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Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:54 pm to Paul Allen
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:54 pm to Paul Allen
Isn't it unusual for them to predict such massive amounts of rain as far east as Pensacola when this thing is hitting in basically Houston??
5
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:56 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Isn't it unusual for them to predict such massive amounts of rain as far east as Pensacola when this thing is hitting in basically Houston??
I'm still of the opinion we here in the BR area will end up getting much more than the 5" they're predicting. This is going to pull so much moisture up from the Gulf over our area, then converge with a stalled front over our area. We're in for a deluge over the next few days.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:58 pm to Fun Bunch
Not with a storm organized (well really lacking organization) like this one.
The center of the storm isnt covered by clouds. All of the rain and weather is being displaced to the east side of the storm by shear.
The center of the storm isnt covered by clouds. All of the rain and weather is being displaced to the east side of the storm by shear.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:59 pm to Fun Bunch
You can tell by looking at the moisture maps that western Florida is going to get a lot of rain.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 3:59 pm to LSU5508
quote:
I know it is slim but what are the chances this thing keeps drifting due west keeping most of the heavier rain offshore?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:00 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:Its not hitting Houston, it is hitting the northern gulf coast. The circulation center is irrelevant in this storm.
Isn't it unusual for them to predict such massive amounts of rain as far east as Pensacola when this thing is hitting in basically Houston??
Youre going to have places get 3 inches and places a town over get 8.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:01 pm to Fun Bunch
Most of the precipitation models have been pretty consistent over the last couple days.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:09 pm to poops_at_parties
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:11 pm to junkfunky
So, when does the flooding start?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:12 pm to iliveinabox
quote:
So, when does the flooding start?
After about beer 5 or 6.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:13 pm to iliveinabox
I'm flying out of MSY for Miami at 6am Thursday morning? Should everything be chill by then?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:13 pm to jdd48
i think this will be the 5th worst rain event of the last month for south louisiana.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:14 pm to JBeam
Might be an exciting takeoff, but I doubt they close the airport over this. I'd keep an eye on things, and check the thread on the travel board.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:14 pm to iliveinabox
quote:
So, when does the flooding start?
And where da white womenz at?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:15 pm to iliveinabox
quote:
So, when does the flooding start?
In about 14 hours
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:16 pm to jdd48
how is it that so many models were off with this thing. before they were deleted from the original post almost all of the models had this thing taking a more northern track to go over new orleans area, and they have all shifted westward with the progression of Cindy. they are all so tightly packed in their projections and not one of them had this thing moving west, why is that?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:19 pm to Happygilmore
Simply put weather is still not well understood. Models have gotten much better but still are not 100% accurate
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:20 pm to Happygilmore
quote:
how is it that so many models were off with this thing.
They're models. They have limitation and any misread they have on the atmosphere near the start propogates through. Closer to the event, the setup for steering is far better know.
Also, both the GFS and Euro pegged something to develop some ten plus days ago, that's impressive if you ask me.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:21 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
Lower Terrebonne and Lafourche about to get soggy. How will this affect the fishing? Planning a trip around the 1st.
This post was edited on 6/20/17 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 6/20/17 at 4:22 pm to iliveinabox
quote:
So, when does the flooding start?
Amite is up roughly 16-20 inches from what it was 24 hours ago.
okay? Downvote a fact This post was edited on 6/20/17 at 4:30 pm
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