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Started By
Message
3
Posted on 9/11/21 at 8:50 pm to Klark Kent
quote:
damn. i stand corrected.
Yeah, our area has been a rain hotspot ever since Harvey.
60”+ for Harvey over a few days
40”+ for Imelda in about 36 hrs
17”+ for a random May storm
If we’re only getting 10-15” over 2-3 days it’ll be ok
Posted on 9/11/21 at 8:54 pm to LegendInMyMind
YOu talking about the thing in the gulf? How Far East do y’all think it’ll get?
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:06 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
That Southern most area coming off Africa could be interesting.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:07 pm to Duke
quote:
That Southern most area coming off Africa could be interesting.
quote:
Duke
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:08 pm to Cosmo
Cosmo, what’s it looking like for SWLA? Any wind or just a bunch of rain? When does it start?
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
It seems like all season the models have been too far west with systems out of the BOC and gradually end up going east.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:16 pm to LSUJML
We're talking really long range on that, but it looks like there's going to be a ridge over the NE that would serve to keep that system moving more west and implies a threat to somewhere in the USA. Thanks to a little jet stream and decaying super typhoon interaction.
Still huge questions on forward speed (ensemble spreads are wide E to W still) and how quickly it would organize.
Still huge questions on forward speed (ensemble spreads are wide E to W still) and how quickly it would organize.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:17 pm to Duke
Duke, shoot me straight…how much rain am I getting with this thing in the Gulf?
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:18 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Duke, shoot me straight…how much rain am I getting with this thing in the Gulf?
About tree fiddy.
Or about zero. Zero is looking pretty good in Austin. All going to be east loaded with the rain and right along the coast. Houston gets some rain. You...well don't.
This post was edited on 9/11/21 at 9:19 pm
Posted on 9/11/21 at 9:32 pm to Duke
What is LC looking like? When will it start in this area? Monday night?
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:14 pm to Duke
quote:
Or about zero. Zero is looking pretty good in Austin.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:25 pm to SlowFlowPro
Levi convinced this will decouple and be a rain event. Nothing more
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:31 pm to Cosmo
I may have to drive in it. Just curious when Monday it may get bad
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:31 pm to SlowFlowPro
Gonna be monday-wednesday
Just depends on where bands set up
Just depends on where bands set up
This post was edited on 9/11/21 at 10:32 pm
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:33 pm to SlowFlowPro
Cosmo's advice seems solid. Even if it doesnt decouple, the ceiling is still strong TS.
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:50 pm to Duke
I keep my boat on a lift in west Galveston bay. How much surge are we potentially looking at?Contemplating going to get my trailer a s getting it out of the water.
This post was edited on 9/11/21 at 10:51 pm
Posted on 9/11/21 at 10:54 pm to Duke
GFS really strenthens it along Texas coast, sure it will weaken once it gets closer to the upper part. Yep barely a tropical storm when it makes landfall near lake charles
This post was edited on 9/11/21 at 11:05 pm
Posted on 9/11/21 at 11:12 pm to lsuman25
From a Houston perspective, seems like a stronger storm may consolidate the rainfall and keep a lot of it offshore. Until it gets to Louisiana. At least that's what the gfs is showing. Also Levi explained that the sw shear could push all the train east.
This post was edited on 9/11/21 at 11:13 pm
Posted on 9/12/21 at 5:58 am to Duke
Has anything changed overnight Duke?
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