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NukemVol
| Favorite team: | Tennessee  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 1726 |
| Registered on: | 1/14/2010 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: How does the OT feel about new vehicle extended warranties?
Posted by NukemVol on 2/18/26 at 7:22 pm to Don Quixote
quote:
Very much this. When I bought my current Tundra a couple years ago it was from a Chevy dealership. I had it very thoroughly checked out by more than one mechanic and I got to speak to the previous owner. Still, when going through the paperwork they put the hard sell on me to buy their extended warranty. After politely saying no thanks a couple times they amped up the pressure and I finally said "look it's a Toyota, not a chevy" and that finally shut him up. Now two years later it's been every bit as stone cold reliable as the previous Tundra I had and my wife's 4Runner.
I went to a Toyota dealership and bought a Chevy. They kept trying to sell me an extended warranty, and finally, I said look, I paid $20k less for this Chevy, I can remove some lifters for less than $1k in parts. And it’s run great ever since and doesn’t get 12 mpg.
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Precisely. The rate of spending will never make the product profitable. As far as what all "the noise" is saying, again, promises being made, but where is the tangible product? It just seems like a "we're THIS CLOSE... just give us a few billion more..." type pitch.
That’s one theory. The people with insights are saying these free or almost free tools are 3 years old. The current models are better. It is creating products. It helped in the Maduro raid. I’m pretty sure it will make my engineering job that used to take 10 people take 2 to ensure it hasn’t screwed up somewhere. But I’m not worried because the other 8 willl be doing some similar just on a new plant or project. It will be used to reduce labor, create efficiencies, discover new sequences, whatever to lead to cheap modern plants, new drugs, etc. Or it will kill us all. TBD.
Google and Amazon have put $10b into Anthropic. They are funding nuclear plants. All the noise is saying the current models being worked can program whatever you want. I find it hard to believe that the world’s biggest companies, pretty much the entire driver of GDP growth, the driver to current foreign policy, is all missing on this.
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As someone who does this daily, AI routinely fails and requires a human, me, to double-check the code, and it sucks. It's faster and more efficient if I write it and move on. Maybe it will get better, but if you let an AI agent "update" anything, be ready for some seriously fricked up code.
Sounds like you are describing a free tool or older AI or short codes. AI can generate apps or codes or whatever that used to take a team a year to write. And it’s going to get better. It might have some debugging but it will definitely take out a large amount of people by doing 95% of the work.
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AI can't make ethical engineering judgements
I understand engineering ethics is a whole thing, but it’s mostly around not stealing people’s stuff and lying which AI can definitely manage.
If you are talking safety, yes it can. If you are talking safety requirements built on feels and not science then I’m not sure I care.
re: Microsoft AI chief says in 5 years AI can do every white collar job.
Posted by NukemVol on 2/17/26 at 12:19 pm to HubbaBubba
I’m of the opinion that it could replace every white collar job. I think resources, both those who know how to position it, and just raw materials, will limit it.
Best case scenario is you enter a time of abundance where we all have a job guiding AI to provide something needed. AI dos 95% of the work, humans guide it.
Worst case scenario is it goes first to military uses and we all die before we know how to use it before anything else. Claude/Anthropic is a public benefit corporation but it has military contracts where they don’t have to follow the code’s constitution model that keeps it peaceful.
Best case scenario is you enter a time of abundance where we all have a job guiding AI to provide something needed. AI dos 95% of the work, humans guide it.
Worst case scenario is it goes first to military uses and we all die before we know how to use it before anything else. Claude/Anthropic is a public benefit corporation but it has military contracts where they don’t have to follow the code’s constitution model that keeps it peaceful.
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I don't know if that is a realistic number, but I don't think its going to all of a sudden take over 50% of the workforce.. Or even 20% of the work force.
Right now it feels like a fancy chatbot. But that’s just what’s out there now, and what we are finding uses for it. But the models in development are capable of doing much more. I’m an engineer. Do I think in 5 years could it take my job? Yes. Will it? I don’t know, but if it can probably will. The hope is that it creates another technical revolution, solves problems like energy, pharmaceutical, etc. and creates such an abundance it doesn’t matter. It might also create slaves of us all. Don’t know. But I don’t think it’s inability to do so right now with whatever free or mostly free tool we are playing with means anything. Google, Amazon, the giants have put billions into this already. It’s happening whether we like it or not.
