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re: Black American revolution to vote Republican

Posted on 9/9/19 at 3:37 pm to
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I honestly think there is a lot of support for the Republicans secretly from most black americans. Your thoughts??
I wouldn't say most. In fact, probably not even 40%... YET.

Basically, if you're a black person with a job and getting paid at least maybe $40k+/year, and you grew up with two parents who both worked, paid taxes, and never went to jail, you're probably a Trump supporter and voting R.

And this is probably only around 25%-30% of blacks, unfortunately.

Black voter turnout for 2016 was only 59.6% (was 65.3% for Obama). I suspect it will be slightly higher in 2020. Maybe around 62%.

Hillary got 89% of the black vote and Trump got 8%. Look for Trump's 8% to quite possibly reach ~20%.

His poll approval among blacks has gone from about 11% to around 35%.

However, if Dems nominate Kamala Harris, the turnout will probably hit 65% again and Trump will be hard pressed to reach 15% of the black vote. Sad, but just look at 2008 and 2012 to understand that's simply the case.
This post was edited on 9/9/19 at 3:41 pm
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138913 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 3:42 pm to
SAS isn't voting for Trump nor will he stump for him
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
44412 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Your thoughts?



I know it's anecdotal, but there isn't a black person in my office that will vote for Trump. It's the hive mind.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55729 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 4:24 pm to
From what I’m gathering the bulk of the Black vote for Trump is males under age 50. Black women are still voting over 95% Dim.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55729 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

sdog38 Trump just needs to go on and completely decriminalize weed (so banks can operate and work with growers and dispensaries) and he'll win by an even larger margin than last time. He'll get more young voters and minority voters. It really isn't that hard to understand.


Hell, why should Trump stop with decriminalizing weed, might as well support abortion, open borders, and the NWO/Globalist agenda too.
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
15718 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

Trump will be lucky to get 10% of the black vote


He will get 25% or more.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 5:30 pm to
15% would be huge

wish they would show some independence before the dems frick them over in favor of Hispanics
Posted by volod
Leesville, LA
Member since Jun 2014
5392 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

honestly think there is a lot of support for the Republicans secretly from most black americans. Your thoughts??


Trumps turnout with Blacks will heavily be influenced by Democrats. If they choose Kamala, the black male turnout will be very high for a Republican President (probably highest ever).

If they stick with Biden, then it's a toss up. Either way increases his gains with Black men. I seriously doubt he wins enough black women by any considerable margin.
Posted by volod
Leesville, LA
Member since Jun 2014
5392 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 5:58 pm to
quote:


Hell, why should Trump stop with decriminalizing weed, might as well support abortion, open borders, and the NWO/Globalist agenda too.





Because unlike your other examples, there is no constitutional basis for forbidding a substance/herb for the sake of moral concerns.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32107 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 5:59 pm to
quote:


I honestly think there is a lot of support for the Republicans secretly from most black americans. Your thoughts?
I think "most" is a stretch, but I also think that the support is far greater than the media cares to admit
Posted by Wednesday
Member since Aug 2017
17279 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 6:00 pm to
Black people will never support RINOs. They would, however support Republicans who fully adopted a Trump agenda.

I believe that Trump will be able to convert a significant number of independent minded black men. By significant - I don’t Jean a majority- but enough to make Democrats lose.

I continue to believe that black males are underserved and taken for granted by the Democrat Party, and I believe they should be as sought after by Rs as soccer moms in the 90s. Republicans would be stupid to ignore this as an opportunity- and the Republican establishment is stupid- so it’s a distinct possibility.

Those guys will never vote lockstep republican though unless the R party fully commits to a Trump agenda, and shakes off the Paul Ryan’s of this world. Mitt Romney will inspire as many black men as he did Evangelical white people.
Posted by RollTide4Ever
Nashville
Member since Nov 2006
20094 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:28 pm to
What can the GOP offer black folks?
Posted by Loungefly85
Lafayette
Member since Jul 2016
7930 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:43 pm to
I understand the blacks voting for Hillary. They loved the Clintons for some reason. But I can’t see them being excited to go out and vote for Elizabeth Warren no matter how much free shite she promises.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
75354 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:45 pm to
Smith quote was great.

Paraphrase-

"Black people have been voting democrat so long, the democrats take them for granted, do nothing for them, and the republicans abandon them because they know they won't get their votes no matter what, which means blacks end up with no representation"
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
28563 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:48 pm to
Black voters are not a homogeneous group. If any black Americans like chaos and incompetence, they can vote for Trump too.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7987 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:49 pm to
Too bad that the answer to "voting straight Democrat" is to vote Republican, who are equally worthless to this point
Posted by ninthward
Boston, MA
Member since May 2007
22750 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:50 pm to
well none of the current dem candidates resonate w blacks. Kamala? she was a fricking DA!
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
75354 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

What can the GOP offer black folks?



Border security.

Jobs.

Lower taxes.

Higher quality of life through overall economic prosperity.

Criminal justice reform. The #1 killer of black males is other black males. Save innocent black lives by locking up those who consistently fail to play by the rules of society and decency, instead of the revolving doors of the prison system.

Abortion reform. Black babies are the #1 abortion victims. GOP wants to protect those unborn lives.

I could go on, but that's enough to get us started.
Posted by beebefootballfan
Member since Mar 2011
20863 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:51 pm to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16396 posts
Posted on 9/9/19 at 7:53 pm to
The promise that they will offer hope for a self sustaining life rather than dependence on government.

All democrats really want is to stir the emotions of racism and create an entitlement mentality to keep them on the government wagon train.

It's sad.
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