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re: Zeta - The cleanup begins
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:46 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:46 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
I see the thread has now hit the delirious stage.

Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:48 pm to TheRouxGuru
quote:
What are your estimates for wind speed in New Orleans
It is so track dependent and well, I don't do forecasts on here. Reasonably I think the range is 45-60 mph, assuming the NHC path and intensity is dead on accurate. Gusts pushing 60-75 mph. Farther west of the path and a stronger storm, and you start pushing the winds toward hurricane force and gusts higher.
The NWS forecast for my location in uptown is for winds of 60 mph with gusts near 75. It will be fast in and fast out. You'll get the high winds for like an hour with an hour ramp up and ramp down on each side.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:50 pm to Duke
Thanks. I’m actually staying on the Westbank and the only thing I’m concerned about is the wind. Doesn’t really flood too much where I’m at
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:52 pm to TheRouxGuru
I'll be posting through the night, so any questions feel free to ask.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:53 pm to Duke
NOLA bout to back to Phase twooooooooooo after this storm wrecks them.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:54 pm to Duke
Duke, I’m essential at work. My wife and kids age 10 and 7 will be riding this out in Old Metairie. Some of those models coming in at 960. Freaked me the hell out. Is that a real possibility that this thing will come in that strong? I wanted them to leave but my wife refuses
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:55 pm to Legion of Doom
The only reason to leave is if you cant survive without power or there is a big water oak set to fall on your house
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:56 pm to Duke
quote:
I'll be posting through the night, so any questions feel free to ask.
What are the odds that this thing can intensify into a Cat 2? Right now, time is our friend if this storm keeps moving quicker. The last thing we need is for the entire SE Louisiana region to be completely blindsided by this thing.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:56 pm to Duke
quote:
posting through the night, so any questions feel free to ask.
Oh how I dont miss the 3 hour feedings...
But now my little shits got attitudes and talk back so I kind of miss it
Posted on 10/27/20 at 10:57 pm to Cajunese
quote:
What are the odds that this thing can intensify into a Cat 2? Right now, time is our friend if this storm keeps moving quicker. The last thing we need is for the entire SE Louisiana region to be completely blindsided by this thing.
Oh good lord.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:01 pm to Legion of Doom
quote:
Is that a real possibility that this thing will come in that strong?
It's possible, we've got two pretty good models on intensity showing it but the HWRF for example that came in at like 962 has the storm with a pressure of 982 mb right now and a fully closed off eyewall. Which is too strong and not quite accurate on the structure. So that run is probably too strong.
It has a chance to ramp up very quickly in the next 12ish hours but I think the 960s pushing Cat 3 are overcooked at this point because the storm would be stronger now.
Now these 970s and a Cat 2, that seems like a reasonable possibility.
quote:
I wanted them to leave but my wife refuses
Hey, is your house pretty sturdy? Do you have a forest of water oaks around you or some outsized risk of trees falling on it? Assuming you're not worried about trees and you're not in a trailer in Old Metairie (
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:02 pm to Duke
quote:
I'll be posting through the night, so any questions feel free to ask.
is the Jay Grimes sleeve scale just a lie???????
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:04 pm to Duke
Thanks. My house has been renovated to the studs recently but I do have trailers a couple of blocks away??
This post was edited on 10/27/20 at 11:05 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:04 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Storm2k is wishcasting so bad for this thing to blow up.
Those fricking people.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:07 pm to Duke
I fully expect to wake up tomorrow and see this track shift west more towards Houma.
I decided to take my grandmother to Hammond like last storm and stay at a friend since he has a house generator. Not sure that was a good idea if it hits somewhere like Houma. Hope it doesn't carve up on that path when it heads NE. Obviously depends on how far west it gets.
I decided to take my grandmother to Hammond like last storm and stay at a friend since he has a house generator. Not sure that was a good idea if it hits somewhere like Houma. Hope it doesn't carve up on that path when it heads NE. Obviously depends on how far west it gets.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:10 pm to Duke
quote:
The NWS forecast for my location in uptown is for winds of 60 mph with gusts near 75
What part of uptown?
I'm in the nice part so I only expect courteous 30mph winds.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:11 pm to Duke
Brother Duke,
1) Just checking to see if you and your family are OK.
2) Tonight, I happened to capture this WeatherUnderground wind prediction for Chelsea, AL (zip 35043, south suburb of Birmingham). Other than being cool to see the remnant eye predicted to pass over our office, what's your take? Computer glitch? Amazingly accurate prediction?

1) Just checking to see if you and your family are OK.
2) Tonight, I happened to capture this WeatherUnderground wind prediction for Chelsea, AL (zip 35043, south suburb of Birmingham). Other than being cool to see the remnant eye predicted to pass over our office, what's your take? Computer glitch? Amazingly accurate prediction?

Posted on 10/27/20 at 11:15 pm to NorthEndZone
That looks like shite
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