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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - May 12, 2020 Update: 32,050 cases - 2,281 deaths - 228,012 tests

Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

going full open will cause a bad spike!


Not if frail people take precautions.

Roughly 70% of America will get infected before this is over.
Unless, those German scientists are correct and 30% of people are naturally immune. Even then that leaves 40%.

Sack up and deal with it.
Rip the band-aid off.
Posted by Stevo
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2004
12592 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

Based on your logic, we can't fully open until the virus is completely eradicated, which could be a decade or more.


Not sure where you're getting that from. The goal all along, and it's a legitimate goal, is to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. Hospitals and vent availability are fine now. The phased openings are designed to stay ahead of the virus. Even if no vaccine is ever available, we'll eventually develop herd immunity. Trump's Guidelines for Opening Up America are good, and need to be followed. They also allow for a full opening of the economy, but in a phased/staggered approach. You people who want a full open now would do much more harm to the economy that Trump's approach.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
42792 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:52 pm to
I was most definitely being sarcastic, because I have seen people and taking heads argue to remaining shut down until 2/3 of those things happen.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178363 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:56 pm to
Tuesday is the weekend back log drop day and we only have 235 new cases? Time to fricking open Chili's back up.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45574 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:58 pm to
I just saw where Wuhan had their first new cases since they got rid of it. Here we go for Round 3.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

I just saw where Wuhan had their first new cases since they got rid of it. Here we go for Round 3.



This just in: they never got rid of it
Posted by YouAre8Up
in a house
Member since Mar 2011
12792 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

it's a legitimate goal, is to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. Hospitals and vent availability are fine now.


They never were in danger of being overwhelmed. In fact a lot of hospital workers have been laid off.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104485 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

They never were in danger of being overwhelmed. In fact a lot of hospital workers have been laid off.


These aren't really connected though.
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10994 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Not sure where you're getting that from. The goal all along, and it's a legitimate goal, is to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. Hospitals and vent availability are fine now. The phased openings are designed to stay ahead of the virus. Even if no vaccine is ever available, we'll eventually develop herd immunity. Trump's Guidelines for Opening Up America are good, and need to be followed. They also allow for a full opening of the economy, but in a phased/staggered approach. You people who want a full open now would do much more harm to the economy that Trump's approach.


I see your point. I think where people disagree is how fast that phasing should happen.

On 3-29 the task force said unanimously that we were 2 weeks from peak. Well now it's been over 6 weeks and people are getting frustrated (in some parts of the country) that we aren't further along in the phased reopening than we are.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

The idiocy on this board never ceases to amaze me

Why? That should not surprise anyone. The idiocy of the OT is very well known. Heck, it's a point of pride for many.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

anyone have a graph of original curve projections vs actual


Nope.
But, Musk trolled California governor with one from that state. It was wayyyy off.
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
62330 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 6:34 pm to
Age/Cases/Deaths/Mortality

<18 493 (8) 2 (0) 0.41%
18-29 3814 (43) 8 (0) 0.21%
30-39 5081 (32) 41 (1) 0.81%
40-49 5435 (32) 85 (0) 1.56%
50-59 6034 (39) 199 (5) 3.28%
60-69 5273 (31) 418 (10) 7.92%
70+ 5920 (50) 1529 (23) 25.83%

Just because I feel like adding this today, percentage of deaths per age bracket for Louisiana:

<18 .08%
18-29 0.3%
30-39 1.8%
40-49 3.7%
50-59 8.7%
60-69 18.3%
70+ 67%
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61812 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 6:41 pm to
The nimrods don’t give a damn about flatten the curve and haven’t in a month. That’s why it isn’t mentioned any longer.
It’s now about agendas and feelings
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
3181 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

Age/Cases/Deaths/Mortality

<18 493 (8) 2 (0) 0.41%
18-29 3814 (43) 8 (0) 0.21%
30-39 5081 (32) 41 (1) 0.81%
40-49 5435 (32) 85 (0) 1.56%
50-59 6034 (39) 199 (5) 3.28%
60-69 5273 (31) 418 (10) 7.92%
70+ 5920 (50) 1529 (23) 25.83%


For total infection rate multiply cases by 10, for total fatality divide mortality by 10.

Based on IHME data.
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