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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 8/18/20 at 1:18 pm to Ace Midnight
Posted on 8/18/20 at 1:18 pm to Ace Midnight
Louisiana didnt have two waves. Just like it hit different parts of the country at different times, it hit different parts of Louisiana at different times.
2
Posted on 8/18/20 at 2:37 pm to bbap
quote:What's the reason southern Italy hasn't been hit now by its "delayed 1st wave"? It's way bigger north to south than Louisiana (and even poorer in some places.)
Louisiana didnt have two waves. Just like it hit different parts of the country at different times, it hit different parts of Louisiana at different times.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 2:39 pm to Big Scrub TX
It is currently experiencing an increase in cases. They’re shutting down clubs and may shut down businesses again.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 2:44 pm to the808bass
quote:An increase on the scale of the US increase - with an attendant number of deaths that is going to get back up to more than half of the darkest days?
It is currently experiencing an increase in cases. They’re shutting down clubs and may shut down businesses again.
IMO, the way to do this is to leave the schools open and shut down the other stuff.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 2:59 pm to Big Scrub TX
I’ve never been to southern Italy. But it is very rural, and very traditional.
I assume the virus would spread more slowly in that environment.
There are other factors to consider though. Good sun exposure, which means higher levels of vitamin D.
I assume the virus would spread more slowly in that environment.
There are other factors to consider though. Good sun exposure, which means higher levels of vitamin D.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 3:04 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
I am fairly certain that NY's strategy of sending COVID patients into nursing homes is what is causing the disparity of outcomes. Fredo's brother should be hung.
That's not what's going on. You can't use case numbers to compare NY in March/April to FL/CA/TX now because our testing capacity back then was a very small fraction of what is available now. Which is to say, the real case volume in NY would have been off your chart. Even if you pulled all the nursing home deaths out, NY still has seen more deaths than California, Texas, Florida each by factor of 2. The outbreak was simply much worse and nothing was done about it for a much longer period of time.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 3:08 pm to AUMIS01
quote:
Still hoping to see a <1k death day between now and Saturday. Don't think today is going to be that day though.
But, in comparing apples to apples (last Tuesday was 55k cases and ~1500 deaths on WoM), should be well, well under both of those today - absent some last minute frickery.
This post was edited on 8/18/20 at 3:09 pm
Posted on 8/18/20 at 3:35 pm to longwayfromLA
quote:
The outbreak was simply much worse
But why?
New Yorkers are more susceptible to the virus?
Posted on 8/18/20 at 3:48 pm to bbap
quote:
Louisiana didnt have two waves. Just like it hit different parts of the country at different times, it hit different parts of Louisiana at different times.
Exactlly. We were unscathed when Nola was being hit so hard. We're in the middle of it right now. Hopefully nearer the end than the beginning.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 3:50 pm to Ace Midnight
Depending on what COVID Tracking pulls in for the day, there's an outside shot of being below 40k. I don't think we're going to break below that as ncov2019.live and COVID Tracking are pulling some different metrics somehow, but it's gonna be close. Would be a great Tuesday if that happens.
Deaths are still going to be elevated today, guessing around 1300, but we'll see where it ends up.
Deaths are still going to be elevated today, guessing around 1300, but we'll see where it ends up.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 4:04 pm to the808bass
quote:
But why?
New Yorkers are more susceptible to the virus?
The entire month f February up through almost the middle of March the virus was here and no one did anything at all about it. By the time any mitigation went to place it was already on top of us.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 4:38 pm to Lima Whiskey
quote:North Louisiana is very rural (and presumably "traditional") and also has a lot of sun.
I’ve never been to southern Italy. But it is very rural, and very traditional.
I assume the virus would spread more slowly in that environment.
There are other factors to consider though. Good sun exposure, which means higher levels of vitamin D.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 4:42 pm to AUMIS01
Deaths are bullshite.
Look at a graphic overlay with deaths and icu census.
There is been a almost exact correlation this entire time but since 8-1 the death curve has flattened while the icu census has collapsed.
Likely death reports/confirmation lagging. Deaths you see reported now happened a week or so ago.
Look at a graphic overlay with deaths and icu census.
There is been a almost exact correlation this entire time but since 8-1 the death curve has flattened while the icu census has collapsed.
Likely death reports/confirmation lagging. Deaths you see reported now happened a week or so ago.
This post was edited on 8/18/20 at 4:44 pm
Posted on 8/18/20 at 4:44 pm to Tiguar
1/3 of the deaths reported in Florida today were last month
Posted on 8/18/20 at 4:47 pm to longwayfromLA
quote:And it's potentially true that the main vector of infection came from Europe - and it seems that might have been worse.
The entire month f February up through almost the middle of March the virus was here and no one did anything at all about it. By the time any mitigation went to place it was already on top of us.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 5:00 pm to Tiguar
Oh most definitely. This is why I get so frustrated with how Georgia is reported across all media. If you look at reporting dates, we're just coming out. If you look at the proper backdating (literally, selecting one dropdown filter on the DPH page) you see that we hit our cases peak nearly a month ago, and our deaths peak around 2 weeks later.
All of the aggregator sites are simply doing delta reporting from day to day (missing the trends by about 2 weeks in the process), whereas the media is reporting as if the day to day reporting data means "in the last 24 hours." If you look on Twitter, the idiots and the ones with an agenda lap this crap up.
All of the aggregator sites are simply doing delta reporting from day to day (missing the trends by about 2 weeks in the process), whereas the media is reporting as if the day to day reporting data means "in the last 24 hours." If you look on Twitter, the idiots and the ones with an agenda lap this crap up.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 5:02 pm to AUMIS01
Dammit, I was close. 40,458 cases, 1,195 deaths, 6.3% positivity.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 5:07 pm to the808bass
quote:
The outbreak was simply much worse
quote:
But why?
quote:
26,403 people per square mile
people on top of people crammed into subway cars and into nursing homes etc....
Oh yeah...and really, really poor leadership.
Posted on 8/18/20 at 5:40 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 8/18/20 at 5:50 pm to Chromdome35
A great Tuesday with a major week over week decline in cases which is a result of 100K fewer tests and a reduction in the positivity rate WoW.
Deaths fell 10% (131) from last Tuesday down to 1,195.
States reporting no new cases today: CT, KS
States reporting no new deaths today: CT, DE, HI, KS, ME, VT
States with 100 or fewer new cases today: 13 = 26%
States with 5 or fewer deaths today: 20 = 40%
Top 5 States for Cases Actual/Per Capita:
TX: 7,282 / 25.1
CA 4,636 / 11.73
FL: 3,838 / 17.87
GA: 2,816 / 26.52
IL: 1,740 / 13.73
Top 5 States for Deaths Actual / Per Capita:
FL: 219 / 1.02
TX: 216 / .74
CA: 100 / .25
GA: 67 / .63
SC: 55 / 1.07
Deaths fell 10% (131) from last Tuesday down to 1,195.
States reporting no new cases today: CT, KS
States reporting no new deaths today: CT, DE, HI, KS, ME, VT
States with 100 or fewer new cases today: 13 = 26%
States with 5 or fewer deaths today: 20 = 40%
Top 5 States for Cases Actual/Per Capita:
TX: 7,282 / 25.1
CA 4,636 / 11.73
FL: 3,838 / 17.87
GA: 2,816 / 26.52
IL: 1,740 / 13.73
Top 5 States for Deaths Actual / Per Capita:
FL: 219 / 1.02
TX: 216 / .74
CA: 100 / .25
GA: 67 / .63
SC: 55 / 1.07
This post was edited on 8/18/20 at 5:53 pm
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