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tgrbaitn08
Vanderbilt Fan
I can’t stay in one place
Member since Dec 2007
106902 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

That shark picture never even happened. It’s photoshopped during Harvey.


Dude it happened during Harvey. I know the guy who lives next door the guy that’s in the Cajun Navy that took the pic.


The Spleen
Alabama Fan
Member since Dec 2010
30500 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

That shark picture never even happened. It’s photoshopped during Harvey.





It's been around longer than that. Forget which storm I first saw it, but it involved Jacksonville, FL.


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80
paperwasp
Alabama Fan
Member since Sep 2014
2510 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
There's probably a better GIF of this somewhere, but here's the "5-day Forecast Track and Watch/Warning Graphic" that shows the evolution of the cone.

SALLY Graphics Archive


big_tuna
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Jun 2019
398 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
IT's been said already, but I'll say it again. NOLA really got lucky with this one.


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190
Motorboat
LSU Fan
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
20076 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

5-day Forecast Track and Watch/Warning Graphic


That still will not settle the debate among the retards in here


lsufishnhunt
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2008
934 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
So the landfall location was included in the original “cone” first posted by NHC?

Yeah, they’re terrible at their job


Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
15974 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding


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40
GumboPot
USA Fan
tigerdroppings.com Elite Member
Member since Mar 2009
81871 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

There's probably a better GIF of this somewhere, but here's the "5-day Forecast Track and Watch/Warning Graphic" that shows the evolution of the cone.

SALLY Graphics Archive




Great gif. I hate to say this but I believe NOAA always errs on the side of warning NOLA has tropical systems head for the central Gulf. All major cities probably get the same forecast treatment from the weathermen. It's a risk assessment thing, I guess. I work in O&G and the hurricane forecast for public consumption is MUCH broader than the forecast that big oil pays private firms, as it should be. The difference between having to shut in a well versus not shutting in can be as little as 50 miles or lower and a difference in millions of dollars.


The Boat
Mississippi St. Fan
Clearwater Beach, Florida
Member since Oct 2008
117557 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

So the landfall location was included in the original “cone” first posted by NHC?

Yeah, they’re terrible at their job


They’re not terrible at their job but the cone referenced had the storm making landfall from the southeast. When it makes landfall from the southwest it means you screwed up.


dukke v
LSU Fan
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
178489 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Wrong......


7thWardTo314
Member since May 2017
722 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Anyone know what damage/flooding is like in the Crestview neighborhood in Mobile? My daughter lives in the area, close to the DMV and cell phone service appears to be out.


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00
Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
15974 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

Yeah, they’re terrible at their job

Completely unfair statement. There is so much that goes into forecasting that 99.9% of the people here don’t understand. They have to rely on modeling (and they don’t make the models), and when those models change they have to shift the track. Too many if you are expecting perfection from an imperfect science.
This post was edited on 9/16 at 1:45 pm


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20
Chicken
USA Fan
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
15986 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
On Sep 13, the cone did not include Alabama


tgrbaitn08
Vanderbilt Fan
I can’t stay in one place
Member since Dec 2007
106902 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

Wrong......


Prove me wrong

BTW, you have no business saying someone else is wrong


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33
tgrbaitn08
Vanderbilt Fan
I can’t stay in one place
Member since Dec 2007
106902 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

On Sep 13, the cone did not include Alabama


Exactly and on Sept 14th at 915 pm I predicted a Fort Morgan landfall


MorbidTheClown
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
39323 posts
 Online 

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding


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18
GumboPot
USA Fan
tigerdroppings.com Elite Member
Member since Mar 2009
81871 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

They’re not terrible at their job but the cone referenced had the storm making landfall from the southeast. When it makes landfall from the southwest it means you screwed up.





I got lucky.


Roll Tide Ravens
Alabama Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
15974 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:

Sept 14th at 915 pm I predicted a Fort Morgan landfall

And on September 13th, 14th, 15th, and 16th you got into a pissing match in this thread (probably).


Funky Tide 8
Alabama Fan
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
43421 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Nice call Gumbo.


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20
tgrbaitn08
Vanderbilt Fan
I can’t stay in one place
Member since Dec 2007
106902 posts

re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
quote:


And on September 13th, 14th, 15th, and 16th you got into a pissing match in this thread (probably).


Nah not really


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