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re: Louisiana congressional map creating new majority-Black district ruled unconstitutional

Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:26 am to
Posted by Brummy
Central, LA
Member since Oct 2009
4508 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:26 am to
So district 2 would have gone from being 58% black (per Wiki) to 51%. That's not much of a margin if the goal is to elect a minority representative, especially since white people tend to vote at a higher rate than minorities.
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 11:28 am
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96325 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:30 am to
Problem is that geography in this state means there are few concentrated areas of black voters in the numbers required for a district.


Having an 80% black NOLA if it had 1 million people in the population would mean that one district could be centered on Orleans Parish but the other would have to be cobbled together from other areas.

That was the exact situation that failed in 1994 when Cleo Fields’ “Zorro” district got thrown out.
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10904 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:37 am to
I fully trust our louisiana govt and know they are working for my best interests.

How dare you doom and bloomers
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26585 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:38 am to
quote:

How can it be unconstitutional to base the map on race if the same court requires maps be based on race? This is a catch-22.

Are we pretending that this map was an actual attempt at creating coherent districts, even with the absurd racial requirements?
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71319 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:40 am to
quote:

So district 2 would have gone from being 58% black (per Wiki) to 51%. That's not much of a margin if the goal is to elect a minority representative, especially since white people tend to vote at a higher rate than minorities.


The white population in Orleans Parish isn't going to vote red.

They might cause a white Democrat to take the seat. But that's the real reason anyway. You didn't see the challenges to the map when Chris John and Charlie Melancon were in the House.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67163 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:42 am to
Is there another way to draw two minority majority districts? Like, literally, blacks are pretty evenly distributed around the state except around New Orleans and the River Parishes. You need a geographical area with 400k blacks that doesn’t also contain more whites. It’s really difficult to draw in Louisiana.
Posted by Oswald
South of the St. George Buffer Zone
Member since Aug 2011
3498 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:47 am to
quote:

It would be nice if the courts would make up their mind.

It would also be nice if citizens had a way to hold these a-hole judges to account for their increasingly-frequent unconstitutional/racist/Marxist rulings.
Posted by RaginCajunz
Member since Mar 2009
5376 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Requiring any districts to be based on race should be unconstitutional.



It's very confusing what is racist and not in 2024. Claiming a race must have special race oriented representation seems like the epitome of racism, yet it is not?

So this is an admission that people of a certain race all vote alike?
Are we allowed to make other sweeping observations about how certain races behave?

Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
4617 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:52 am to
Good. That map is bullshite. No one in BR should be in a district with someone from Shreveport or Lake Providence
Posted by Wiseguy
Member since Mar 2020
3402 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:53 am to
Isn’t there some software that can do this in a rational way given the required parameters? It could even give you several options to choose from. One problem is they are starting from the current map and trying to pick and pull from existing districts to create the desired outcome. The right approach would be to start with a blank map and rationally (I know- that’s a difficult word to use here given the requirements) draw the required number of districts with the required population characteristics. If the existing g districts are maintained, fine. If they are not, that’s fine too. Let the current incumbents run in their new districts.
Posted by patchesohoulihan_007
Member since Jul 2015
2064 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:54 am to
quote:

And Graves pissed off EVERYONE in power within the state over a variety of things


What are some of the highlights here? I don’t follow close enough to know this but he’s my district so I’m interested!
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98285 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:56 am to
quote:

The new map took apart the district held by Garret Graves, who'd endorsed Landry's rival Stephen Waguespack for governor.


While this is one of the motives, the other motive is that keeping this issue in abeyance temporarily deprives the Democrats of picking up another seat in the House. They deliberately drew a map they knew wouldn't pass muster and now it's back to square until after the next election.
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 12:01 pm
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96325 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:57 am to
Graves endorsed and campaigned for one of Landry’s opponents in the Governor’s race, which Landry won in the primary.

Graves also was involved in backstabbing a number of GOP Speaker hopefuls because he was loyal to Kevin McCarthy rather than supporting the most powerful member from his state at the time, Steve Scalise. I believe he leaked a bunch of dirt intended to kill Scalise’s chances which is why he withdrew from the Speaker race.
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
4617 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:58 am to
quote:

so they have to gerrymander a ridiculously shaped district to create a second black majority district.

Not really. This proposed map makes the most sense geographically and allows for 2 black districts. Still cuts up BR into 3 districts but I don’t think there’s a way around not cutting BR up. Not sure why it isn’t being pushed, I would guess because it means Letlow wouldn’t keep her seat.


Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71478 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 11:58 am to
Jeff Landry has been such a loser. Still better than Honor Chode purely based on the fact he has not put draconian sanctions on the population yet.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26585 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Is there another way to draw two minority majority districts?

Yes.

quote:

It’s really difficult to draw in Louisiana.

No, it really isn’t. Go to Dave’s Redistricting website. You can do it in ten minutes. There is an example right above this post.
This post was edited on 5/1/24 at 12:02 pm
Posted by dovehunter
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2014
1236 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 12:15 pm to
The best thing this does is eliminate another D in the house for now. Do I think the district was drawn knowing it would get kicked out. Maybe.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38896 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 12:19 pm to
the sad thing is that for the first time in a long time there were viable republican alternatives to the same old bought and paid for pander to the morons candidates like Landry…and they lost in a landslide

either waguespack or Nelson would have been a major upgrade in leadership for this state and would have been perfectly acceptable to the vast majority of actual tax paying voters

But no…we got culture war slogans, back room deals and power play deal making just like always
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26585 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

Do I think the district was drawn knowing it would get kicked out. Maybe.

I agree it’s possible. But I question whether the La Leg, quite possibly the most incompetent deliberative body in the developed world, is capable of such a strategy.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
23788 posts
Posted on 5/1/24 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

However, Louisiana’s minority populations are too spread out, so they have to gerrymander a ridiculously shaped district to create a second black majority district.

Actually, they can draw more regional districts and still maintain the possibility of two majority black districts. The problem is that it would also dilute the support of the presently elected white reps making them vulnerable in the next election.

That’s the real reason for the current map looking the way that it does.
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