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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/20/20 at 5:02 pm to tiger91
Posted on 3/20/20 at 5:02 pm to tiger91
quote:
OK so say a test for antibodies comes out and it shows the person had it .. or a positive test person is asymptomatic for 14 days ... when can they ever go back to say a healthcare type field of work?
I haven't seen a consistent answer to this. It's definitely a challenge with respect to the "setting people free" aspect. The incubation and shedding/lingering contagion issues all make the timeline hard to peg accurately. This is actually next in my rabbit hole search of CV19 issues. Hopefully someone else can shed, as it were, more light.
But from an "increase the denominator" standpoint for death and morbidity rates, it will be immediately useful.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 5:39 pm to Chromdome35
Growth rate could exceed but it’s probably slowed from yesterday. Yesterday’s spiked; I doubt we will see as much of an increase in %
Posted on 3/20/20 at 6:06 pm to Chromdome35
I think the worldochart number now has gone up to +5300 today new cases.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 6:12 pm to GatorReb
quote:
I think the worldochart number now has gone up to +5300 today new cases.
+5406
Posted on 3/20/20 at 7:21 pm to TigerDoc
I hate those charts that have an inconsistent scale. It skews the visualization of the data
Posted on 3/20/20 at 7:46 pm to Chromdome35
Very nice graphs, thank you for taking the time to do this.
Now that there is 15 days as data and maybe a hint of the total CV death rate starting to flatten compared to the curve of the total CV cases, any chance you could generate a graph of the US Total CV Deaths in log scale, like you have the cases? It might be interesting.
Now that there is 15 days as data and maybe a hint of the total CV death rate starting to flatten compared to the curve of the total CV cases, any chance you could generate a graph of the US Total CV Deaths in log scale, like you have the cases? It might be interesting.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 7:53 pm to NorCali
flattening the curve, straightening the hill.
One day the mountain life might get us,
but kung flu never will.
One day the mountain life might get us,
but kung flu never will.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:18 pm to Chromdome35
NOTE: Updated as of 8:15 PM CST, These are not final numbers for the day, they will go up throughout the day.
NOTE: Until the end of the day, the growth rate numbers will not be correct.
Note: This may be my last update of the day, I'm really tired and need to crash. I will update the final numbers for today.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:28 pm to NorCali
NorCali, I just caught up on the thread and saw this. Yes, I will add a logarithmic chart for total cv deaths...good idea! It will not be tonight, this week has been brutal, I am tired and going to crash.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:39 pm to Tiguar
quote:
Growth rate could exceed but it’s probably slowed from yesterday. Yesterday’s spiked; I doubt we will see as much of an increase in %
Will see a spike in numbers as more are tested. We got test 4 weeks ago but had strict guidelines on who to test. Basically the patient had to have all the symptoms, high risk for exposure and sicker than shite. Literally, hospitalization sick. Now that the local hospital has test and making bank off of it, anyone can be tested after we flu, strep, RSV etc. So, I'm having to gown up, put my protected eyewear on, gloves etc...basically full HAZMAT and go see them in their cars to eliminate any chance of it entering our clinic (even though we've been seeing and treating this shite for months under "Viral Syndrome".) So, you'll see a spike, but you can bet your arse it would've been higher in November, December, and January. I think they crop dusted our asses in the fall (China).
Hell, I had all the classical symptoms in January after returning from Colorado. Seemed to be sensitive to Miller Lite and Jameson's.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:40 pm to Chromdome35
You’re doing the Lord’s work. Thanks for all the charts.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:55 pm to Chromdome35
Thank you for the updates from a data person.
I think we need to focus on deaths and serious cases at the moment to really get a feel for what’s going on, even though those are lagging indicators. It’s impossible to read anything into the increase in number of cases without knowing what portion of that is due to new infections vs. what is simply due to increased testing as it continues to ramp up.
I think we need to focus on deaths and serious cases at the moment to really get a feel for what’s going on, even though those are lagging indicators. It’s impossible to read anything into the increase in number of cases without knowing what portion of that is due to new infections vs. what is simply due to increased testing as it continues to ramp up.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:58 pm to TideCPA
quote:
what is simply due to increased testing as it continues to ramp up.
90% +. Number pulled from my arse, but this shite is fading quick from what we were seeing months ago but had no testing.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 8:59 pm to TideCPA
Also, if you break down deaths by country on a per capita basis, the US is doing much better than most of our first world counterparts in the northern hemisphere.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:02 pm to SmackoverHawg
quote:and this is the point i have been making for several days. it's a bit misleading to take these numbers at face value. as a case is confirmed by testing, that person had already been sick for days. technically, that person could go on previous days' numbers. that pushes previous days up and the current day down.
you can bet your arse it would've been higher in November, December, and January
of course, it all comes out in the wash but, the higher numbers are not unexpected at all. the question at this point is how long the rise in numbers will continue. hopefully, not long. maybe another week or 2 given that multiple asian countries seem to be leveling off a bit.
i know i sound like a broken record but, we just passed a quarter of a million cases worldwide after 3, possibly 4 months. even if china is grossly misreporting their numbers, this is a very mild outbreak, historically speaking. just trying to keep things in perspective
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:06 pm to TideCPA
CPA, in my head I am visualizing the two data sets, cases & deaths, overlayed in the same bar chart, that should show the lag between positive and death. I will prob add that this weekend.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:06 pm to bfniii
quote:
i know i sound like a broken record but, we just passed a quarter of a million cases worldwide after 3, possibly 4 months. even if china is grossly misreporting their numbers, this is a very mild outbreak, historically speaking. just trying to keep things in perspective
Why isn’t this drum being beat?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:13 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:that's part of the overall picture i have been puzzled by. now, multiple gov's saying they will ramp up and deploy national guard to disperse gatherings. first responder/critical services passes being distributed. multiple legislators dumping millions in stocks right before u.s. cases. it's hard to believe there aren't dotted lines between these things. i'm looking at the numbers and i'm not seeing the same picture that officials are portraying.
Why isn’t this drum being beat?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 9:20 pm to TideCPA
I thought the 15 day social distancing started on Monday....WHY is it Friday and it's still 15 days??
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