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What jobs are being cut right now due to AI? Be specific
Washington Post just cut 50% of its workforce I assume because they realized AI slop could do most of their work.
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I get my yearly bonuses deposited into the company 401k - that alone has netted me $42,500 over the last 10 years. Going to be a hard dose of reality for my generation when some of us start retiring and others have nothing in their bank accounts.
Wait until that democracy hits and the sheep vote to take that money.
I don’t care about inflation if it’s because tariffs or domestic labor or product.
The shift from only caring about free trade, inflation, and stock markets in the 70s/80s is why this country can’t do anything that matters anymore. And it was all to make some people very rich, and enough crumbs to distract you from the inevitable collapse of your home.
The shift from only caring about free trade, inflation, and stock markets in the 70s/80s is why this country can’t do anything that matters anymore. And it was all to make some people very rich, and enough crumbs to distract you from the inevitable collapse of your home.
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Seriously, last vehicle I’ve purchased is a 2023 GMC Yukon w/6.2L V8…
That’s a massive recall issue from a part defect. The oil fix is because GM is trying to wait out, which is pretty shitty in comparison to Toyota and will hurt them in the long term.
But not reflective of your average vehicle.
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Pretty much all GM trucks(5.3V8, 6.2V8, 3.0I6), Ford V6, RamI6, Toyota V6 truck engines are failing, recalls abound, fixes are failing. YouTube is full of people having issues with their vehicles
Only half of those are actually having problems, and maybe only 2 (Tundra turbo and GM 6.2, with the 3.0 emerging). The rest are just fine. And that’s been the case always. There’s always been a couple of lemon issues floating around from manufacturing defects.
re: Getting a new car after 10 years
Posted by NukemVol on 1/31/26 at 4:37 pm to RobertFootball
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promise you there ain’t a damn thing they make today that’ll last 10 years.
The average lifespan on a car is 13 years and has done nothing but go up over time. The internet become a bitch fest is the only thing that’s changed.
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I hear what you are saying. I feel those AI and tech centers should foot the bill for growth and subsidize.
I hear you. That’s where we are at. But the public saying the grid and generators are actually ours to decide who gets access, is socialism. Which is fine. But the drawback to socialism is you throw off the supply demand feedback. If you fix the price, you get zero investment.
And also, politicians who ultimately control socialist policy are bought and paid for. So eventually the tech company wins. But your stocks go up! And stocks are the economy (or so I’m told).
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My rate is high enough, thank you. Summer bills are brutal bc of air conditioner (which I keep turned up when done to work) and most of my appliances are gas.
If you aren’t willing to pay the same as the data center then you can be the first to roll off during load shedding.
I’m not actually an advocate of this. I’d much rather raise rates now to build out our energy infrastructure. But I also don’t understand why the public thinks they can dictate the use of a commodity. And the tech companies will eventually buy the right congressmen to give them the grid access they need, and frankly it’s capitalism and will ultimately result in the public realizing they can’t just stop investing in infrastructure.
re: Zero Hedge piece: America’s Power Bill Shock Is Just Getting Started
Posted by NukemVol on 1/30/26 at 5:17 am to Hateradedrink
quote:
“People are complaining that rates are high because rates aren’t high enough” Bro what?
People are getting a discounted rate. They are used to nobody needing electricity due to de-industrialization and energy efficiency. Now somebody needs it. But the regulators are telling them no.
If the utilities could bid out the electricity it would raise rates, force demand reduction, and spur investment. Like any other product.
re: Zero Hedge piece: America’s Power Bill Shock Is Just Getting Started
Posted by NukemVol on 1/29/26 at 6:37 pm to ragincajun03
Why is power treated like a limited natural resource. If the data centers were able to bid for power against residential, prices would rise appropriately allowing new generation. Just like any other commodity. The reason our grid is so behind is because the public won’t accept a rate increase to match the demand for the product.
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Are you incapable of having a conversation within the context that it's framed?
Buddy said ultimate source for the world. Going to need a capacity factor batter than 10% to pull that off.
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We talkin bout space, bro
They said ultimate. He said naw. He said expound.
This makes sense for a data center using it in space. It doesn’t make sense for the other 99% of electricity usage. Can’t be ultimate only serving one function.
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Better to remain silent and thought a fool, brother
You don’t have clouds?
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