- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Morganza Spillway may or may not open for a 3rd time -- lack of clear info from ACoE
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:05 pm to PhiTiger1764
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:05 pm to PhiTiger1764
quote:
I have a hard time believing river water would flow through Livingston Parish with the levee failure event you described in the OP.
Once the water gets outside the natural levees, it pretty much has to. All that land East of the Mississippi in the Baton Rouge area drains to the Amite and Comite, not the Mississippi. Maybe if it's far enough South, then it would all flow through just Ascension?

This post was edited on 2/22/19 at 3:10 pm
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:08 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Executive Administrator of the Department of Buoyant Attire, BA, MA, EDs
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:09 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Secretary of the Cajun Navy appoints them. Governor appoints the Secretary of the Cajun Navy.
I gotta grease two palms to get that job?!
frick.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:10 pm to TDsngumbo
If it keeps on raining, levee’s going to break
This post was edited on 2/22/19 at 3:12 pm
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:11 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
I gotta grease two palms to get that job?!
frick.

Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:14 pm to TigerstuckinMS
After looking at google maps, I change my mind. I think water would flow from Bayou Manchac to the Amite.. and Livingston Parish would be susceptible to flooding around Port Vincent and south.. and then maybe backwater flooding for the areas around Lake Maurepas.
I was thinking about the I-12 corridor, which I do think would remain dry.
I was thinking about the I-12 corridor, which I do think would remain dry.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:14 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
How much would it spread out before shoring up the levee and stopping the flow?
They would not be able to stop the flow. Been tried up north once. Heck, they couldn't stop the water flow from the level breaks from Katrina.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:15 pm to LSUBoo
quote:
Depending on where this break occurs of course, it would fill up the Brightside/Gardere/Bluebonnet areas south of Highland Road, hit Bayou Manchac, fill up Spanish Lake, and then flow toward the Amite river flooding Ascension.
All the while leaving any rainfall over the area with no where to go. Would make 2016 look pretty mild comparatively.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:17 pm to Duke
quote:
All the while leaving any rainfall over the area with no where to go
Jesus Christ I didn't think of that aspect.

Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:20 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Hypothetical - Say the Mississippi River is @ 43' and the levee breaks in BR
Before te levee system there was a river that flowed into the Mississippi just south of baton rouge, which is now part of the Bayou Manchac/Alligator Bayou system. a break south of the BR (L'auberge area) would possibly result in the river flowing that old pathway to the amite....
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:20 pm to PhiTiger1764
quote:
After looking at google maps, I change my mind. I think water would flow from Bayou Manchac to the Amite.. and Livingston Parish would be susceptible to flooding around Port Vincent and south.. and then maybe backwater flooding for the areas around Lake Maurepas.
I was thinking about the I-12 corridor, which I do think would remain dry.
River reroutes through Bayou Manchac and Lake Maurepas becomes the new mouth of the river.
Port Vincent becomes the new New Orleans.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:22 pm to PhiTiger1764
quote:
Livingston Parish would be susceptible to flooding around Port Vincent and south.. and then maybe backwater flooding for the areas around Lake Maurepas.
I would bet more of Livingston than your estimate would flood. With the Mississippi River flowing through various outlets, Bayou Manchac being one of them, the river would then empty into the Amite River. The Amite then swells to biblical proportions, spilling into surrounding areas of Ascension and Livingston. The Amite upstream from Port Vincent then has nowhere to go, resulting in it backing up big time. Then there are the various canals, streams, and bayous throughout Livingston that flow into the Amite River.
Then there's the thing Duke pointed out -- any rainfall that occurs would have NOWHERE to go. Imagine what happens when one of those springtime fronts comes through and stalls, dropping 5-8 inches of rain over the whole area.
Bottom line: the entire BR metro area would be absolutely decimated with flooding.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:23 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
River reroutes through Bayou Manchac and Lake Maurepas becomes the new mouth of the river.
Nope.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:23 pm to TDsngumbo
Yeah, you'd have backflow flooding all up the Amite like in 2016.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:25 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Imagine what happens when one of those springtime fronts comes through and stalls, dropping 5-8 inches of rain over the whole area.
You wouldn't even need a stalled system. Just the normal parade of systems dropping an inch or two at a time spells trouble. Yeah though, spring wouldn't be ideal (as if any time would be good) for your doomsday scenario.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:25 pm to TDsngumbo
that's a lot of water.. wouldn't it find places in every direction where the elevation is lower that 43'?
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:25 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
River reroutes through Bayou Manchac and Lake Maurepas becomes the new mouth of the river.
Yep, and backwater floods the rest of Ascension. New River would destroy Gonzales. St. Amant would mercifully be wiped off the map.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:28 pm to choupiquesushi
quote:
wouldn't it find places in every direction where the elevation is lower that 43'?
Yeah but all of it headed to lake maurepas eventually, through all the waterways that drain the area.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:28 pm to RougeDawg
Bayou Manchac and the Amite are not deep enough for the Mississippi River to naturally reroute itself through. Once the river goes down, it resumes it's normal route because even though the flow through it would be tremendous, no way it would be enough to carve it deep enough to stay there.
If the Old River Control Structure ever failed, then yes, the river almost 100% reroutes through the Atchafalaya River since it's deep enough already to be carved deep enough for the Mississippi River to stay there.
***I am only guessing here.
If the Old River Control Structure ever failed, then yes, the river almost 100% reroutes through the Atchafalaya River since it's deep enough already to be carved deep enough for the Mississippi River to stay there.
***I am only guessing here.
Posted on 2/22/19 at 3:29 pm to Picayuner
quote:
but would lose ALL DRINKING WATER FOR BOTH CITIES FOREVER !!!!!!!!!!!!
NO WE WOULDN'T!!!!!!!
at least, not Baton Rouge
Popular
Back to top
