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Started By
Message
Posted on 7/6/21 at 6:51 am to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Tropical Storm #Elsa Advisory 24A: Elsa Just West of Key West. Expected to Strengthen.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 8:43 am to Duke
quote:
I love what the Euro is doing this year.
00z & 06z still try to make a hurricane out of this.
Host - Euro, what is your final prediction?
Euro - Open wave lifting out east of Florida through the Bahamas.
Host - Is that your final answer?
Euro - Yes! Wait.
Host - Most other models show this as a weak storm in the Gulf.
Euro - I changed my mind. Hurricane in the Gulf!
It really is a clown show right now in the tropics.
Narrator - The next day Elsa strengthened into a hurricane in the Gulf and all declared the Euro King!
Posted on 7/6/21 at 9:18 am to rds dc
live streaming in the Keys shows moms and kids strolling on wharves right now at Islamorado. I don's see any waves out of the ordinary thunderstorm where facing the water and wind.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 10:50 am to rds dc
Maybe one of the buoys will pick up the NHC windspeed, not even close yet. 30kts or less for the most part
Posted on 7/6/21 at 10:52 am to rds dc
Elsa is giving us a good, early lashing right now in the Tampa area.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 10:54 am to Wolfhound45
Rainy day here in Naples but that's about it. No wind to speak of.
ETA: Forecast says windy in a few hours but nothing crazy. 25-35.
ETA: Forecast says windy in a few hours but nothing crazy. 25-35.
This post was edited on 7/6/21 at 10:56 am
Posted on 7/6/21 at 11:13 am to VABuckeye
I am in Palmetto. Poured down just now. But yeah, no high winds.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 11:32 am to rds dc
quote:
00z & 06z still try to make a hurricane out of this.
Host - Euro, what is your final prediction?
Euro - Open wave lifting out east of Florida through the Bahamas.
Host - Is that your final answer?
Euro - Yes! Wait.
Host - Most other models show this as a weak storm in the Gulf.
Euro - I changed my mind. Hurricane in the Gulf!
It really is a clown show right now in the tropics.
Narrator - The next day Elsa strengthened into a hurricane in the Gulf and all declared the Euro King!

Posted on 7/6/21 at 11:41 am to Wolfhound45
I'm close to you. Need to move all my shite from my dock. Hearing 60mph winds
Posted on 7/6/21 at 11:54 am to rds dc
Convection attempting to build upshear (into the shear and towards the LLC). This can lower surface pressures even if shear eventually beats the convection back. Storms are pretty solid so a good shot at heavy rain and wind along Western Florida today & tonight.
ETA: Recon VDM pins it at 1000mb, so for once the convective pattern and recon match up lol

ETA: Recon VDM pins it at 1000mb, so for once the convective pattern and recon match up lol
This post was edited on 7/6/21 at 12:30 pm
Posted on 7/6/21 at 12:00 pm to Wolfhound45
I escaped Tampa via the airport earlier this morning. All was quiet but I assumed the storm would start dicking all the flights up by the afternoon.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 12:01 pm to rds dc
Looks like I won't have to water the garden Thursday. Sweeeeet.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 1:12 pm to rds dc
Waterspouts are popping up here and there today. With how Elsa is organized and a chance on both sides of the peninsula, some good video of them could be caught. I like a good waterspout video, so I'm hoping some folks have their cameras ready.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 1:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
You are actually hoping for water spouts???? 

Posted on 7/6/21 at 1:45 pm to LegendInMyMind
Saw one in the bay once in Tampa. Beautiful to watch.
So much power.
So much power.
Posted on 7/6/21 at 1:47 pm to dukke v
quote:
You are actually hoping for water spouts????

Posted on 7/6/21 at 1:52 pm to rds dc
JBE press conference this evening-
“Now is not the time to let you guard down. We all know how unpredictable these storms are. Smack. This is a very dangerous storm and has the potential to cause significant damage. Smack. Please continue taking precautions and put you personal emergency plans in place. Smack, *white foam in corner of mouth*. The most important part of that plan is to make sure you get vaccinated? Smack ummmm.”
“Now is not the time to let you guard down. We all know how unpredictable these storms are. Smack. This is a very dangerous storm and has the potential to cause significant damage. Smack. Please continue taking precautions and put you personal emergency plans in place. Smack, *white foam in corner of mouth*. The most important part of that plan is to make sure you get vaccinated? Smack ummmm.”
Posted on 7/6/21 at 2:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
Looks like it’s heading right for Gainesville with us getting the NE side of the storm. We had pretty bad flooding and a ton of downed trees from Irma a few years ago and that was as a weak cat 1 / TS and with it still pretty far west from us. We have so many damn trees here and big flooding areas with a shitty infrastructure, Gville is screwed if it ever gets a direct hit. There are a lot of Floridians that have never gotten a direct hit (eyewall) from one of these things and act like they’re no big deal.
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