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re: How is Harris up 50% to 47% in Pennsylvania?

Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:43 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49239 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Though that Omaha district is more blue than WI.




It's actually quite winnable for Trump. Split right down the middle so it comes down to independents. Trump can easily win independents in Nebraska, I'd imagine.
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8052 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:44 pm to
Philly EXACTLY!! I would have someone in every counting room watching for those hidden boxes of ballots to come out at 1 a.m. again. Trump takes PA he’s the next POTUS. Lose it and it will be tough to win but technically possible. I think N Carolina might go either way which is huge too.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35823 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

It's actually quite winnable for Trump

I didn’t say it wasn’t. Just that it’s on paper more left than WI.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16225 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

He has got to play for the electoral tie

No he doesn't. He's polling far better now than he did at this time in 2016 & 2020. And I don't see how putting all of your eggs in the Omaha basket is a smart move. Now I'm not saying he needs to ignore Omaha. He definitely needs to put some focus there. But Trump has more paths to victory than Harris does, and I believe he needs to keep all of those paths open.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89363 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

Trump doesn’t win if he doesn’t take PA though unless he wins every other swing state.


incorrect

win AZ, GA, NV and all he needs i 1 of VA, Wi, Mi or PA.

he does not have to win all those if he loses PA.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
141575 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:48 pm to
You only use registered voters and over sample dems by 15%.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16225 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

win AZ, GA, NV and all he needs i 1 of VA, Wi, Mi or PA

He doesn't even need NV in that scenario. If he wins AZ & GA then all he needs is 1 of VA, WI, MI or PA
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:50 pm to
The polls you are looking at are mostly dem polls. Of course they want to make it seem Harris has it in the bag. Hell, they have half of you on here believing the doom and gloom.
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33380 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

While Harris has run a strong campaign so far,

Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89363 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:51 pm to
quote:


He doesn't even need NV in that scenario. If he wins AZ & GA then all he needs is 1 of VA, WI, MI or PA



Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133683 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

How is Harris up 50% to 47% in Pennsylvania?
The pollster over-sampled dead people...
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
10710 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:53 pm to
She’s not, why do you emos pay attention to these polls knowing they aren’t even close
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

BuckI


OK, you are just trolling now. She hasn't even given an interview or opened herself up to answering by she changed all of her policy beliefs for this election (we know she didn't really change). She hasn't done anything to suggest she is running a strong campaign. There is no way you aren't trolling, because if you really believe she has run any kind of campaign so far, then you are much dumber than I previously thought.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
43961 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

How is Harris up 50% to 47% in Pennsylvania?


1. Link the poll

2. Look at the poll methodology and see the sampling

3. It’s called the Honeymoon period for a reason.
Posted by WhiteMandingo
Member since Jan 2016
7464 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:55 pm to
I don't think Trump lost any support
I just think dems un intrested in Biden will now support Harris.
People are fricking idiots. But the 19the amendment fricked America.
Posted by GeauxGutsy
Member since Jul 2017
5888 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

How is Harris up 50% to 47% in Pennsylvania?


Don’t believe the Liberal media

It will take years if not decades, if ever to deprogram the avg citizen from the computer phone.

Get your face outta your phone
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
16647 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:59 pm to
Before or after the cheating?
Posted by Basinhunterfisher
Member since Feb 2018
782 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 2:59 pm to
They voted in an idiot for Senate so who knows, people are stupid
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11530 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:01 pm to
I think the pool of available voters has changed a little since the change of candidates. There were some "double haters" who weren't previously available to the R's or the D's (some of whom were backing RFK who has faded right alongside Harris's rise) who are endorsing Harris now.
Posted by m2pro
Member since Nov 2008
29696 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:04 pm to
If you poll trolls don't staaahp... lmao. Jesus, man. WHY do you insist on trusting people who exist to manipulate thought around voting?
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