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Started By
Message
re: Let's Do It Again: Severe Threat 3/30 - Line of Severe Storms leaving SELA. AL in it now
Posted on 3/30/22 at 9:58 am to deltaland
Posted on 3/30/22 at 9:58 am to deltaland
quote:
Was hoping to have some cloud cover to limit heating and have somewhat of a cap
Unfortunately, with the strong dynamics today, I think the lack of instability will be easily overcome.
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 10:25 am
0
Posted on 3/30/22 at 9:58 am to Duke
Duke….if you can remember, how does the setup today compare to the Alabama outbreak that produced that infamous tornado in Tuscaloosa?
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:00 am to Duke
I’m in Arcadia, LA near Ruston and there are guys about a half mile up the road running and gunning a logging operation. I hope they know to duck and cover in about an hour.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:00 am to purple18
quote:
Duke….if you can remember, how does the setup today compare to the Alabama outbreak that produced that infamous tornado in Tuscaloosa?
Oh this aint that.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:02 am to deltaland
Have you posted your sun shining we are all gonna die catfish farm pic yet?
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:03 am to purple18
quote:
Duke….if you can remember, how does the setup today compare to the Alabama outbreak that produced that infamous tornado in Tuscaloosa?
One huge difference is overall storm mode. Another semi-huge difference is we had no lacking of CAPE on April 27. Being late April solved that issue.
Where today's setup has decent parameters in a few measurements, April 27 (and the days before to a lesser degree) had perfect parameters across the board. You literally couldn't build a better severe setup than April 27, 2011.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:05 am to purple18
quote:
Duke….if you can remember, how does the setup today compare to the Alabama outbreak that produced that infamous tornado in Tuscaloosa?
This is a very different event from that one. Today we lack instability but have very impressive wind profiles/dynamics. Hence the reason why storm mode will be linear and destructive straight line winds will be the primary thread with some embedded tornadoes.
The 2011 Super Outbreak was a perfect setup for the development of tornadic, discrete supercells.
I will say this, though, if you want to make a comparison between today and April 27, 2011, there may be some similarities between the line of severe storms that occurred across Mississippi and Alabama early on the morning of April 27th and today. That morning had a destructive wind event with embedded tornadoes, which is the type of threat we have today. However, I don't think we will see the same kind of tornadoes embedded in the squall line today that we saw embedded in the squall line that morning.
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 10:06 am
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:06 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Meteorologist Nick Micklausklasas aka tigerdroppings field reporter tBoat I’ll be live in 15 minutes or so. I’ll just be going over how things are setting up and yapping until I start to bore myself.
He is live now. Good stuff
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:07 am to Roll Tide Ravens
April 5 2011 is the better analog if you want an April 2011 comparison.
ETA: If any event looks similar to 4/27, you're gonna see me a lot more freaked out. Advice like just start digging a basement and get some kevlar would be flowing.
ETA: If any event looks similar to 4/27, you're gonna see me a lot more freaked out. Advice like just start digging a basement and get some kevlar would be flowing.
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 10:12 am
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:14 am to Duke
quote:
If any event looks similar to 4/27, you're gonna see me a lot more freaked out.
In. Deed.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:14 am to Wishnitwas1998
quote:
Have you posted your sun shining we are all gonna die catfish farm pic yet?
Well, it is bright as hell for me this morning, baw.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:15 am to LegendInMyMind
Looks like the HRRR is sticking with semi-discrete cells for LA south of the 31st parallel.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:15 am to Duke
quote:
f any event looks similar to 4/27, you're gonna see me a lot more freaked out.
Horrific day, for sure. I had two EF-4's each pass within about 15 miles of me, one to the north and one to the south. That was close enough for me.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:15 am to Duke
The month of April 2011 may have provided an analog for pretty much any scenario.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:18 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
The month of April 2011 may have provided an analog for pretty much any scenario.
Yeah. And it's not as if the country has had good luck lately.
Hopefully this doesn't get too hairy. They are saying 55+ mph gusts possible in SoLa today. Usually that means the system is pretty organized and unlikely to spawn a lot of tornadoes (although that's still possible).
Watching you and Duke for updates is better/more reliable than TWC.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:20 am to Duke
If I ever see Duke start to freak out in one of these threads I might piss myself with fear.
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:20 am to goofball
Are there cells developing ahead of the line in Louisiana?
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 10:21 am
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:23 am to goofball
quote:
Watching you and Duke for updates is better/more reliable than TWC.
I want to say again that following here or watching your favorite person stream on YouTube or another platform is great. But, when something is on your doorstep, rely on the on-air mets in your area. They'll focus on you and only you. We, and others, may miss something, particularly when we are radar watching all over.
*This isn't targeted at you specifically, goofball, but just a general reminder to everyone.
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 10:28 am
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:24 am to SouthernHog
quote:
Are there cells developing ahead of the line in Louisiana?
according to MyRadar App, yes
Posted on 3/30/22 at 10:24 am to LegendInMyMind
I don’t know. When we get some of these lines passing through DFW, there is usually actions taking place all over. I could die in a tornado waiting for them to switch from coverage of one cell over the another.
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