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Southeast Severe Weather: January 8-9, 2024

Posted on 1/6/24 at 6:02 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42210 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 6:02 am
Tuesday, January 9th:





This post was edited on 1/9/24 at 5:35 am
Posted by Pezzo
Member since Aug 2020
1932 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 6:28 am to
I ain’t complaining after that summer

Bring on La Nina
Posted by schwartzy
New Orleans
Member since May 2014
9030 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 6:29 am to
Looks like the threat hasn’t increased from 2 days ago. What’s the main threat here? Squall or discrete cells?

All I know is Bassfield, Sumrall, Monticello, Columbia, and Laurel are always under a loaded gun time and time again on days like this.
This post was edited on 1/6/24 at 6:32 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42210 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 6:39 am to
quote:

Looks like the threat hasn’t increased from 2 days ago. What’s the main threat here? Squall or discrete cells?

SPC is talking about the potential for supercell development, particularly across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62739 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 7:05 am to
Let's hope this coastal system will remain tame.
Posted by FrankandBeans
Member since Sep 2022
419 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 8:14 am to
Seeing some hints of winter weather event around 22nd. Any validity to that?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42210 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Seeing some hints of winter weather event around 22nd. Any validity to that?

Way too far out to know, but it looks like we will have a number of storm systems rolling down the line over the next few weeks.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53703 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

Looks like the threat hasn’t increased from 2 days ago. What’s the main threat here? Squall or discrete cells?

The question is going to be moisture and how far inland adequate moisture is able to get. There will be plenty of shear (spin) and okay CAPE. This is one of those setups that the Mobile area hates.

The main change since the initial 15% on the extended outlook is the area has been expanded farther North. Looks to be messy ahead of the front, but any cell that can last will have rotation. Eventually, it should line out into what is looking like a nasty QLCS that would likely have embedded rotation.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41466 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 2:21 pm to
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 26 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Louisiana and southern
Mississippi.

* WHEN...From noon Monday to 6 AM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39874 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 3:59 pm to
Should we not wait until there is at least orange colored enhanced risk on the map before posting a freak out thread?
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65535 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Bassfield, Sumrall, Monticello, Columbia, and Laurel
No offense but not our best and brightest.

People are voting with their feet from those places over the past thirty years or so.
This post was edited on 1/6/24 at 4:07 pm
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15035 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Bring on La Nina


LA Nina dry.
El Nino is SUPPOSED to be wetter.
Posted by FLTech
the A
Member since Sep 2017
12253 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:26 pm to
I really missed the days when a thunderstorm was well, a thunderstorm and not some stupid fricking level 1-5 weather event.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42210 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Should we not wait until there is at least orange colored enhanced risk on the map before posting a freak out thread?

What makes this a freakout thread? There are those of us here that enjoy discussing weather, even when it’s not a high end severe weather threat.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42210 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

I really missed the days when a thunderstorm was well, a thunderstorm and not some stupid fricking level 1-5 weather event.

Well, SPC has been doing daily convective outlooks like this for a long time.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53703 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

I really missed the days when a thunderstorm was well, a thunderstorm and not some stupid fricking level 1-5 weather event.

I think you will manage.

In a country where idiots can't comprehend the difference between a Watch and Warning, or pick out their county on a map, people need all the heads up they can get.
This post was edited on 1/6/24 at 4:49 pm
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13361 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:48 pm to
wouldnt be surprised to see some orange show up
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90526 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Should we not wait until there is at least orange colored enhanced risk on the map before posting a freak out thread?


I’ve seen slight risks way overperform before
Posted by FLTech
the A
Member since Sep 2017
12253 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 4:59 pm to
For example:

Watching the local news last night, they were screaming of a level 2 threat in my area. Take cover, bla bla bla

It was a 1 hour (if that) thunderstorm. A few lightning strikes here and there but just a normal thunderstorm. It's ridiculous.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58108 posts
Posted on 1/6/24 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

FLTech


You were probably smoking crack last night and don’t even know what you were watching.
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