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re: Louisiana Covid “Hospitalizations” still plummeting

Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:02 pm to
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97012 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Anyone know the criteria for a "probable" case.


Im pretty sure no one knows. It's one of their bullshite grey areas.

Imagine almost 40% of your cases simply being "probables" like yesterday's were. Ridiculous.
This post was edited on 9/16/21 at 1:04 pm
Posted by OldManRiver
Prairieville, LA
Member since Jan 2005
7567 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Anyone know the criteria for a "probable" case

LDH is now counting the rapid Antigen test results in with their numbers. Asher has always backed those out, and just gone with the PCR results that are sent away and take a couple days to come back. The Antigen tests have a higher rate of false positives, so I assume he's trying to keep his data as realistic as possible
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76202 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:04 pm to
i heard a coworker cough. He "probably" has covid.
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4680 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

LDH is now counting the rapid Antigen test results in with their numbers. Asher has always backed those out, and just gone with the PCR results that are sent away and take a couple days to come back. The Antigen tests have a higher rate of false positives, so I assume he's trying to keep his data as realistic as possible



Gotcha. Thanks!
Posted by roux
Tiger Territory
Member since Dec 2006
1634 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:07 pm to
Masks don't work plus if you go anywhere in Baton Rouge, most are not masking at all.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86168 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Anyone know the criteria for a "probable" case.


it means you took an antigen test and not the PCR test

quote:

Probable cases include individuals with a positive test detecting SARS-CoV-2 antigens in a clinical specimen. Individuals initially identified as having a positive antigen test, who are later identified as having a positive confirmatory test will be removed from the probable case count and added to the confirmed case count.

Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97012 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:08 pm to
Interesting, i figured it was much less scientific than that.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
21709 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Louisiana Department of Health reports an increase of patients currently in the hospital due to COVID-19.

Does this mean LDH has the numbers that differentiate the "due to" from the "with" crowd?

Per LDH's website Hospitalizations on 9/14 was 1,521; 9/15 is 1,431.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97012 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:23 pm to
No, it just means BRProud can't count.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
21709 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

it means you took an antigen test and not the PCR test

Never looked into it, but I guess that explains why the "probable" number never gets confirmed or goes away. I originally assumed that at some point the probable would either be confirmed or rejected/removed.
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
23156 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:27 pm to
Sounds like they just messed that up. It’s been trending down over 60 people per day for awhile now.
Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
16686 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Louisiana Covid “Hospitalizations” still plummeting


Likely has a lot to do with the facts in this article from The Atlantic

quote:

Our Most Reliable Pandemic Number Is Losing Meaning -
A new study suggests that almost half of those hospitalized with COVID-19 have mild or asymptomatic cases.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87988 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:36 pm to
You realize I linked that in the OP, right?
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97012 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Louisiana Covid “Hospitalizations” still plummeting


Likely has a lot to do with the facts in this article from The Atlantic

quote:
Our Most Reliable Pandemic Number Is Losing Meaning -
A new study suggests that almost half of those hospitalized with COVID-19 have mild or asymptomatic cases.


That just means half of the hospitalizations aren't serious. It has no effect on the overall total, and would not factor in to the overall total dropping.
Posted by Fat and Happy
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2013
19944 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:48 pm to
Thanks JBE.

His top notch leadership and constant dumb arse press conferences about covid is what helped this
Posted by winkchance
St. George, LA
Member since Jul 2016
6653 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 1:56 pm to
Mu Cases!
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76202 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

BRProud can't count.



Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
16686 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

You realize I linked that in the OP, right?



Obviously not
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
74839 posts
Posted on 9/16/21 at 3:59 pm to
Louisiana is really fricking up the current media narrative of the explosion of COViD cases due to those dangerous unvaccinated pieces of shite children going back to schools, grrrrr
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76202 posts
Posted on 9/27/21 at 1:10 pm to
Adding Ambrosia to the list

walked in Saturday, the lady asked if i wanted a mask. i said no.

then she said "we ask that you wear a mask in here"

I said "I'm not putting on a mask"

She said well, we ask that you step outside.

there was a woman at the counter with no mask. i asked why she didn't have to wear a mask. no reply. as i was walking out i asked again "why doesn't that lady have to wea a mask?" no answer.

assuming the lady in line knew someone who worked there.
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