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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - 3/27/20 12PM CT Update: 2746 Cases - 21,359 Tested - 119 dead
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to pwejr88
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to pwejr88
quote:
Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak and once we peak, it will go down.
Serious question, How do we know we're starting the peak and not just on the continual rise?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to LSUBoo
Positive cases will rise naturally as testing continues. But deaths will "lag" behind the testing. You don't get tested today and die .. it's a "build up" for lack of better wording.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:24 pm to castorinho
No it doesn’t
Even the deaths are skewed. They aren’t counting based on cause of death. Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
Even the deaths are skewed. They aren’t counting based on cause of death. Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to castorinho
quote:
Except for deaths. That's as straightforward as it gets.
No way.
They’re counting deaths related to COVID-19. Not if the virus caused it or not.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
We need to get to a point where virtually everyone could walk up and get a test at any time. That's how we are going to get ahead of it and go back to normal life. Hopefully that comes soon.
Agreed, most of these stats don’t really mean as much until we establish a baseline. And we need more testing to do that.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to More beer please
quote:
They aren’t counting based on cause of death. Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
Link?
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:25 pm to castorinho
Fwiw the large number of people tested at the cajundome initially are still waiting on results.
Friends dad is in the hospital on oxygen still waiting on those results, they just tested him again since for whatever reason those results haven't come back yet
Friends dad is in the hospital on oxygen still waiting on those results, they just tested him again since for whatever reason those results haven't come back yet
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to pwejr88
quote:
Bad because more deaths and the number is high.
Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak and once we peak, it will go down.
I am not certain we have peaked, yet. I believe we still have at least another week of a steady climb.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to thedrumdoctor
quote:
Serious question, How do we know we're starting the peak and not just on the continual rise?
You factor in the new cases % rise and the % of recovered.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to castorinho
quote:
Except for deaths. That's as straightforward as it gets.
I wonder if the 17 year old heart failure death and the 39 year old hospital worker are counted in the death totals? Seems like something Louisiana would do
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:26 pm to musick
Wait 2700 not 1700??? 
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to pwejr88
But at least in Louisiana "recovered" per the own "state doctor guy" said isn't tracked for all cases (those sent home to quarantine) or well defined.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to musick
quote:
they just tested him again since for whatever reason those results haven't come back yet
Yeah, cause that's not gonna skew things.
I'm assuming that's not happening alot and/or when/if it does, they are filtering those out of the stats.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:27 pm to TigersSEC2010
What is crazy is that at this point, only .05% of the state's population has tested positive, yet it feels like so many more.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to pwejr88
quote:
Good because we’re starting the beginning of the peak
The power of positive thinking? We are at the peak because I want us to be at the peak?
Frankly, I don't see how you can make that conclusion at this point in time.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to musick
Isn't it safe to say that most people testing positive today contracted this 7-10 days ago? Meaning we are not yet seeing the benefit of all this "staying at home"?
We're also only testing people with extreme symptoms so that number of positives is skewed as well.
We're also only testing people with extreme symptoms so that number of positives is skewed as well.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to More beer please
quote:you're wrong here.
Just whether or not the patient had the virus when they died.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:28 pm to Cowboyfan89
Yea, likely so, just passing along actual info first-hand.
He's 60 and his wife is at home with symptoms as well, the family is not taking it very well
He's 60 and his wife is at home with symptoms as well, the family is not taking it very well
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:29 pm
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:29 pm to NOFOX
quote:
they are starting to send people to Slidell,
Double whammy. First you get COVID then they send you to Slidell.
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:30 pm to musick
quote:
Yea, likely so, just passing along actual info first-hand.
He's 60 and his wife is at home with symptoms as well, the family is not taking it very well
shite man, hate to hear that. Hope they pull through.
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