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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:52 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21553 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

quote:
It was fed the upper air data from the plane tonight yes?


Yes, and the drops came back with a stronger ridge.



Now to see if it changes the Euro. The Euro data assimilation is so good that sometimes the extra upper air data doesn't really impact the next run.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477462 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

That will not happen if it makes landfall west of Lake Charles.


My guess got a boat seal of approval!
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:52 pm to
Leaving NOW wouldn’t be a horrible idea
Posted by papasmurf1269
Hells Pass
Member since Apr 2005
21449 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

As of right now it is shoeing 70mph winds on accuweather in BR wednesday
The local weather In Baton Rouge didn’t say anything like that
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14318 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:53 pm to
GFS a little more west in Gulf but still goes about straight due North into western Cameron parish
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182667 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

I really don't want to leave


Same here. I dread it actually.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477462 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

I live in Shreveport. My mom is in Ellick. Got a kid at ULL. We’re all leaving for Colorado in the morning. I was kinda looking for an excuse to go anyway. The threat of losing electricity for a few days in August was all the justification I needed

If I was single I would be there, Austin, or SD
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:53 pm to
Go read some stories about people who rode out hurricanes
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15736 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:54 pm to
I mean, at this point, you’re basically guaranteed to lose electricity. I’m not down with that bullshite.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29842 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

The local weather In Baton Rouge didn’t say anything like that


Those dumb shits posted a model earlier showing it going straight across to corpus and treated it like gospel.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477462 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:54 pm to
I still have court Friday

I did my payroll today in your honor
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53887 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

We’re all leaving for Colorado in the morning




Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15736 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:55 pm to
quote:

If I was single I would


Add SFP mentioning his relationship status to the bingo card
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:55 pm to
All that shucking and jiving and the GFS is about 15 miles west of the 18z run.

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177410 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:55 pm to
Baton Rouge would get about 40 mph with the current track. That can knock out power but structurally wise BR won't have any problems unless your house has a million trees around. In Baton Rouge it will be very similar to Rita on the current track.

That's not to say it's a guarantee it'll be like Rita for SW Louisiana. There's too many unknown factors at play like what size it'll be, speed, direction of motion at landfall. But you can make a pretty good educated guess what it would be like in BR.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95036 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:56 pm to
My Facebook feed has exploded with shares of pages from “hurricane pages.” It’s a clusterfrick. Doomcasting left, right, top, bottoms.



Posted by man in the stadium
Member since Aug 2006
1454 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:56 pm to
Now that we are getting closer to landfall, reminder that some our state institutions like The Water Institue of the Gulf and LSU help put on a little-known but very important website for storm surge predictions LINK

It’s the most accurate predictor for surge out there presently.

Looking like Cameron all the way east to pecan island could see 10’ or surge. Vermilion bays area also could see elevated surge in the 5-10’ range that could back up a lot of the waterways in the Teche-Vermilion basin. Mermentau will also see tail water effects.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477462 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:57 pm to
I figured everyone is going north it West so eat is optimal if it keeps up this westerly movement
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95036 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

All that shucking and jiving and the GFS is about 15 miles west of the 18z run.


Which in the grand scheme of things, means absolutely zero
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95036 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 10:58 pm to
I’ve got rooms in Shreveport. I understand that it’s in the path, but obviously will be significantly weaker by the time it gets up there.
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