re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

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Gfs Monday

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When is the team scheduled to leave BR?

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(3) forecast models continue to put Louisiana in the crosshairs … Monday as most likely arrival time but could be here as early as late Sunday

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I remember the last big storm we had hit SE LA on August 29th.

This may be a dumb question, but if Duke or rds would like to chime in, I'd appreciate it. How often do these kinds of storms happen where the CofC isn't necessarily known where it's going to pop up? Like is there a long history of storms like this struggling to form and doesn't really give much time for the folks on the coast where landfall was eventually made very much time to prepare or leave?

And I may be way off in saying it's "struggling" to form but what I mean is that forecasters having a tough time pinning down where this thing will form. This seems like a fascinating and more dangerous storm, even if it doesn't grow to a strong cat 3 storm, just for the fact that it seems like when this thing does take shape, there isn't going to be much time for those under the greatest threat to get out or prep. Lots of folks are gonna prep based on some of these model runs and not much come their way. And that's the familiar scenario of people not heeding future warnings.

It just seems this storm is gonna be a bitch for forecasters.

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Gfs Monday

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Fuuuuckkk

Adult diaper: [back On] Off

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remember the last big storm we had hit SE LA on August 29th.

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Last week of august and first week of September are always our hot hurricane time.

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Just so you guys know, since living in for the past year Baldwin County, every time we have plans to leave town, the system always comes directly towards Mobile/Baldwin county. We're going out of town this weekend, so it will shift right and hit us. You're welcome Louisiana.

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We're just rebuilt here after Sally

The fact that this thing will/could ramp up and NOLA will have 48 hours to evac? this is shaping up for an all time shite show....gotta love that wall to wall traffic/contraflow ....

Ummmm I'm not like this AT ALL! frick you La Nina!!!!

That’s a cat 2 all the way up to BR. There’s never been a hurricane in Baton Rouge with sustained cat 2 winds

Exactly. Look what happened to Baton Rouge during Gustav’s 92mph gusts and sustained 60mph winds! A cat 2 near Baton Rouge with sustained winds 90-105mph would bring gusts to 120ishmph. People say “aw that’s just a cat 2” but a cat 2 that far inland is a big deal.