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Started By
Message
re: Microsoft AI chief says in 5 years AI can do every white collar job.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 4:58 pm to NukemVol
Posted on 2/17/26 at 4:58 pm to NukemVol
quote:
Sounds like you are describing a free tool or older AI or short codes. AI can generate apps or codes or whatever that used to take a team a year to write. And it’s going to get better. It might have some debugging but it will definitely take out a large amount of people by doing 95% of the work.
Boiler plate style stuff yes. Deeper involved tasks or complex processes, not so much. I kind of chuckle every time this comes up because I am in the IT business. I personally feel the hysteria around AI, the pie in the sky promises, etc are all a bit too much. I am not saying it has no purpose of course, but it has to be used in the right context.
This post was edited on 2/17/26 at 5:02 pm
2
Posted on 2/17/26 at 5:02 pm to HubbaBubba
Ai can't even fix my spelling
Posted on 2/17/26 at 5:41 pm to Mudge87
quote:
Good luck.
quote:
Mudge87
When 98.5% of cases are settled before trial this is absolutely zeeeero advantage to giving an attorney 40% to file some motions with white out
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:06 pm to Mr.Perfect
quote:
giving an attorney 40% to file some motions with white out
If that was your experience with a lawyer, then I understand your consternation. That said, I would never venture into litigation unrepresented. And I'm a lawyer.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:36 pm to wesfau
quote:
I would never venture into litigation unrepresented. And I'm a lawyer.
I should be more specific. There are many many areas of law where I completely agree. Personal injury is the area that can be replaced in nearly 100% of current litigation
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:38 pm to HubbaBubba
If it can do all of them in 5 years, how many is it doing now?
And should that factor in to how we interpret jobs reports?
And should that factor in to how we interpret jobs reports?
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:39 pm to HubbaBubba
Thank god I went from geoengineering to moving furniture
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:42 pm to jdd48
quote:
I kind of chuckle every time this comes up because I am in the IT business. I personally feel the hysteria around AI, the pie in the sky promises, etc are all a bit too much. I am not saying it has no purpose of course, but it has to be used in the right context.
100%
But the others that disagree with you because they need to sell a product would say "well look how far its come so far, surely the growth will continue exponentially!"
I mean i love my AI robot overlords more than anything, I live to serve! But, AI is only as good as the information it gets fed. And people are getting dumber
(and the user base is also getting dumber) This post was edited on 2/17/26 at 6:43 pm
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:51 pm to HubbaBubba
AI will likely replace 6 or 7% pf the work force while at the same time be a factor in creating other job opportunities. AI is a tool, like a saw.. And you have to know how to use it. According to ChatGPT only around 10% of its users use it to its capabilities so while AI has arrived, its going to take a few years before it becomes a norm in the work place.
AGI will be the next. AGI learns how to reason.. but does it faster than humans. This will allow systems to be able to improve themselves, etc.
AGI will result in medical breakthroughs at a much faster pace.
Also, now AI is a new buzzword. You see products advertising.. "AI capabilities". A lot of that shite.. I guess technically it can be AI. But if that's the case your iphone has had "AI capabilities" for awhile. It uses information it knows about you to advertise products that are bettered directed towards you.
I do think people should become more familiar with "AI". If anything, get on ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, etc and tell it "I would like to learn more about you and your capabilities. Can you create a lesson plan where every time I come here and want to learn something else, I can just pick up at where I left off?"
It will teach you about its capabilities, etc.
AGI will be the next. AGI learns how to reason.. but does it faster than humans. This will allow systems to be able to improve themselves, etc.
AGI will result in medical breakthroughs at a much faster pace.
Also, now AI is a new buzzword. You see products advertising.. "AI capabilities". A lot of that shite.. I guess technically it can be AI. But if that's the case your iphone has had "AI capabilities" for awhile. It uses information it knows about you to advertise products that are bettered directed towards you.
I do think people should become more familiar with "AI". If anything, get on ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, etc and tell it "I would like to learn more about you and your capabilities. Can you create a lesson plan where every time I come here and want to learn something else, I can just pick up at where I left off?"
It will teach you about its capabilities, etc.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 6:54 pm to magildachunks
quote:
Everybody else is in trouble. Even lawyers.
Certain areas, absolutely (transactional, M&A, wills and successions). Any area that actively avoids a courtroom or litigation.
No AI will ever be an in court litigator or appellate advocate, will never take a deposition, etc.
This post was edited on 2/17/26 at 7:18 pm
Posted on 2/17/26 at 7:02 pm to magildachunks
quote:
Nobody likes sales reps
If they offer to buy lunch they can be tolerated, however; if they buy you lunch and it doesn't lead to anything, they will complain to the company about how they are taking people to lunch and it isn't resulting in anything, which you would think is a risk they take. Its not anyone's fault they are calling people and telling them "Hey.. So you are on ____ project right? Where are the _____ being bought from? I might be able to help the budget on the project a little, what are you doing for lunch"..
I get the impression a lot of sales reps think they are better at their job than they actually are
Posted on 2/17/26 at 7:15 pm to magildachunks
quote:
It's too much to handle. Too much stress. Standing up for 8 hours, high temperatures, thinking about 6 tasks and doing them at the same time, with more rolling in.
i worked in plenty restaurant/ sorority house kitchens when i was younger and while i agree that it's stressful you chef types are frickin insufferable with this shite. whoever made that show the bear oughta be shot.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 7:43 pm to jdd48
Google and Amazon have put $10b into Anthropic. They are funding nuclear plants. All the noise is saying the current models being worked can program whatever you want. I find it hard to believe that the world’s biggest companies, pretty much the entire driver of GDP growth, the driver to current foreign policy, is all missing on this.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 8:14 pm to NukemVol
All these companies dumped money on the meta verse, that was going to be the future with all the headsets. Almost 100 billion wasted for something very few used ever used...
Sounds familiar
Sounds familiar
Posted on 2/17/26 at 8:15 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Guess they can send home all those illegals because the white collar US citizens gonna be taking those roofing, carpentry, painting and road construction crew jobs, thank you
We already have robotic lawn mowers, and people who are seriously into the landscaping business already invest a lot in their equipment. Soon they'll have one man crews who show up at your house with an iPhone and map your yard, then deploy multiple machines to do your landscaping. Maybe even transported by auto transport and minimally supervised.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 8:18 pm to magildachunks
quote:
You're allowed to represent yourself, and with AI you will see more people choosing to do so, using AI as support.
LOL. AI is regularly preparing motions and briefs with made up case cites.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 9:12 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
All these companies dumped money on the meta verse, that was going to be the future with all the headsets. Almost 100 billion wasted for something very few used ever used...
Sounds familiar
If you look at it that way, we should have never spent money on the space program because we didn't get anything out of it. Instead, we have tons of tech advances from the space program.
Posted on 2/17/26 at 10:59 pm to HubbaBubba
Yeah. Brain surgery
Posted on 2/17/26 at 11:19 pm to HubbaBubba
I listened to a CIA agent today saying all of technology we have now was available 10 years ago to the top spy agencies in the world. We are much further along than most people know.
Posted on 2/18/26 at 10:45 am to GhostofJackson
quote:
If you look at it that way, we should have never spent money on the space program because we didn't get anything out of it. Instead, we have tons of tech advances from the space program.
Pretty big difference between the space race and the meta verse race, which yielded zero.
The current AI race has yielded some decent tools, but the capex compared to earnings is turning up very little at this point.
I dont think the govt is stepping in and funding this venture.. or at least the bailout soon
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