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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/29/20 12PM CT Update: 3,540 Cases - 27,871 tested - 151 dead

Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8678 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:13 pm to
Only a 4% increase for New Orleans. Down from 11% the day before and 21% before that.

Smallest one day increase since March 17.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9743 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Yeah i wonder why Sundays seem to be the best day numbers wise



I'm assuming that many test results aren't reported to the state on the weekends. If you click on the "Over Time" tab at the bottom you will see that many parish numbers haven't been updated for a day or two. I know my parishes numbers have not been updated both according to the site and other local information.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76060 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Last Sunday was a really low outlier, too.


Last sunday was only a half report.

They moved from reporting twice a day to once a day.
This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 12:18 pm
Posted by Number 9 Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:17 pm to
The number of deaths continues to fall. That’s happened two days straight. Good news.
Posted by Cymry Teigr
Member since Sep 2012
2134 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:17 pm to
It would be so much more useful if LDH actually also released statistics for the date the daily reported cases were tested. If there’s a 5-7 day lag in getting results back from the commercial labs then what we’re looking at is never a true current picture.
Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
8427 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:18 pm to
Based on tests completed (w/o results yet) vs % positive cases reported...what what the numbers look like if all results were in?
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85355 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

If there’s a 5-7 day lag in getting results back from the commercial labs then what we’re looking at is never a true current picture.



Yeah. We know.

Deaths are even more of a lag than current cases too.

Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
43995 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

When will the numbers be coming in from the day with 6500+ tests?




Am curious about that as well.

What concerns me is of the 3540 positive cases, subtract the 150+ deaths, and close to a 1/3 have already need to be hospitalized (1,127).
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86017 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:24 pm to
quote:


Yeah. We know.

Deaths are even more of a lag than current cases too.
but how much help would that be really? people tested on the same day would be a pool of people that started showing symptoms on up to 14 different days.
Posted by Someone
West Monroe, LA
Member since Jan 2007
1972 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:29 pm to
If my math is right, 14.9% of all tests reported yesterday (3802) came back positive (569). 8.3% of all tests reported today (2710) came back positive (225).
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86017 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:33 pm to
The math is already in the OP
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8740 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:34 pm to
Probably tells you there’s more mild cases or asymptomatic out there than known at this point. I know of a couple with suspected positive cases that are now over the sickness and fine at home but are on day 10+ waiting on a notice of their test result.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
76060 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:35 pm to
Yes

12.7 overall

10% increase in test over yesterday.

Increase in tests returned day over day is slowing.
This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 12:37 pm
Posted by Anaximander
3524 Third St New Orleans, LA
Member since Jun 2018
3412 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Those are good numbers for today! Hope that trend continues.

Edit: Last Sunday looked good too.



If you took at tests reported there was a precipitous drop last Sunday but not this Sunday.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71178 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

I wish Alabama would report in this format. Pretty informative.

They do.
LINK
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12519 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

I wish Alabama would report in this format. Pretty informative.

They do.
LINK



I know about this one. How do I look at results by date as is shown in the OP? Or hospitalizations? Or people on vents?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71178 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:51 pm to
Ah hell, that I couldn't tell you. I've had to piece together multiple tweets for some of that info. Follow ADPH on twitter. They release some of that stuff there. Also, some of the hospitals put out some of that info.
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 1:02 pm to
Death count is a red herring. +200 more hospitalizations with +44 on ventilators is the key stat because it has the greatest predicative on future deaths and the ability of the hospital system to manage the outbreak. When that starts to drop/flatten, then things are turning around.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85355 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 1:04 pm to
Decrease in ventilations as well.

And I apologize for looking for something positive.

I’ll remember the rules next time.

Funny how the deaths were so important when “LA is the next Italy” but now that they are falling off that rate they are a red herring.

This post was edited on 3/29/20 at 1:06 pm
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
111991 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

4.27% fatality rate


What is it backing out Orleans and Jefferson?
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