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re: Zeta - The cleanup begins

Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:31 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:31 pm to
that the beginning of the northward turn at the end or a wobble?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Starting to look like an annular hurricane




That should be a bingo option.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:32 pm to
hard to tell will need more centers fixes
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93584 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:33 pm to
rt3...you better chill the frick out:

Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10830 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:33 pm to
Is it moving due north of west?
Posted by Notasnitch
Member since Dec 2017
315 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

annular

Anal what?
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15002 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

How many times does a hurricane come through and you make a case for wanting your heater to pop on


If the power goes out at least it won't be friggin hot and humid...
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

rt3...you better chill the frick out:

Posted by NolaTiger52
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2018
2120 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:38 pm to
TWC tweeted out “a narrow cone= a faster storm”

Is that always true? I thought it just meant they had a better idea of where it would go...
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74994 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

Is it moving due north of west?

Nope. Dude north.
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14209 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

Not bad




The ‘eye’ is gonna go right over my house
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 10:40 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74994 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

annular

quote:

Anal what?

Liar.

That's when she tells YOU she doesn't do butt stuff.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105225 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:41 pm to
Storm2k is wishcasting so bad for this thing to blow up.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:41 pm to
The cone is 2/3 of the error in track over the last five years at a given timestep. So at 12 hours, you have a cone that covers 2/3 of the track error over the past five years at 12 hours.

A narrow cone means it's getting a long way in a short period of time, so yes, it does show a fast moving storm. The cone though doesn't change in width due to confidence in the forecast.

Sally, Delta, and Zeta had the same cone width for the same time steps but Sally was way trickier and uncertain of a forecast.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25906 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:41 pm to
quote:


That's when she tells YOU she doesn't do butt stuff.


Just a couple more drinks and she will do butt stuff...
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14209 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:42 pm to
What are your estimates for wind speed in New Orleans duke?
Posted by NolaTiger52
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2018
2120 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:43 pm to
Thanks
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33461 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:44 pm to
I see the thread has now hit the delirious stage.
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
88509 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:44 pm to
Current forecast is speeds up to 60 with gusts up to 70

LINK
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14209 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:45 pm to
Cool link. Thank you
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