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re: Major Hurricane! Joaquin! Finally Moving Northward and OTS

Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:28 pm to
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:28 pm to
Yeah they're saying even if the hurricane is on a more out to sea path, we can still expect a lot of moisture to be sucked into the east coast.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216685 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

we can still expect a lot of moisture to be sucked into the east coast.


Yup. But that's a lot better than 100 MPH winds and a storm surge..........
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Yup. But that's a lot better than 100 MPH winds and a storm surge..........


Absolutely.
Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Nassau



We had a trip planned for Nassau this week. Thankfully we cancelled it a couple months ago.
Posted by Navytiger74
Member since Oct 2009
50458 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

I'd think Saturday at Nassau will be fine. However, in northern Virginia I'm fricked.


Looks like some time off is in our future.
Posted by SidewalkDawg
Chair
Member since Nov 2012
10308 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Good thing it's just Joaquin. If it was River, they'd be in trouble.


If it was River it would have died out in the Atlantic before picking up much steam.
Posted by cajuntiger07
Down DA Bayou
Member since Jan 2009
4476 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

We had a trip planned for Nassau this week. Thankfully we cancelled it a couple months ago.


Current Track looks like Nassau may not get it too bad....
Posted by peaster68
Mississippi
Member since Dec 2011
6186 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

If it was River it would have died out in the Atlantic before picking up much steam.




Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
171152 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 1:27 pm to
Joaquin strengthens into a dangerous category 4 hurricane



It jogged east, but I am hearing conflicting reports locally. I may have to move inland no matter what, still debating.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36811 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 1:37 pm to
Buy some beer, board the windows, then go outside and watch stuff blow away
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91874 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

I always find it kind of strange that even though the coast juts out to the northeast, the vast majority of storms off that coast usually end up curving just a little more to the northeast and avoid hitting anything.


As do I. I may be completely off base, but it certainly seems as though the eastern coast of Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina were shaped by the erosion of tropical systems. It could also be an incredible coincidence.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21703 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:07 pm to
quote:


still a lot of uncertainty

our forecast puts it south of Nova Scotia at the same time the NHC has it off Long Island


Yea, as early as yesterday morning the short term trends started to favor the Euro OTS solution. The NHC was still adjusting W with the track yesterday eventhough those trends were obvious. However, they never full committed to the Mid-Atlantic landfall and were E of the consensus and did a great job of highlighting the uncertainty in the discussions.
Posted by Teton Tiger
Somewhere between here and there.
Member since Mar 2005
3037 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

If it hits NYC, we will never hear the end of it.
At least is not an election year. Thanks goodness.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
171152 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:47 pm to
So which one is correct?

Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21849 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

If it hits NYC, we will never hear the end of it.


The truly ironic thing is that the subways are in exactly the same condition they were in pre Sandy. Nothing has changed.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
131834 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:52 pm to
The Superstorm Sandy thing still makes me chuckle a little bit. The East Coast media will take anything that directly affects them and sensationalize it to ridiculous degrees. Wasn't it a TS when it hit land? That is not to marginalize the damage it did.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87748 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

The Superstorm Sandy thing still makes me chuckle a little bit. The East Coast media will take anything that directly affects them and sensationalize it to ridiculous degrees. Wasn't it a TS when it hit land? That is not to marginalize the damage it did.



It was obviously an incredibly destructive event worthy of lots of news coverage, but it gets put into a category with 9/11 and Katrina which I find just totally bizarre.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

The Superstorm Sandy thing still makes me chuckle a little bit. The East Coast media will take anything that directly affects them and sensationalize it to ridiculous degrees. Wasn't it a TS when it hit land? That is not to marginalize the damage it did.


More like the Northeast Coast media.

If Sandy would have hit the Outer Banks and fell apart, you would have barely heard about it.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:56 pm to
To be fair Sandy also triggered a massive snowstorm to the west that added to the problems.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21849 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 3:01 pm to
quote:


If Sandy would have hit the Outer Banks and fell apart, you would have barely heard about it.


The main reason you heard about it is because it flooded NYC's subway tunnels and shut off power to a 1/3 of Manhattan- not excluding wrecking the Jersey Shore and a lot of Long Island. All damage was caused by the surge (unfortunately at high tide), not wind or rain.

Anytime Manhattan goes dark the media will pick it up.



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