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Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:44 am to tarzana
Abbot is going to win by 10+
Paxton will trail him solidly but he has a zero % chance of losing
I have it at Abbot 11% Paxton 5%
Paxton will trail him solidly but he has a zero % chance of losing
I have it at Abbot 11% Paxton 5%
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:45 am to td01241
Dems take all but Maine
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:45 am to deltaland
This will be a fun one to bump
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:46 am
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:49 am to td01241
quote:They elected Cooper twice in Gubernatorial races and I don't think Whatley is well-liked.
I think they’re a slight favorite but there’s zero % chance it reaches those margins.
Trump carried by 3.2%
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:50 am to Marciano1
Georgia will elect a Democratic Senator because white people make up 48% of the population of Georgia.
Demographics is destiny.
Demographics is destiny.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:52 am to masoncj
quote:
Ossoff won't get over 50%
Absurd. Kalshi Markets rates this contest as Safe for the incumbent, with over a 95% likelihood of an Ossoff win.
Republican donors are diverting funds out of Georgia and North Carolina, in favor of Kansas and South Carolina, in an attempt to shore up those now shaky senatorial campaigns.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:53 am to td01241
“Call your shot” is consistently misused to mean “predict something”. “Call your shot” means more than “predict something”; it means “predict how something will come about”. And more specifically, it means how something will come about through my agency.
It comes from games of Put Out/Horse.
It comes from games of Put Out/Horse.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:53 am to tarzana
Kalshi :rofl:
Oh didn’t realize who I was dealing with for a second. Carry on in your seemingly endless existence in blissful retardation
quote:
Tarzana
Oh didn’t realize who I was dealing with for a second. Carry on in your seemingly endless existence in blissful retardation
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:54 am to Penrod
Thanks for the trivia
Been a long time man
Been a long time man
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:54 am to td01241
My gut tells me Ossoff wins. The blue islands (metro Atlanta, etc.) are getting bigger. I’ve seen a ton of ads from his campaign and very little from Collins. I’ve heard folks connected to state level politics say that Ossoff comes across to many as moderate and a lot of folks credit him with getting funding for state projects.
I’m disappointed to say that I don’t expect Collins to win.
I’m disappointed to say that I don’t expect Collins to win.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:06 am to td01241
You're not in Texas. Hispanic voters have shifted BACK to the Democratic party, DISAPPROVING of Republicans now by a 67% -- 29% margin.
To quote a great philosopher named James Carville, "it's the economy, stupid", and for most working-class Texans, the economy sucks, thanks to an affordability crisis.
Abbott and Dan Patrick are currently in Toss-up elections, and Ken Paxton's Senate campaign is going in the wrong direction for him-- that race is now rated as "Lean Democratic" by Kalshi Markets.
To quote a great philosopher named James Carville, "it's the economy, stupid", and for most working-class Texans, the economy sucks, thanks to an affordability crisis.
Abbott and Dan Patrick are currently in Toss-up elections, and Ken Paxton's Senate campaign is going in the wrong direction for him-- that race is now rated as "Lean Democratic" by Kalshi Markets.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:09 am to tarzana
I work at Georgia southern and do political research for a living so while I don’t live in Texas I can say confidently almost everything you just said is not true, or if at most charitable extreme hyperbole.
There’s literally only like 3 polls that are worth paying attention to because literally everyone else is doing a push poll.
Those are Rasmussen
Seth Ketchell
And usually Harvard/Harris
So you cant accuse me of bias when I’m saying one right leaning one center lean one left lean
There’s literally only like 3 polls that are worth paying attention to because literally everyone else is doing a push poll.
Those are Rasmussen
Seth Ketchell
And usually Harvard/Harris
So you cant accuse me of bias when I’m saying one right leaning one center lean one left lean
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 10:10 am
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:15 am to tarzana
Kalshi markets….lmao!
Neat!
Neat!
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:20 am to TerryDawg03
I’m 43 and barely watch network TV anymore
What I have seen is Mike Collins running YouTube ads nonstop Ossoff anything for making fun of him on how much he spends on makeup to calling him out for not voting to protect girls sports
Simply not true that Collins is not spending any money. I think he’s using it wisely as opposed to spending it on local NBC CVS ABC affiliates.
What I have seen is Mike Collins running YouTube ads nonstop Ossoff anything for making fun of him on how much he spends on makeup to calling him out for not voting to protect girls sports
Simply not true that Collins is not spending any money. I think he’s using it wisely as opposed to spending it on local NBC CVS ABC affiliates.
Posted on 10/4/26 at 10:26 am to masoncj
Use brave browser personally so I haven’t seen an internet ad in years but watching UGA on Hulu on the living room tv I see Collins adds all the time
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 10:28 am
Posted on 10/4/26 at 11:58 am to td01241
I must have broken tarzana
Posted on 10/4/26 at 12:13 pm to RLDSC FAN
If people in Michigan elect El-sayed this country is in trouble
Posted on 10/4/26 at 12:21 pm to td01241
Texas- Paxton by a + 5 margin
Maine- Collins but a tilt margin (meaning less than 1.5%)
Michigan- El-Sayed by a 3%> margin
Georgia- Ossof by a 3%> margin
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