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The Weather Apps got me good today.

Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:24 pm
Posted by Sunnyvale
Little ST. James
Member since Feb 2024
3945 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:24 pm
Predicting only today and yesterday NO Rain. The rest of the week si suppose to rain like the dickens.

Got my Trim boards out painting and my front porch.

No Sign of Rain Anywhere.

Leave for Lunch to let dry.

MoonSoon comes down. Just Stopped Raining.


This is some BS right here.
I had Trees to Trim. Roofs to patch.
This is some BS right here.
They got me good.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132834 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:26 pm to
Put down the weed
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6692 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

This is some BS right here. I had Trees to Trim. Roofs to patch. This is some BS right here. They got me good.

Worst Haiku ever.
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
61733 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

They got me good.


You mean to tell me cutting funding to the NOAA and National Weather Service had consequences?

Posted by DrewTheEngineer
Baton Rouge (Oak Hills)
Member since Jun 2006
1379 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:37 pm to
11:00 AM: Heat advisory

1:00PM: Sever thunderstorm warning
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143862 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:38 pm to
Thank you for this extra special glimpse into your life
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
12236 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:39 pm to
No one cares about you painting your shack.
Posted by Deadmanshand
Member since Jun 2026
273 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:40 pm to
Typical weather in Louisiana. Rain chance is based on coverage, not intensity. We get (as I call them) tiny balls of death that pop up simply due to heat and humidity. They are difficult to predict.
Posted by WHATASHAME
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2009
737 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:52 pm to
You should supplement your forecast app with a quality radar app. Trust, but verify.
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
12236 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Rain chance is based on coverage


Do you know how big the coverage area is? 30 mile diameter? 20?
Posted by Deadmanshand
Member since Jun 2026
273 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 4:02 pm to
quote:


Do you know how big the coverage area is? 30 mile diameter? 20?


Forecast area is determined by the meteorologist. TV meteorologists typically use viewing area. Smaller areas depend on model runs.
Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
13488 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 4:04 pm to
For all the technological advances, we still can’t predict if it will rain or not.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
82711 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 4:05 pm to
My app was calling for scattered storms at dinner time. Got a monsoon just after lunch.
Posted by EventHorizon
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
1057 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 4:12 pm to
it was a very noticeable drop-off in prediction quality around that time. This is not a political comment, it is simply my experience. Wunderground has been my go-to site for forecast, especially for rain movement on the radar map. I know people love to say weathermen are overpaid to predict wrong, but the site/models have been spot on for 3-4 years, often down to the minutes and specifically the coverage area. It does not work like that anymore.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13497 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 5:45 pm to
That why you cannot trust weather apps and models.

Look at a trusty radar and satellite imagery before making any decisions for outside work.

Don’t believe apps that tell you rain ending in 7 minutes or rain starting at 2:30 today.

Too many variables, this isn’t Back to Future II 2015 where they could get that level of accuracy.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76451 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 5:55 pm to
It has a lot to do with the decrease in weather balloon launches across the country. Launches have been reduced significantly, and that data not only provides information at the regional and local level, but also collectively goes into every model that is used. A not insignificant amount of reliable data just no longer exists, at least not at all consistently.
This post was edited on 9/7/26 at 5:57 pm
Posted by X123F45
Dictated not Read
Member since Apr 2015
30101 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

For all the technological advances, we still can’t predict if it will rain or not


Sure you can.

Walk outside, breathe deeply.

If you can't smell it you're good for an hour
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13704 posts
Posted on 9/7/26 at 6:10 pm to
Friend,

I have never understood why people place faith in meteorologists or their silly apps. Meteorology is not quite a science, at least not in the traditional sense of a discipline capable of telling us what will actually happen. It is closer to astrology with Doppler radar. They will tell you there is a 40% chance of rain, which is really a confession, a way of admitting they have no idea whether it will rain. Mother, by contrast, simply looks toward the sky, feels the breeze, and knows.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
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