED in both directions.

I want gerrymandering to be something school kids read about in history books.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170143 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

The president this would set, where it is ok to gerrymander congressional districts every election cycle, is shitty

Precedent...but I agree
Posted by G2160
houston
Member since May 2013
1970 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

I do NOT want them to gerrymander to create 'safe' GOP districts - I want that madness STOPPED in both directions.


I’m not sure how anyone could have paid attention the last 10 years and not come to the realization that there’s nothing the democrats won’t do to acquire power. You would be stupid to not gerrymander in your favor to the extent possible. It will be used against you wherever possible.

They would gerrymander texas blue tomorrow if they had the votes to do so.
This post was edited on 8/2/25 at 8:36 pm
Posted by Neutral Underground
Member since Mar 2024
2616 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 10:02 pm to
Jasmine Crotch Itch is planning on running to be a Senator. From what I have seen. Republicans can gain 5 extra seats. All thanks to Biden. Democrats do something to rig the system and then turn Pikachu face when Republicans turn around and use the can of worms that Democrats opened.
Posted by Free888
Member since Oct 2019
2822 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 2:58 am to
quote:

The danger in gerrymandering is that if there is a shift in voter turnout or voting habits the dominant party runs the risk of losing more seats than they normally would because their expected advantage in each individual district is lower.


This is exactly right. If the the voters were “Trump” voters instead of actual Republican voters (the Hispanic vote in Texas for example), this could backfire. The other concern is the incumbents with currently large margins have probably been mailing it in wrt campaigning. They could run into issues in a tight race.
Posted by HagaDaga
Member since Oct 2020
5378 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 8:11 am to
quote:

quote:

Hopefully that ghetto bitch Jasmine is out.
I’ll miss her soundbites. You can’t buy that kind of negative advertising
her district is like 80% in her favor. Though i agree with both sides takes, I find it hard to think a district will be able to be formed to get her out. I think they are targeting Colin Alreds former Dallas district.

Though even if Crockett wins she may not get as much, so she may curb it down enough to try to keep it every 2yrs. But she wants to win a Senate seat, so it'll be interesting to see how she'll respond and if she decides to run for the cornyn Senate seat.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133312 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 11:42 am to
quote:

wholly unorthodox off-season redistricting
Did you fall asleep when the Supreme Court recently issued its "race should not be the determining factor for drawing political districts"? So states are attempting to correct their illegally drawn districts as a response to the Court's decision?

And when IS the season for illegally drawn districts?
Posted by mwade91383
Washington DC
Member since Mar 2010
7077 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 12:33 pm to
I think he’s saying (correctly) nobody should be able to do it.

Long term, It’s only going to breed more extremism and less democracy.
Posted by Stumpknocker
SWLA
Member since Mar 2021
779 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 12:58 pm to
Not nearly enough!
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
22063 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

The danger in gerrymandering is that if there is a shift in voter turnout or voting habits the dominant party runs the risk of losing more seats than they normally would because their expected advantage in each individual district is lower.

I've read the remaining blue districts will be much, much lockdown bluer. But there will be less blue districts. This is to protect DJT against rampaging democrats after the 2026 election. While it will be nice that they remain that way going forward, this is all about DJT.
Democrats in the House will have to run against each other. And I also read this morning that Jasmine's district is gone (when it happens). We get publicly savvy democrats who know how to get media attention and likes despite their constituent loving idiocy. And they are almost tyrannical. I'm all for this re-districting.
I read Missouri is also considering it. And Ohio is also doing it.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
193986 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 1:11 pm to
Go back look at the new cd-9 look at the presidential election results and get back to me
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
193986 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 3:01 pm to
Shocking tarzana a self described expert who hates Trump doesnt know what he's talking about

TX-09: Al Green

Current map: 71-27 Harris (2024), 76-23 Biden (2020)

New map: 57-42 Trump (2024), 52-47 Trump (2020)

The 9th District, based in the south-central part of Harris County—home of Houston—would be altered to an almost unrecognizable degree: Just 3% of residents in the revamped version live in the current district, which is home to roughly equal numbers of Black and Latino residents (around 40% each).

The transmogrified district would instead teleport to the eastern reaches of Harris County, taking in many deep-red and GOP-trending areas. It would also become majority Latino while losing most of its Black population. But even though just a quarter of the district would be white, its typically low Latino turnout would push it firmly into Trump's column.

The end result would be an eye-popping net swing of almost 60 points when looking at the most recent presidential election—by far the largest anywhere on the new map.

source cited

The Downballot

not exactly a right wing webzine
This post was edited on 8/3/25 at 3:09 pm
Posted by This GUN for HIRE
Member since May 2022
5438 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

redistricting attempt for what it is: a naked power grab by the GOP in an attempt to gain power in areas they do not presently claim


I know, ain't it grand
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133312 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

where it is ok to gerrymander congressional districts every election cycle,
By law, redistricting is limited to once every 10 years based on the updated census data.

The redistricting in Texas and a few other states is the result of the Supreme Court's decision that it is unconstitutional for congressional districts be based upon the racial makeup of the district.

So states are redistricting their congressional districts to get constitutional for the 2026 elections.

Their previous (current) districts were drawn to guarantee maximum minority representation, such as for Louisiana's 5th district which got Cleo Fields elected and got Garrett Graves' district torn apart.

A case (Louisiana v. Callais) is expected to be heard in the upcoming SC session to determine if the Louisiana districts constitute unconstitutional racial gerrymandering.
Posted by LsuNav
Sacramento
Member since Mar 2008
1816 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 4:24 pm to
Do states do this all the time in a minor way; therefore, not bringing attention to i?. I have lived in the same house in a California for 30 years. Our district was solidly Republican for the first 15 years or so as we were combined the rural area around us. Eventually they started putting us in a district with the city and we were a 50/50 district that had a Republican, then a moderate Democrat. Now they moved the district again and we are in an absolute Democrat district.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
193986 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Do states do this all the time in a minor way;
yes

Either prompted by court decisions or state legislative actions even congressional lines can be altered in periods not following the census

it's not common but it happens often enough
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