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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:08 pm to
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Hopefully the shift continues


Could easily shift back the other way next update. In my uneducated opinion, it seems to be a lot of uncertainty with intensity and even the track at this point.
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

I knew a guy who rode out Katrina in a house boat by Indian Village, he said when the boat got over the power lines is when he got scared...


My folks live in the back of Quail Ridge near The Settlement. Their property is partially swamp about a quarter mile from the Old Pearl River (I seem to recall it was called something different when I was younger). Their house is on a high spot (mound?) and sits at 14' ASL. The surge from Katrina came from both across from the Rigolets in front and then up the Pearl River system from the back. They got about a foot to 18" of water that rolled through and settled at 4-6" for at least a few hours based on the water marks in the living room.

Many houses in the middle part of Quail Ridge got little to no water. Problem was the wind. There were at least 3 tornadoes (or "micro-vortices") that tore through the heavily wooded area... as in they could see their paths via satellite photos afterward.
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
33594 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

Many houses in the middle part of Quail Ridge got little to no water. Problem was the wind. There were at least 3 tornadoes (or "micro-vortices") that tore through the heavily wooded area... as in they could see their paths via satellite photos afterward.


That’s what was crazy about that area with Katrina, out little piece of shite camp had no damage what so ever. Matter of fact, we had a decoy that was still sitting on the porch rail when we finally got to it.. They had trees around it that were completely twisted and splintered, which I'm sure were caused by micro vortices. They estimated there were 70,000 trees down in the swamp after...
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 4:19 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

@JackSillin
26s
Here's the latest overview map for #Sally using data from the 5 PM EDT NHC advisory. Key messages remain the same: -Major surge threat for SE #LAwx & S #MSwx. -Extremely heavy rainfall of 1-2 feet from far SE LA to #ALwx and far W #FLwx. -Hurricane-force winds for parts of SE LA


Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14673 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:15 pm to
I would appreciate another shift east. My apologies to those east of me.
Posted by used2becool
Member since Feb 2018
110 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:16 pm to


This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 4:18 pm
Posted by treyk89
Member since Oct 2003
2264 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

I would appreciate another shift east. My apologies to those east of me.


I get it. Maybe somebody can jump in here, but I think there is more potential for further adjustments west than east. I heard that on the news earlier.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182174 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

and don't need to have power you'll be ok staying


Will a cat 1 really knock out power that easily in NOLA?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:24 pm to
Do you understand what kind of winds a cat 1 possesses?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182174 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:27 pm to
Yes I have been through just about every level of storm the same as most people in the South. If that is all it takes to knock out power for a city the size of NOLA then thats pretty crazy.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7675 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:30 pm to
quote:


Will a cat 1 really knock out power that easily in NOLA


Are you serious?

Will knock out power anywhere.

Doesn't even need to be hurricane winds. Prolonged tropical force winds will do it. Nothing unique about New Orleans in that respect.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Will a cat 1 really knock out power that easily in NOLA?


Yeah, it's New Orleans and prolonged TS conditions will knock out power most places.

Baton Rouge only got Cat 1 conditions for Gustav, and how long was power out for most places?
Posted by kengel2
Team Gun
Member since Mar 2004
33723 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Yes I have been through just about every level of storm the same as most people in the South.


Just curious, where are you?
Posted by LSU2001
Cut Off, La.
Member since Nov 2007
2388 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:32 pm to
Well I guess Terrebonne-Lafourche is fricked because Martin Folse has a split-screen with a satellite feed of the storm and a fishing show and he has THE STICK out and overlaid the satellite feed. LOL


Those in the Houma Thibodaux area know all about Martin Folse and his Stick!
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 4:35 pm
Posted by FCP
Delta State Univ. - Fightin' Okra
Member since Sep 2010
5168 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:35 pm to
Just got the robocall saying that all Livingston Parish public schools are closed tomorrow (September 14).
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61723 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:35 pm to
We have old power poles and old trees all up in the lines in around the Nola area. It doesn’t take much to cause power to go out
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33487 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:37 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50690 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:38 pm to
She already looks better than Issac did in 2012.

Nope, I just looked it up. I’m dumb and I guess I was thinking of a different one from the past because Isaac looked much better.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 4:42 pm
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:41 pm to
Love the way they are, but don't wish this on anyone.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78362 posts
Posted on 9/13/20 at 4:42 pm to
Probably won't take out all of the power in the city, but it shouldn't be a surprise to lose power.
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