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Call your shot in these key senate races under 40 days out

Posted on 10/4/26 at 8:38 am
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 8:38 am
Texas- Paxton by a + 5 margin
Maine- Collins but a tilt margin (meaning less than 1.5%)
Michigan- Rodger’s by a 3%> margin
Georgia- Ossof by a 3%> margin
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
61600 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:17 am to
Texas - Talarico +2
Maine- Collins +3
Mi - El Sayed +2 this is the one that really hurts. Republicans should never lose to a candidate like this guy
Georgia - Ossoff big
Posted by masoncj
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2023
924 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:19 am to
Ossoff won’t get over 50% and it will go to a run off

Good chance at that point for Mike Collins to win it
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:20 am to
Disagree

Sadly Ossof is the safest contending seat nationally imo

He’s popular in the state for a reason I can’t fathom

Now warnock is going to get destroyed when he has to run again in two years though
Posted by BoomerandSooner
Top of Texas
Member since Sep 2025
3597 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Texas- Paxton by a + 5 margin
Maine- Collins but a tilt margin (meaning less than 1.5%)
Michigan- Rodger’s by a 3%> margin
Georgia- Ossof by a 3%> margin


First post nailed it for me.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
3769 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:25 am to
Yeah right, Georgia voters still trying to convince themselves it’s still a conservative state. Ossoff will win re-election and there is a decent chance the worst Gubernatorial candidate in the nation wins the race against Rick Jackson.
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:26 am to
You have proven to be illiterate on two boards now

In the post you’re replying to I said

quote:

Ossof is the safest contending seat


And in your schizophrenic mind that equates to me….in denial thinking he wins?
Posted by masoncj
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2023
924 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:29 am to
I live in Georgia and the only motivated JO voters are of course white liberal Karen’s in Fulton, Cobb and Gwinnett.

Doing the numbers JO need 85% of the black vote and 45% turnout…. that simply is not happening.

George’s new voter laws really have made a difference now that they’ve eliminated the unsolicited mail in ballots

Unless the blacks request them, they’re not going to be able to vote… in an off year election that’s going to be way down

He obviously still could win, but this theory that he’s going to win by 10 points is insane

It will go to a runoff and it will become basically a national election at that point
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:30 am
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:30 am to
I never claimed he’d win by 10? Where did you get that?

In my op I said 3% or less.

quote:

I live in Georgia


Are you under the assumption I don’t with the red G by my name
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:31 am
Posted by masoncj
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2023
924 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:30 am to
Was referenced in the latest New York Times poll… that’s all
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:31 am to
Oh ok sorry
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:33 am to
You also left out Chatham county in your breakdown, the second bluest area of Georgia which is sadly where I live.

I live in Pooler though so a red enclave
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
3769 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:34 am to
My point being boy wonder that both will win re-election easily in Georgia lol your supposed intelligence is astounding and yes you are still pretending Georgia is a conservative state. Governor Bottoms has a 50/50 chance of winning. That’s all you need to know about Georgia voters
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:35 am to
You have just joined my never interact list
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
20239 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:37 am to
Texas - Paxton 52-48
Maine - Collins 52-48
Michigan - El Sayed 51-49
Georgia - Ossoff 53-47
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:40 am
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:38 am to
Even if that is the result which imo is worst case scenario for us in those 4 states we still have a majority even if we lose NC which I think will be again a til margin race
Posted by Marciano1
Marksville, LA
Member since Jun 2009
20239 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:41 am to
quote:

even if we lose NC
NC is an easy flip for Dems. Cooper wins by 6-8pts.
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:41 am
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
3769 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:42 am to
That’s a shame, say hello to governor KLB for me! It will be so brave for Georgia to have a strong black woman!!
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
6041 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Governor Bottoms has a 50/50 chance of winning


Bottoms gets beat by 3 plus.
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 9:45 am
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31225 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 9:43 am to
I think they’re a slight favorite but there’s zero % chance it reaches those margins.

Trump carried by 3.2%
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