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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/27/20 12PM CT Update: 2746 Cases - 21,359 Tested - 119 dead

Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
Posted by thedrumdoctor
Gonzales,La
Member since Sep 2016
900 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak and once we peak, it will go down.

Serious question, How do we know we're starting the peak and not just on the continual rise?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
Positive cases will rise naturally as testing continues. But deaths will "lag" behind the testing. You don't get tested today and die .. it's a "build up" for lack of better wording.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
46610 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:24 pm to
No it doesn’t

Even the deaths are skewed. They aren’t counting based on cause of death. Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37964 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

Except for deaths. That's as straightforward as it gets.


No way.
They’re counting deaths related to COVID-19. Not if the virus caused it or not.
Posted by Yukon7
Louisiana
Member since May 2018
618 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

We need to get to a point where virtually everyone could walk up and get a test at any time. That's how we are going to get ahead of it and go back to normal life. Hopefully that comes soon.


Agreed, most of these stats don’t really mean as much until we establish a baseline. And we need more testing to do that.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41915 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

They aren’t counting based on cause of death. Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.


Link?
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to
Fwiw the large number of people tested at the cajundome initially are still waiting on results.

Friends dad is in the hospital on oxygen still waiting on those results, they just tested him again since for whatever reason those results haven't come back yet
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Bad because more deaths and the number is high.
Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak and once we peak, it will go down.


I am not certain we have peaked, yet. I believe we still have at least another week of a steady climb.
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37964 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:


Serious question, How do we know we're starting the peak and not just on the continual rise?


You factor in the new cases % rise and the % of recovered.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89400 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Except for deaths. That's as straightforward as it gets.



I wonder if the 17 year old heart failure death and the 39 year old hospital worker are counted in the death totals? Seems like something Louisiana would do
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to
Wait 2700 not 1700???
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to
But at least in Louisiana "recovered" per the own "state doctor guy" said isn't tracked for all cases (those sent home to quarantine) or well defined.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
13057 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

they just tested him again since for whatever reason those results haven't come back yet

Yeah, cause that's not gonna skew things.

I'm assuming that's not happening alot and/or when/if it does, they are filtering those out of the stats.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38535 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to
What is crazy is that at this point, only .05% of the state's population has tested positive, yet it feels like so many more.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
29151 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak


The power of positive thinking? We are at the peak because I want us to be at the peak?

Frankly, I don't see how you can make that conclusion at this point in time.
Posted by rondo
Worst. Poster. Evar.
Member since Jan 2004
77520 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to
Isn't it safe to say that most people testing positive today contracted this 7-10 days ago? Meaning we are not yet seeing the benefit of all this "staying at home"?

We're also only testing people with extreme symptoms so that number of positives is skewed as well.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
88346 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
you're wrong here.
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26131 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to
Yea, likely so, just passing along actual info first-hand.

He's 60 and his wife is at home with symptoms as well, the family is not taking it very well
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:29 pm
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45565 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

they are starting to send people to Slidell,


Double whammy. First you get COVID then they send you to Slidell.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
13057 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Yea, likely so, just passing along actual info first-hand.

He's 60 and his wife is at home with symptoms as well, the family is not taking it very well

shite man, hate to hear that. Hope they pull through.
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