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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:12 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:12 pm to buckeye_vol
That’s the scary thing though
Basically every Europeans and western nation waited too long
I have faith that we will begin to see a flattening soon in Italy
Health experts are adamant that these measures can make a difference
Basically every Europeans and western nation waited too long
I have faith that we will begin to see a flattening soon in Italy
Health experts are adamant that these measures can make a difference
1
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:21 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Health experts are adamant that these measures can make a difference
When you start makes the difference, though. The classic case is Philadelphia (social distancing starting about 3 weeks after first cases) vs. St. Louis (about 2 days) in the 1918 flu pandemic.
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 1:40 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:24 pm to TigerDoc
That is true, but if you lockdown and massively reduce human contact, isn’t is a given that less and less people will become infected?
I am praying so hard right now that in 2 weeks, Italy will begin to see some sort of positive trend.
I am praying so hard right now that in 2 weeks, Italy will begin to see some sort of positive trend.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:29 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Yes, but what the NYT has reported that the Chinese noticed when they went to shelter-in-place was that infections kept spreading within family units, so they were forced to isolate sick with the sick in institutional settings to make the critical difference. I don't know if Americans will tolerate that. We're hoping for our ICU's to bail us out and we do have good ones.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:31 pm to TigerDoc
But wouldn’t infections within families decline due to a lockdown?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:33 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Sure, after everybody gets the virus. 
Seriously, though, yes it will help. But will we be able to stay under the line where you're getting significant numbers of avoidable deaths due to resources maxed out?
Seriously, though, yes it will help. But will we be able to stay under the line where you're getting significant numbers of avoidable deaths due to resources maxed out?
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:35 pm to TigerDoc
Why isn't that current dates? Or am I missing something?
Does anyone any charts/graphs for specific states?
Does anyone any charts/graphs for specific states?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:38 pm to tiger91
Because it's from the 1918 Flu pandemic. From Public health interventions and epidemic intensity during the 1918 influenza pandemic
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:39 pm to tiger91
I believe that is the 1918 Spanish Flu outbreak graph he's showing
Posted on 3/20/20 at 1:39 pm to TigerDoc
Oh sorry and thank you! Missed that part.
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 1:40 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 3:02 pm to tiger91
quote:
UPDATE: Madagascar reports first 3 cases of coronavirus
Anyone that's played that plague game is now panicking.
shite wrong thread
This post was edited on 3/20/20 at 3:13 pm
Posted on 3/20/20 at 3:14 pm to Malik Agar
quote:
Madagascar reports first 3 cases of coronavirus
Shut...everything...down.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 3:18 pm to Chromdome35
Deaths growth at least tumbled
Posted on 3/20/20 at 3:19 pm to Chromdome35
I revised yesterday's final numbers to match the numbers on the worldometer site. It doesn't make any meaningful difference, it just makes things align better for those who look at the source data.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:02 pm to Chromdome35
Hazard any guesses why we seem to be doing better witih regard to deaths than with cases?
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:02 pm to Chromdome35
Lowest growth rate in 3 days despite so many more tests being given. That’s encouraging.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:06 pm to Jobu93
Read the notes, the day isn't over yet, the numbers will keep going up. Good chance they could exceed yesterdays.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:07 pm to Jobu93
Since the number of cases will rise due to more testing, the more important one to look at would be deaths/death rate, correct? Asking as I don't know squat.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:28 pm to tiger91
quote:
Since the number of cases will rise due to more testing, the more important one to look at would be deaths/death rate, correct? Asking as I don't know squat.
Yes and also realize that currently testing is skewed toward those with serious symptoms. We will have much more complete data from which to model once we have tests (including antibody tests) for people who've have no symptoms, minor symptoms, or who had "the flu" during flu season but tested negative and recovered. We'll see how many of those folks have had it.
If those numbers come in the way I think they will, the US death rate is going to plummet.
Posted on 3/20/20 at 4:32 pm to McLemore
OK so say a test for antibodies comes out and it shows the person had it .. or a positive test person is asymptomatic for 14 days ... when can they ever go back to say a healthcare type field of work?
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