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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:14 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43297 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:14 am to

Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
·
2m
Tropical Storm #Laura is now located south of central Cuba after being disrupted overnight by the eastern Cuban mountains. Laura may take some time to reorganize, and then is likely to strengthen into a dangerous hurricane over the gulf and threaten Texas and/or Louisiana by Wed.
Posted by TygerDurden
Member since Sep 2009
1957 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:15 am to
quote:

I don’t understand how they say this thing is moving WNW at all. It moved 0.1N and 0.8W in 3 hours. That is moving about 277 degrees or just slightly above due W. Each of the plots on the track have it moving more NW by now. This thing has to be taking longer to make the curve then they thought and heading further W


This...Laura has been moving at around a 285 compass heading for the past 48 hours which is not far off of due west. This morning it is at a 290 heading.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477375 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:15 am to
quote:

Laura and having a hard time finding the center.

what does this do? just make it difficult to predict? or will it drift because of this?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:21 am to
quote:

Lots of talk on other sites and on twitter by Mets that UKmet has been best performing so far and has Laura going way west along with latest euro ensembles




That is plausible, but it's probably being talked about the most by Houston area interests. Houston is the next population center that generates major interest, so you have to take the discussion with a grain of salt.

If this board was dominated by Texas weather posters, you'd find that most would be discussing things that bring it to Texas. Same if it was a Florida based board. That's the rub with any weather forum - there is a strong contingent of people who only want to discuss things that mean doom for them.
Posted by bayoudude
Member since Dec 2007
25907 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:24 am to
People tend to focus on the eye location and neglect the damage and effects of a major hurricane skirting the coast. We get a major that close and you will have issues across the entire coast of LA from grand isle to lake Charles. Not to mention br will see ts condistions. This thing takes the eastern side of the track and we get hurricane andrew part II... ride that one out in bourg LA and it was no picnic
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:24 am to
quote:

what does this do? just make it difficult to predict? or will it drift because of this?




Nah, just means they missed where they anticipated it would be. There are actually two low level reconnaissance flights being done in Laura at the moment. The other flight found it on the first pass.

Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
143884 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:27 am to
So Marco has basically fallen apart and expected to come ashore around Grand Isle or there abouts?
Posted by Purpleblooded
Member since Dec 2019
580 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:29 am to
Slackster now they found the center where has it moved from the last finding? More west/east or north
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7801 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:30 am to
Wrong. WNW is defined as being around 290 on a compass. I get that technically it moved north but we are talking super small north. It is closer to W than WNW. I just see the actual movement as important to final destination.
Posted by Purpleblooded
Member since Dec 2019
580 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:32 am to
CaptJ where you see landfall with the little movement?
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42522 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:32 am to
Laura looks like she is sucking in some dry air from the North.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=13L&product=wv-mid
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:36 am to
I had a dream last night that my house got wrecked from this thing. I hope it’s not a premonition.

Guess I’ve followed this thread too closely.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 7:38 am
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70748 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:36 am to
The local people here Houston seem to expect a fairly significant shift once Laura gets in the gulf tomorrow.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177381 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:38 am to
Marco

Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6178 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:38 am to
quote:

major hurricane skirting the coast.


No track shows it skirting the coast

From Morgan City eastward on current track might get a high tides, surf
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:39 am to
Got to cancel my trip to Houston. Hotel too!
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11864 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:40 am to
quote:

The local people here Houston seem to expect a fairly significant shift once Laura gets in the gulf tomorrow


As in towards Houston? Interesting
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6178 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:40 am to
quote:

WNW is defined as being around 290 on a compass. I get that technically it moved north but we are talking super small north. It is closer to W than WNW. I just see the actual movement as important to final destination.


Yea center is way south of what models expected and its still moving more west than what they thought

UKmet is showing this the best
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7801 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:40 am to
BigHoss I will leave that to people in this thread way smarter than me. I just wanted to note that the longer it stays on a more westerly track then the more west the final landfall will be.
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 7:41 am to
You both need to stay quiet.

ETA: that was funny sarcasm not me being snarky.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 7:49 am
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