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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 5:45 am to TitleistProV1X
Posted on 9/13/20 at 5:45 am to TitleistProV1X
quote:
parents are in Covington and I’m concerned about their house which has already flooded once or twice since they re-did the levee system. The Tchefuncta River backs up into their backyard if the wind is blowing from the right direction.
I’ve heard many complaints about Mandeville and Covington since the levees got redid. Parts of Slidell are the same.
This thing could really open some eyes for people living near the water On the north shore of lake pontchatrain
1
Posted on 9/13/20 at 5:45 am to Friedbrie
quote:
I just went and gassed up my car just in case I have to get my wife, kids, and guitar out of here.
The essentials!
Posted on 9/13/20 at 5:47 am to SippyCup
Thats my baby, bro. Martin D-35. Her name is sugar.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 5:58 am to Duke
When I look at the spaghetti models page I see two ses of predictions. The first is "global + hurricane models" and the second is "GFS Ensembles." They seem to have significantly different tracks. Which should be given preference? I know models vary but does that significantly more western track of the GFS lead to an updated forecast of continued movement west?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:02 am to rds dc
Delivering a load of lumber from Montgomery to Lake Charles in the morning. Besides Google what is a good site to keep up with problems on I-10? Do they do all lane evacuation routes in Louisiana?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:03 am to autauga
Waze App
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:03 am to autauga
They do contraflow in LA, but I don’t see them doing it for this kind of storm.
Maybe I’m downplaying it though.
Maybe I’m downplaying it though.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:07 am to Swagga
They Likely won’t. NOLA won’t call for mandatory evacuations for Cat 1 but you never know we are in PHASE 2 with da mayor.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:09 am to Dizz
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 5:36 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:10 am to TitleistProV1X
quote:Rapatel area here. Just moved here a couple months ago. Neighbors say water isn’t much of an issue here, but the power will easily go out. About to get to Lowe’s early and try and grab a generator and a few last minute supplies
Yea I live in Mandeville about 2 miles north of the toll booths so this track sucks.
My parents are in Covington and I’m concerned about their house which has already flooded once or twice since they re-did the levee system. The Tchefuncta River backs up into their backyard if the wind is blowing from the right direction.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:13 am to SlidellCajun
The water has to go somewhere, all they did was divert it to places that had never flood before. My parents entire backyard filled up with the last storm and there wasn’t really a drop of rain and the thing hit Lake Charles. It still probably needed to rise 3-4’ to actually get in their house but this one might do it.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:16 am to TitleistProV1X
FYI to Prairieville, the Neighborhood Walmart at 42 and 44 has working gas pumps now. No attendant in the office, but pumps are on. Just got some.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:17 am to Jake88
quote:
The first is "global + hurricane models" and the second is "GFS Ensembles." They seem to have significantly different tracks. Which should be given preference? I know models vary but does that significantly more western track of the GFS lead to an updated forecast of continued movement west?
We're at the point where if you don't know what an ensemble product does, don't use it.
It's used by forecasters but the globals and hurricane models will have more weight in the forecast this close to landfall.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:18 am to CCT
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:29 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:34 am to Duke
HWRF is a bit SW of previous run so far but also much weaker
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:37 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
HWRF is a bit SW of previous run so far but also much weaker
Huh.
It keeps it tilted the whole time.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:38 am to Duke
Covington Lowe’s is a ghost town. Saw online there’s plenty of generators available for anyone looking in the area
Edit: thought with that alert they’d have people waiting outside for open
Edit: thought with that alert they’d have people waiting outside for open
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:39 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:41 am to rds dc
Recon back in the storm and showing that the system is still struggling, it looks like the LLC is exposed on the western side of convection. Models continue to show a setup that would allow for strengthening right up to landfall. How much it can strengthen depends on if it can build an inner core today. NHC remains on the aggressive side with a forecast of 100 mph max.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:44 am to RougeDawg
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 6:50 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 6:44 am to rds dc
Struggling is what I like to hear.... keep it on the struggle bus 
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