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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:30 am to
Posted by Box Geauxrilla
Member since Jun 2013
19221 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:30 am to
I'm going to be in a condo in Destin all next week. How fricked am I?
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1786 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:33 am to
Wednesday-Saturday most probably a red flag on the Florida beaches
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
12330 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:33 am to
Prison raped.
Posted by GeauxTigers80
Birmingham
Member since Aug 2009
910 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:37 am to
Oh yea... I love how these late August storm seem like hot messes!

Wtf??

It’s gonna be a hot mess if a major hurricane is in the gulf and people gotta evac. with all the covid shite going on.
Posted by lsufan4lifeMiles
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
746 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 10:39 am to
It’s too early to tell, wait for the weekend when all three have had time to form and collect themselves on a particular path. Somebody in the Gulf Coast Region will get fricked
This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 10:42 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:10 am to
quote:

Is appears that the WV channel is showing potential Southwesterly shear to the west of 97L ?


You can see the CONUS trough digging in and some SW flow picking up over the WCar for sure.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216475 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:14 am to
Yes it would be a huge mess. Possible mass destruction and having to deal with Covid and kids just starting back to school. It could get awful...


But no matter what... Mother Nature always wins........
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147164 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:46 am to
quote:

It’s too early to tell, wait for the weekend when all three have had time to form and collect themselves on a particular path. Somebody in the Gulf Coast Region will get fricked

TWC gettin their COVIDcane graphics locked and loaded
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93643 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:49 am to
quote:

But no matter what... Mother Nature always wins........


Not always:



Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
66985 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:52 am to
That was one of my favorite nights on the OT.

That and Kevin the flag.
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Not Phillytiger9
Member since Dec 2015
11861 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 11:54 am to
If Destroya lets a hurricane take down the Hard Rock before it’s properly demolished she should be recalled immediately
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:06 pm to
This is no longer true with the ICON. They updated the doomcane model. It's way more reliable now.
This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 12:06 pm
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:10 pm to
98L 12z Model rundown:

UKMET: Into the NE GOM nearing hurricane strength
ICON : Cat 2 Landfall near Miami and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
CMC: Cat 2 Landfall near the Keys and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
GFS: Nada

Awaiting Euro
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147164 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

That and Kevin the flag.

Kevin fought a valiant fight

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21544 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

98L 12z Model rundown:

UKMET: Into the NE GOM nearing hurricane strength
ICON : Cat 2 Landfall near Miami and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
CMC: Cat 2 Landfall near the Keys and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
GFS: Nada

Awaiting Euro


There are some significant differences between the development vs non-development models right now with regards to the upper levels, moisture, flow at the mid & low levels, etc. Then beyond that the 12z models that do develop this do so while it is skimming along the northern coast of the bigger islands, which looks suspect.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147164 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

There are some significant differences between the development vs non-development models right now with regards to the upper levels, moisture, flow at the mid & low levels, etc. Then beyond that the 12z models that do develop this do so while it is skimming along the northern coast of the bigger islands, which looks suspect.

so true in other areas not dealing with meteorology
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14308 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

98L 12z Model rundown:

UKMET: Into the NE GOM nearing hurricane strength
ICON : Cat 2 Landfall near Miami and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
CMC: Cat 2 Landfall near the Keys and then again on the panhandle strike as Cat 3
GFS: Nada

Awaiting Euro


Just now updated HMON - Cat 3 right into Miami at end of run (5 days)
Posted by bamaphan13
Member since Jan 2011
1217 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 1:37 pm to
Heading to Rosemary Beach on Saturday. How screwed am I next week?

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21544 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

GFS: Nada

Awaiting Euro


Euro the same.

ETA: bit more Euro EPS members showing a system in the Gulf vs prior runs. About in line with the 12z GEFSv12.
This post was edited on 8/19/20 at 2:16 pm
Posted by Tigah D
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1498 posts
Posted on 8/19/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

quote:
GFS: Nada

Awaiting Euro


Euro the same.


Still struggling to believe how others are hyping this but euro and GFS just say, "nah"
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