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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:30 am to Cosmo
quote:
People on here were melting hard about the cone with both Fred and Grace
I remember one poster saying that they shouldn't be able to move the cone as if the cone should stay on the graphic while the storm goes and wrecks someone 200 miles over without warning
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:30 am to Cosmo
When should I cut my grass?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:31 am to BeeFense5
quote:
I remember one poster saying that they shouldn't be able to move the cone as if the cone should stay on the graphic while the storm goes and wrecks someone 200 miles over without warning
People are stupid.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:31 am to RummelTiger
quote:
So, exactly how will this be dropping rain on my yard in Austin?
BINGO!
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:32 am to BeeFense5
The experts are definitely rds, Duke, and Levi/Space City Weather.
The Boat and Slackster seem to know what they’re talking about as well.
The Boat and Slackster seem to know what they’re talking about as well.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:33 am to DiamondDog
quote:
BINGO
And that post got downvoted…
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:34 am to Cosmo
quote:
Because there is no storm
This is 69 pages about an open wave
We've all become addicted to panic and hysteria.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:34 am to Spasweezy
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:34 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
My thoughts/opinions here ...
Graphics Credits: tropicaltidbits.com & hurricanes.ral.ucar.edu
As of 6AM: Still 4 days out from a potential Louisiana landfall … and things certainly could change. Keep in mind that the "average" NHC 4-day track error is roughly 150 miles, so that leaves lots of wiggle room.
However, we are seeing some persistence and continuity in the forecast model updates which means confidence as a Louisiana threat is increasing.
(1) now up to 90% chance of development in the next 48 hours ... in fact, likely becomes TD #9 or TS Ida within the next 24 hours and certainly a TS before reaching the Gulf early Saturday
(2) seems destined to become a hurricane long before landfall … expecting first Louisiana coastal watches to be issued by/before Friday night ... some models suggest it could become a 'major' hurricane
(3) forecast models continue to put Louisiana in the crosshairs … Monday as most likely arrival time but could be here as early as late Sunday
(4) some suggestions that the system could slow its forward speed as it reaches the coast and moves inland ... that certainly won't help things
(5) shaping up to be both a wind and rain/flood threat … widespread double digits rains from the coast inland to at least the I-10/12 corridor with localized bullseyes of 15”+ possible
(6) NHC may 'upgrade' the system to Potential Tropical Cyclone #9 today ... which would result in the NHC issuing a forecast cone along with watches/warnings for the western/northwestern Caribbean
Jay Grimes posted this and shared on his WAFB Facebook Page around an hour or so ago...At work so having issue posting a link hence the wall of text. But very interesting.
I'll hang up and listen to the OT Experts now.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:35 am to LSUfanNkaty
quote:
Peej is better at weather than 99% of the people on SCW
The only thing the PEEJ model is good for is predicting opposite intensity and where it won’t land. It’s kind of like an inverse storm model. It also runs whenever the hell it wants and uses no data whether historic or current.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 8:36 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:36 am to Spasweezy
quote:Saturday, 6 AM.
When should I cut my grass?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:36 am to OneSaintsFan
That seems pretty straightforward, what do you need an explanation on for what Grimes posted?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:36 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
The Boat
pshhhhhh
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:38 am to UpToPar
The Boat is best at recalling obscure facts about any and all storms that have occurred since the year 1857. If it happened, he knows about it.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:38 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
The Boat and Slackster seem to know what they’re talking about as well.
Now youve gone and done it
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:41 am to rds dc
Pucker time
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:41 am to pistolpete23
Gfs Monday
Euro Monday
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 8:51 am
Posted on 8/26/21 at 8:42 am to rds dc
Just so you guys know, since living in Baldwin County for the past year, every time we have plans to leave town, the system always comes directly towards Mobile/Baldwin county. We're going out of town this weekend, so it will shift right and hit us. You're welcome Louisiana.
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 11:10 am
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