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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - May 14, 2020 Update: 33,489 cases - 2,351 deaths - 247,588 tests

Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:08 pm to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61817 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:


How many posters on here either directly know someone (friend, family, business acquaintances, etc) who has died, or know someone who knows someone who has died?




A friends healthy 69 year old father died from it. That's all I know.

I would imagine from the demographic make up and age of the average death, not many posters know of many.
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 12:19 pm
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
97289 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

How many posters on here either directly know someone (friend, family, business acquaintances, etc) who has died, or know someone who knows someone who has died?



My # is 0.
Posted by pistolpete23
In the present
Member since Dec 2007
7285 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

He said some tests are all the way back from March.


Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88463 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:09 pm to
Why the frick can’t they backdate the cases??
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88463 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

healthy
I’ve learned that people don’t actually know what this means.

Saw someone who was 75 lbs overweight called “healthy” yesterday. And I’ve seen it used for old people who have extensive medical histories.
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11679 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

.@LouisianaGov floats the possibility of shutting down establishments that have seen lots of infections during the reoepning. #lalege #lagov


quote:

Why can't bars reopen in phase one? Edwards says "Because the atmosphere of a bar is such that it is very conducive to the spread of the virus." He says bars with a food permit can operate if they act just like a restaurant (people at socially distanced tables) #lalege #lagov


2 of the most arbitrary statements I have ever heard. It's unbelievable that a person who is supposed to be intelligent enough to run a state is whimsically ruining people's livelihoods and using these statements as his justification. It's almost fricking criminal.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22280 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:12 pm to
The huge backlogs really skew the 14 Day Average figures based on info we have...but here it is anyway (400+ just in BR)

Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
67154 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:13 pm to
This is why the LDH numbers are shite and cannot be trusted. My parish has been announcing the total number of cases on a daily basis. We have had 146 positive cases, but the LDH site shows 81 and has been about 40+ behind the whole time. Some of these labs are either not reporting, or they are so behind in their reporting, it's skewing the numbers.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61817 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

healthy

I’ve learned that people don’t actually know what this means.



I agree for the most part. This guy was always at the playground watching his kids play sports and exercised regular and was not overweight at all.

I guess he could have had a heart issue that the family either didn't let on about or he didn't know about.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88463 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:14 pm to
They shouldn’t be used for the rolling averages unless you can backdate them. It would be fricked up otherwise because it’s not a true representation of the current spread.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22280 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:14 pm to
Huge backlogs will make the "active case" estimates grossly inaccurate.

33,489 active cases
2,351 deaths
22,608 (recovered as of 5/10)

8,530 Active cases based on data provided. Enter assumptions

Recovered data is 4 days old. 14 days from 5/10 is 4/26. New cases: 4/26 - 4/29 = 1,148

7,382 Active cases
1,193 in Hospitals
6,189 Conservative estimate of cases not in hospitals

Obligatory: The 14 day guidelines are given by ldh and based on when the patient tests positive. The information that we have readily available is when the positive test result is known, not when the test was administered. In addition, the date of the onset of symptoms does not matter either.

If you add the new cases from 5/01 through 5/14 (14 days), you get 5,484 cases. 7,751 cases from 4/24 through 5/14 (21 days)
Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
67154 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

Because the atmosphere of a bar is such that it is very conducive to the spread of the virus

quote:

2 of the most arbitrary statements I have ever heard. It's unbelievable that a person who is supposed to be intelligent enough to run a state is whimsically ruining people's livelihoods and using these statements as his justification. It's almost fricking criminal.

Don't you know bars = Satan = super coronavirus?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88463 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:15 pm to
I’m not saying he wasn’t. Just making an observation to your post.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53839 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

How many posters on here either directly know someone (friend, family, business acquaintances, etc) who has died, or know someone who knows someone who has died?

A few of my coworkers have gotten the Rona. All have recovered. I don't know anyone that has died from it.
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112628 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:17 pm to
It is very concerning the LDH doesnt publicly backdate the positive results to the date of testing.....

Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
21061 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

A reader asks how waiters (who are often paid $2.13 an hour) are supposed to make a living with 25% capacity at restaurants. Edwards says restaurants will be able to expand outdoor seating. #lalege #lagov


Oh yeah, just magically expand your outdoor seating area
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
22280 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

They shouldn’t be used for the rolling averages unless you can backdate them. It would be fricked up otherwise because it’s not a true representation of the current spread.

Agreed. They need to back date it to the date the patient states symptoms started, or the date the test was taken (if the patient does not know or cannot provide the details).

They have a graph with the date of symptoms started on the ldh website, but you cannot see the details by day just the lines. It proves they are tracking this information.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53839 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

It is very concerning the LDH doesnt publicly backdate the positive results to the date of testing.....

It doesn't make any sense. It makes it look like an uptick when it really happened a month ago or whatever
Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
67154 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

It is very concerning the LDH doesnt publicly backdate the positive results to the date of testing.....

You're asking a Louisiana government employee to do math and shite.
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 5/14/20 at 12:22 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 4:47 pm
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