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re: Elon: DOGE probably won’t find $2 trillion in federal budget cuts

Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
32076 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

If he believes there is a "good shot" they can get $1T, in what way can you interpret that as making a claim that $2T is a probable outcome?

Probable, obviously, meaning more likely than not, or over 50%.
Has he even been in position to know WTH he's dealing with? Has he been given full access to the current finances and operating budget since the DOGE was created?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477071 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:15 pm to
Now do PCGDP over the same time



Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477071 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Has he even been in position to know WTH he's dealing with? Has he been given full access to the current finances and operating budget since the DOGE was created?

You're interpreting this digression attempt by the other guy wrong.

You're responding to a discussion of language, not a criticism of Elon.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Now do PCGDP over the same time



Records for that have been kept only until under the current monetary paradigm. I cannot find pre-1913 info on this. In fact it only goes back to the late 1930s.

Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
122878 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:25 pm to
We spend a lot on x isn’t really much of an argument. But you know that.
Posted by fwtex
Member since Nov 2019
3403 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

That figure was quickly dismissed as implausible by budget experts, who said the entire discretionary budget was only $1.7 trillion.


If they were only looking at the discretionary spending then this was all for nothing. They should be looking at the budgeted non discretionary spending that has been bloated with discretionary spending in disguise.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
23813 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

quote:
I've said since it's inception that when it's all said and done Doge will have spent more on administrative costs and salaries than it will have achieved in realized savings.

That's hyperbolic in the other direction. It's more of a think tank.

The main costs will be the litigation costs fighting the method of attacking the employees/regulations, which is a big number for normal people but decimal points for the numbers we're talking (even if those numbers are well under $2T)


Yup.... I agree. It will be a uphill battle to take apart the bureaucracy, it won't go quietly. I still think DOGE is a great start. It will allow transparency to the public and hopefully, voters begin to apply pressure. It's a start...
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:35 pm to
Everyone in this thread that hates debt still advocates for going back to the bank and getting more debt. Makes no sense.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477071 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:43 pm to
Ukraine spending is part of a calculation of the negative externalities from the total disruption in the international/global economy due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, specifically if they're allowed to "win". It's about which is the more efficient allocation of capital, comparing the cost of these externalities with the actual cost of the aid to Ukraine.

However, bringing up Ukraine in the deficit-debt discussion is an exponentially scaled version of the "millennials can afford a house if they give up Netflix" argument.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477071 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Everyone in this thread that hates debt still advocates for going back to the bank and getting more debt. Makes no sense.

Again, you keep trying, and failing.

Nobody advocating for actual cuts is also advocating for additional debt thereafter.

Access to credit =/= using the credit. That's your rhetorical flaw.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
122878 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:46 pm to
That is still a weak argument and you know it. Reckless spending is reckless spending. If you were consistent, you would not support dumping billions on a losing effort.
Posted by TigerAllNightLong
Member since Jul 2023
1161 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Can we not fire all the needless workforce and end the irs?

If that workforce doles out Medicaid or Social Security or enforces regulations that freeze out potential competitors in thousands of industries, the answer is NO.

Your needless government employee is someone else’s essential worker.
Posted by Swamp Angel
West Georgia Chicken Farm Territory
Member since Jul 2004
10191 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

That figure was quickly dismissed as implausible by budget experts, who said the entire discretionary budget was only $1.7 trillion.


Okay, cool. We can start by cutting that $1.7 trillion from the budget and then work from there.
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
13288 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

SlowFlowPro


quote:

$2 trillion figure was a “best-case outcome” and that he thought there was only a “good shot” at cutting half that


"Only $1 trillion, why even bother!"

--Stupid F___ing Pissy
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Nobody advocating for actual cuts is also advocating for additional debt thereafter.


You can't cut enough.

quote:

Access to credit =/= using the credit. That's your rhetorical flaw.


I have never asserted this.

My assertion is you (the federal government) don't need access to credit.
Posted by Louisianalabguy
Member since Jul 2017
1933 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Can we not fire all the needless workforce and end the irs?

What ever happened to the flat tax? Let's just use 5% as an example. Money out of pay checks would go straight to the government like Social Security . No IRS, eliminate filing taxes. Far more efficient. I know many jobs and entire professions may go away, but it's hard to argue against the improved efficiency.
Posted by keks tadpole
Yellow Leaf Creek
Member since Feb 2017
8689 posts
Posted on 1/10/25 at 6:26 am to
quote:

This is simple math.

Fiat currency is far from simple math.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55575 posts
Posted on 1/10/25 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

I don't think that's immediately achievable but at least it's a sane starting point for discussion.

Yeah, it would take years and a booming economy.
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