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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:24 am to
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26617 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:24 am to
quote:

Gustav gave BR some of its strongest winds ever recorded.


Correct. Sustained winds at the airport were around 60mph, likely a bit stronger towards St George and St Gabriel.

Might beat that with this storm.

Was a little alarmed when WAFB noted the possibility of 110 mph winds in the city. Looks like that might be a bit of an over estimate with the latest updates. Hopefully it won’t be anything near that.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 10:26 am
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162969 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:24 am to
And the water boys
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103128 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:25 am to
quote:

But Katrina was boasted as a “Cat 4”

But I seem to remember that after retroactive analysis of wind measurements in the New Orleans area it was only a Cat 2/3 when it hit that area. Again that’s just a vague memory I have because when I heard that it really surprised me.


Katrina went through an eye wall replacement cycle like 2 hours prior to landfall that dropped its winds to around 120 (cat 3) but it still carried a Cat 5 surge
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177654 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Don’t try to argue facts with those who have little to no understanding of them. You’ll never win.


Plus those recordings are from the airport which is north of the city. South BR.. especially Iberville and SW Ascension gusted over 100 mph. That's where the electrical grid was really worked over. Those huge metal line towers were twisted and knocked down.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102199 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Chicken

wyd
Posted by AnthonyJenningsPrais
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2020
176 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:27 am to
I threw a 20lb bag of ice into the water. That storm can’t handle the ice.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177654 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Was a little alarmed when WAFB noted the possibility of 110 mph winds in the city. Looks like that might be a bit of an over estimate with the latest updates. Hopefully it won’t be anything near that.


If Gustav gusted to 100 mph right south of BR and 91 at the airport 110 wouldn't shock me in south BR from this one being a stronger and closer track to BR than Gustav.
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1806 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:27 am to
quote:

if the levees didn’t fail and New Orleans didn’t flood like it did, it would not be remembered as she is today.


No fricking shite, & if Ted Bundy hadn’t raped and murdered all those people, he would’ve been remembered as a pretty nice guy.
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
11310 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
Probability for 74MPH winds

This is the only map I don't quite understand. All bands are in 10% increments. According to this map, BR has a 20% chance to see 74MPH winds, however, I would think Dulac has a better than 40% chance???

Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
11310 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
Probability for 74MPH winds

This is the only map I don't quite understand. All bands are in 10% increments. According to this map, BR has a 20% chance to see 74MPH winds, however, I would think Dulac has a better than 40% chance???

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91846 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Katrina went through an eye wall replacement cycle like 2 hours prior to landfall that dropped its winds to around 120 (cat 3) but it still carried a Cat 5 surge



We know.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216545 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
The good ole days……
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91846 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
quote:

This is the only map I don't quite understand. All bands are in 10% increments. According to this map, BR has a 20% chance to see 74MPH winds, however, I would think Dulac has a better than 40% chance???



Takes into account track fluctuations and that stuff.
Posted by Cuz413
Member since Nov 2007
11310 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
Probability for 74MPH winds

This is the only map I don't quite understand. All bands are in 10% increments. According to this map, BR has a 20% chance to see 74MPH winds, however, I would think Dulac has a better than 40% chance???

Posted by UnitedFruitCompany
Bay Area
Member since Nov 2018
4125 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Delta Chaser with the Gizmo puppet


Is that the dude who had to ride out a storm in a high school parking deck in LA? Dude is nuts.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177654 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:29 am to
quote:

This is the only map I don't quite understand. All bands are in 10% increments. According to this map, BR has a 20% chance to see 74MPH winds, however, I would think Dulac has a better than 40% chance???


Check again 36 hours from now. Those percentage probability maps are useless a couple of days out.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26617 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:29 am to
quote:

It would have to be a shack to have problems in 110 mph winds. Katrina hit NOLA with at least that


Max sustained in Katrina was 69 mph at Lakefront airport.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:30 am to
Just finished cutting the yard
Posted by AnthonyJenningsPrais
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2020
176 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:31 am to
First mow of the season
Posted by DiamondDog
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2019
13320 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 10:31 am to
Fun fact. Because NOLA did not issue a mandatory evacuation your renters/home insurance will not have to initially pay housing expenses for those evacuating (loss of use).
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 10:32 am
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