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re: Louisiana Rt is plummeting and approaching 1 again. Probably there by this weekend
Posted on 1/14/22 at 4:43 pm to Cosmo
Posted on 1/14/22 at 4:43 pm to Cosmo
quote:Exactly. They are misunderstanding rt
It will take another week or so for cases to peak
Rt peaked last week. However, that means you are roughly still 3 weeks from the actual peak of cases
I made that mistake for the delta surge and we were way early on calling it over. The same thing is happening here
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 4:46 pm
0
Posted on 1/14/22 at 4:44 pm to LSUGUMBO
1.16 for AL now. Every day the peak back around New Year's Eve/Day has been adjusted down from over 2.0 to 1.74 now.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 4:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
In Louisiana, discussions with medical officials and epidemiology experts from across the State today revealed the following:
• Calls to hospital call centers from patients reporting COVID Symptoms and requesting testing/medical care have DECLINED this week, compared to the prior two weeks.
• There has been a DECREASE in the number of Emergency room visits this week compared to the prior two weeks.
• There has been a DECREASE in the number of COVID-related hospitalizations this week compared to the prior two weeks.
• The 3 data points above have led some medical experts to conclude that the peak in Omicron COVID cases in Louisiana is now underway. Some communities might be a few days, give or take, ahead of other communities in hitting the peak, particularly in North Louisiana.
• Medical experts in Louisiana believe that a RAPID DESCENT in the number of cases in the next 10-14 days in Louisiana is realistic given the historical patterns in South Africa, the United Kingdom, and now parts of the Northeast U.S.
• Medical experts also agree that the D.C. requirements regarding proof of vaccination and mask-wearing by attendees when not eating or drinking creates an additional layer of protection for event attendees. This is especially true compared to other large public events where no such safeguards are followed (i.e., college basketball games or large social indoor gatherings attended by vaccinated and unvaccinated people).
• Finally, medical experts recommended that anyone eligible for their booster shot and planning to attend WMG festivities receive it before WMG weekend. The booster shot is an added layer of individual protection.
• Calls to hospital call centers from patients reporting COVID Symptoms and requesting testing/medical care have DECLINED this week, compared to the prior two weeks.
• There has been a DECREASE in the number of Emergency room visits this week compared to the prior two weeks.
• There has been a DECREASE in the number of COVID-related hospitalizations this week compared to the prior two weeks.
• The 3 data points above have led some medical experts to conclude that the peak in Omicron COVID cases in Louisiana is now underway. Some communities might be a few days, give or take, ahead of other communities in hitting the peak, particularly in North Louisiana.
• Medical experts in Louisiana believe that a RAPID DESCENT in the number of cases in the next 10-14 days in Louisiana is realistic given the historical patterns in South Africa, the United Kingdom, and now parts of the Northeast U.S.
• Medical experts also agree that the D.C. requirements regarding proof of vaccination and mask-wearing by attendees when not eating or drinking creates an additional layer of protection for event attendees. This is especially true compared to other large public events where no such safeguards are followed (i.e., college basketball games or large social indoor gatherings attended by vaccinated and unvaccinated people).
• Finally, medical experts recommended that anyone eligible for their booster shot and planning to attend WMG festivities receive it before WMG weekend. The booster shot is an added layer of individual protection.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 4:48 pm to lsupride87
quote:Last Monday I told you we were 3 weeks (21 days) from the peak. That was 11 days ago and we still haven’t peaked….
Don’t tell pride. He says it will be a couple more weeks before we peak.
Look like the RT agrees with me. We are still roughly 7-10days from peak
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 4:50 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 5:43 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Last Monday I told you we were 3 weeks (21 days) from the peak. That was 11 days ago and we still haven’t peaked….
What are you classifying as the peak then? Peak is when the most people are getting sick? Hospitalizations have been decreasing the last few days in Nola metro. The site I’ve been watching already shows cases decreasing statewide.
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 5:47 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 5:49 pm to STEVED00
quote:Peak is when you crest in new daily cases
What are you classifying as the peak then? Peak is when the most people are getting sick?
We haven’t hit that yet. Rt can be falling while cases are still growing…..
Posted on 1/14/22 at 5:50 pm to lsupride87
quote:
We haven’t hit that yet. Rt can be falling while cases are still growing…..
The site I’ve been following shows Rt in La below 1. The goes with my anecdotal experience in Nola metro. Also Data is showing a hospitalizations plateau in Nola metro as well.
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 5:52 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 5:52 pm to STEVED00
Today it does for the first day. That will fluctuate back up after the weekend
Regardless, you claimed we peaked 11 days ago. What y’all mean was “we are no longer growing in cases as fast”. We have not yet seen the drop in new infections
Regardless, you claimed we peaked 11 days ago. What y’all mean was “we are no longer growing in cases as fast”. We have not yet seen the drop in new infections
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 5:54 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 5:56 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Regardless, you claimed we peaked 11 days ago. What y’all mean was “we are no longer growing in cases as fast”. We have not yet seen the drop in new infections
I said it peaked in Nola metro. I even attached the thread when I said it. I guess you missed it. Now the hospitalizations in Nola metro are peaking. I believe I said it around 1/6 so not sure where you are getting 11 days
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 6:09 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 6:22 pm to Higgysmalls
quote:
s 1 good or bad?
Below 1 is good, above 1 is not so good. It’s the number of cases created from 1 case, so you want that number to be less than 1 so the spread is slowing.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 6:22 pm to Higgysmalls
quote:
Is 1 good or bad?
Dropping below 1 means that cases are decreasing
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 6:27 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 8:08 pm to Chingon Ag
quote:
I've watched this in the past and Texas is about a week behind LA in the Rt charting. We are at 1.45 and falling. This will be old news soon except in most blue states.
It's going to fall off fast, but fast is relative. We are probably looking at a month to get back to the bottom.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 8:18 pm to idlewatcher
quote:
i think teedy imposed the mandate at this time so she could take credit for cases falling and can claim she "saved mardi gras".
Teedy for President in 2024.
LOL
This post was edited on 1/14/22 at 8:20 pm
Posted on 1/14/22 at 8:40 pm to Salmon
quote:
out of an abundance of caution out of all the phrases that have come with COVID, this is the one that triggers me the most I hate it so fricking much
I think of LSU and Will Wade when I see that phrase
Posted on 1/14/22 at 8:54 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Last Monday I told you we were 3 weeks (21 days) from the peak. That was 11 days ago and we still haven’t peaked….
Today you said that. You will probably be off because you are basing this on Delta. I think that's a poor assumption.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 8:58 pm to Cosmo
Yall sound like a bunch of little girls crying over this. If you go places that require you to wear a mask.. where a mask, if you go to a place that doesn't then don't. Or if yall keep bitching will it change things?
Posted on 1/14/22 at 9:00 pm to Tarps99
Rt is .85 in Georgia now. Peaked at 1.59 on Dec.19th.
.65 in my county. This thing is over.
.65 in my county. This thing is over.
Posted on 1/14/22 at 9:01 pm to OweO
How does it feel to be the most unliked person on the entire rant platform?
Posted on 1/14/22 at 9:12 pm to OweO
So you’re telling me we’re not quite at the peak yet and I only have a 99.999% chance of surviving?
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