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Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:13 pm to 50_Tiger
I don’t do math.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:15 pm to doubleb
quote:
It can only be a silver ball or the gold ball that was in the box with two gold balls.
50/50 chance it's the gold one
Wrong. It can be the silver ball. It can also be either of the golf balls in the two gold box, considering you could have chosen either of them on the first pick. 67% chance.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:16 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Why is this 27 pages
Because there is a limited amount of posts per page. It is driven by the total number of posts.
Simple division, Mr. CUP.
Wow...
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:19 pm to LCA131
I saw the thread title this morning and thought it had serious potential.
Thanks for clarifying. I was about to start a thread about it
Thanks for clarifying. I was about to start a thread about it
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:21 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Thanks for clarifying. I was about to start a thread about it
I've considerable experience on this site. All with the same name. Never been banned. I irritate some folks though.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:21 pm to shel311
quote:
Can you explain why if you run a simulation of this thousands of times, you land near 67% and not 50%?
because the AS box as an option, is included in those sims?
Run the sim with the only options being the AG box and the M box, and get back to me
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:28 pm to slackster
It can be a silver ball
It can be the "sister" to a gold ball that shared the box and that's it.
That's it, one of two balls.
It's not either of the silver "sisters"
Its not the silver ball that shared s box with the gold ball.
It's not the gold ball in your hand.
The ball left in the box has to one of two balls not three. A gold one or a silver one.
Now if I had one box and it contained three gold balls and one silver ball then if I reached in and pulled a gold ball out, the chances of me pulling another gold ball out is 67%.
It can be the "sister" to a gold ball that shared the box and that's it.
That's it, one of two balls.
It's not either of the silver "sisters"
Its not the silver ball that shared s box with the gold ball.
It's not the gold ball in your hand.
The ball left in the box has to one of two balls not three. A gold one or a silver one.
Now if I had one box and it contained three gold balls and one silver ball then if I reached in and pulled a gold ball out, the chances of me pulling another gold ball out is 67%.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:29 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Winston Cup
I think the OP should start another one tomorrow but change it to pulling a silver ball.
Or use 2 completely different colors..
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:37 pm to 50_Tiger
28 pages of picking balls - is this the soccer board?
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:41 pm to doubleb
You are wrong and you have to apologize
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:53 pm to ell_13
No
I'm correct
50:50
Guys are using the math incorrectly.
Deductive reasoning works
I'm correct
50:50
Guys are using the math incorrectly.
Deductive reasoning works
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:53 pm to 50_Tiger
It's 50/50. You have to draw out of the same box. There is only 1 gold ball left or 1 silver ball left.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 7:57 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
because the AS box as an option, is included in those sims?
Run the sim with the only options being the AG box and the M box, and get back to me
You're wrong. It's the Monty Hall problem. Ignore the all silver box.
You've got two boxes. One box has two gold balls. The other box has a gold and a silver ball.
You reach into a box and pull out a gold ball. There were three gold balls, one box with two and one box with one. What are the chances that the gold ball you pulled out came from the all gold box?
You're unintelligent if you think it's 50/50.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:00 pm to slackster
Scruffy is embarrassed by this thread.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:09 pm to Scruffy
quote:
Scruffy is embarrassed by this thread
Bruh, it's 50/50. There is one box with two golds and one box with a silver. If I take a gold out of either one, I'm left with either a gold or silver, ergo, 50/50.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:11 pm to slackster
Did they clarify whether it was yellow gold, white gold, some off color variant, etc.?
If that is the case, the chance of having the same color gold is 0%.
How do we know all the gold balls are the same gold variant?
If that is the case, the chance of having the same color gold is 0%.
How do we know all the gold balls are the same gold variant?
This post was edited on 7/23/18 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:14 pm to slackster
You’re doing the lords work here, slack.
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:15 pm to slackster
quote:you are finally understanding it
You've got two boxes. One box has two gold balls. The other box has a gold and a silver ball.
You reach into a box and pull out a gold ball. There were three gold balls, one box with two and one box with one. What are the chances that the gold ball you pulled out came from the all gold box?
Posted on 7/23/18 at 8:17 pm to PearlJam
quote:
you are finally understanding it
, doesn't change my take that there are 3 possible balls left for that second choice. 
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