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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 8/19/20 at 5:44 pm to
Posted by AUMIS01
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
1447 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 5:44 pm to
20% drop in cases nationwide WOW from last Wednesday. If you put the 220k removed NC tests back into the count last Wednesday, we're basically flat on testing, so the drop is legit. Really looking good now, just need that damn hospitalization number to keep dropping so we can see a sustained drop in deaths.

Another good thing...the data frickery from last Wednesday is now cycled through the 7 day averages.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8170 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 5:48 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted by TigerMan327
Elsewhere
Member since Feb 2011
6202 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 6:41 pm to
Deaths have been sitting around 1000-1100 two weeks straight. Them case numbers are nice though. Deaths will start to follow soon. Lookin good
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 9:21 pm to
It's the Mexicans coming over from Matamoras into the Rio Grande Valley for treatment in the U.S. that's hurting Texas' numbers.
Posted by GeauxWrek
Somewhere b/w Houston and BR
Member since Sep 2010
5022 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 5:35 am to
To bad the state leaders will not state this fact. They rather keep the entire state in panic for another three months
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 6:39 am to
quote:

It's the Mexicans coming over from Matamoras into the Rio Grande Valley for treatment in the U.S. that's hurting Texas' numbers.


If those figures could be tracked, they should be subtracted, but who am I kidding.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:49 am to
Deaths have been flat because theyre confirming backlogs.

When everything catches up, deaths are going to plummet
Posted by AUMIS01
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
1447 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 11:42 am to
Florida way down again today from last week. 4,555 today, deaths also down. Texas and Cali, it's all on you now.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
47619 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 12:39 pm to
Can you expand on That? I noticed Louisiana's case growth and active cases are plummeting, yet average daily deaths are climbing pretty dramatically. Same for TX and FL.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128843 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 12:46 pm to
Deaths recorded today include deaths from weeks ago. There aren’t as many deaths today that can be counted as Corona deaths weeks from now.

Once the backlog of presumed corona deaths have been harvested from the retrospective reviews is lessened, there’s not as many deaths now to harvest corona deaths from.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8194 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Can you expand on That? I noticed Louisiana's case growth and active cases are plummeting, yet average daily deaths are climbing pretty dramatically. Same for TX and FL.


I think he means that the peak created a backlog of death certificates that is still getting processed. So the daily deaths reported number is a combination of recent deaths+backlog deaths. Now that we are well below peak, the processing will get through the backlog soon at which point the daily deaths reported number will more closely resemble our actual situation.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97021 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 1:21 pm to
Louisiana hospitalization rate (amounts of beds used for covid patients/total beds in the state) has gone from 7.9% to 7.1% in just 2 days.

Seems like a pretty significant drop for that short of period.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
47619 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 2:27 pm to
I just find it odd that there was zero lag in the first wave. As cases dropped, so did deaths.
Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
3866 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

I just find it odd that there was zero lag in the first wave. As cases dropped, so did deaths.


There was great expectation that the death number in the summer spike was going to be in correlation to the numbers in March and April. With 65-70k new cases, there was an expectation that deaths would hit 3-4K a day. There was panic among the powers that be when it didn’t. Many COVID deaths are well postmortem calls as COVID deaths with the explanation “ they exhibited a symptom or 2”.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55584 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Can you expand on That? I noticed Louisiana's case growth and active cases are plummeting, yet average daily deaths are climbing pretty dramatically.

Louisiana deaths have peaked and are on the way down
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
15784 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 5:24 pm to
Like hell Governor Abbott will get away with that...he has done more than enough damage to date
This post was edited on 8/20/20 at 5:26 pm
Posted by AUMIS01
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
1447 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 6:04 pm to
Hospitalizations are about the only thing tracked in something close to real time. All the other numbers are reported 10-14 days later (or more). Georgia hospitalizations are down almost 25% in 2 weeks, just hasn't shown up in the other numbers yet.

Louisiana should likewise see a downturn in numbers soon.

Another note, COVID Tracking seems to be having a hard time publishing numbers for the day, still not updated yet.
Posted by TheOtherWhiteMeat
Fort Smith
Member since Nov 2009
20655 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 6:08 pm to
Looks like another 1k+ today but barely.
Posted by AUMIS01
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
1447 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 6:24 pm to
Not updated on the webpage, but they've published on Twitter. Deaths basically flat with last week, down a couple of percent. But the hospitalization drop from yesterday is impressive, down over 1300 in 24 hours. Plus, we're not seeing the late week case spike that had become common over the last month or two.

Most amazing to me is the number of people on Twitter that think the testing drop is due to a lack of capacity. It's not, but you'll never convince them of it. Georgia is closing down it's surge site at Hartsfield next Wednesday, and I don't believe we ever touched the surge hospital unit at the WCC after they reopened it a few weeks ago.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8170 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 7:04 pm to
CTP tweeted a bit ago that there were having issues with the API data. I will update after they publish.
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