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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:41 pm to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105618 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:41 pm to
The vaunted Russian cyber warfare capability has been mostly a dud too. I figured we'd be sitting in the dark with no water by now.
This post was edited on 4/3/22 at 7:42 pm
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46575 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

I'm kind of curious what is going on in the cyberspace arena.


Nothing. Nothing at all.
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
5126 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:47 pm to
If Putin goes to Turkey for peace talks and gets popped, we are going straight to WW4
Posted by PrecedentedTimes
Member since Dec 2020
3128 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

straight to WW4


Did I miss WW3? Or was that Chicken vs Russian Bots?
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
5126 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:50 pm to
3 was Smith-Rock
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:51 pm to
I mean if I'm commander and chief and Putin gets popped I want to have some anti-putin people in Moscow ready to bring down the Kremlin or wherever all their politicians be.

This is just me thinking from video game/movie standpoint that is not real world scenario.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:51 pm to


Ukrainian sourced so consider accordingly, but it’s been a while since we’ve had an update on losses.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30811 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

It is a pure doctrine issue. And it's showing the overwhelming superiority of NATO doctrine over Russian. One Javelin at a time.


I also imagine there are a lot of Army tank commanders channeling their inner Patton and salivating over the idea of having a little tank GTG to determine once and for all who has the best tank army. I bet they are thinking frick all the fast movers, rotor heads and grunts let's just button up and settle this thing right now. Once they got finished with all the operational Russian MBTs they would just roll into Moscow and finish off the T14s Russia keeps waxed for photo ops. They could probably be there in time to roll through Red Square on May 9th (the date of their annual military parade).
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105618 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:53 pm to
Of course if Putin gets toppled it might be for someone more extreme.
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
5126 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:54 pm to
shite is gonna be whistling down from the heavens all over. Not going to be pretty.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46575 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

I bet they are thinking frick all the fast movers, rotor heads and grunts let's just button up and settle this thing right now.


Only the idiots. There's a reason why most western armies are scrambling to fit APS on all their MBTs. The war in Ukraine is just showing how important the Israeli APSs were back in 2014.

The MBT is far from dead. The MBT without protection from dismounts in an urban environment is dead as shite.....and Ukraine continues to remind us of that.
Posted by TigerOnTheMountain
Higher Elevation
Member since Oct 2014
41773 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:59 pm to
There’s no guarantee that his successor would be any better. It will be interesting to see if the Russian people adopt a more anti western stance should the west continue to impose sanctions even with a new ruler.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24354 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

Anything that says "Russia is crushing Ukraine! Here's ten reasons why!"


quote:

Same with "Ukraine is crushing Russia! Here's ten reasons why!"


Absolutely agree with you 100%. I have to filter out the nonsense. And there is propaganda on both sides. But certainly Ukraine turned Russia away in Kyiv. And some of the reporting I saw showed Russia to be anything but a professional military. The reporting about Bucha showed litter and beer bottles left behind and then there was the reporting today that Russian were poisoned by spiked liquor. I'm not sure Putin's troops will get the job done for him. One regiment brought on late in the pre-invasion mass of troops was considered to be an elite unit. Reporting said at least 30% and maybe more were killed.
But one thing Putin has is other nasty weapons.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75735 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

The problems we have seen over the last 5 weeks are fundamental, there is no way any of that gets fixed in the near term. Think decades.

I'm still not to the point of wholesale writing the Russian military off, regardless the current optics.

I lean pretty heavily on Michael Kofman's quote, "I have spent the years since 2014 arguing that Russia isn't twelve feet tall. I fear I will spend the next several years arguing that neither are they four feet tall."
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:00 pm to
Possibly but at the same time where does the average Ivan in Russia stand. They are going to be in lines to use electronics and carpooling to the vodka factories. I joke, but I am interested in when and how the upper middle class becomes affected and when that will hit home. I don't think in these modern times your folks that have enjoyed luxuries are no longer going to be able to get them will turn on political leaders that they have had in power for 3 decades. The whole world is so fickle because of social media and luxuries
This post was edited on 4/3/22 at 8:02 pm
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46575 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

I lean pretty heavily on Michael Kofman's quote, "I have spent the years since 2014 arguing that Russia isn't twelve feet tall. I fear I will spend the next several years arguing that neither are they four feet tall."


I was 100% on board with this. Then I saw how Russia responded to Ukraine not rolling over.
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:05 pm to
The best way to filter IMO is to look up the writer. If you do it enough regularly you can find which articles are clickbait. Or a line of progressively extreme articles. That's honestly the best way is to build some rep and slowly use it to drag readers along to an extreme point of view or make them gullible because they only read one news source and think said person is some kind of internet genius.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30811 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

Only the idiots


I think they would invasion meeting somewhere like the steppes. No armor commander wants to go into a city, it is like playing football in a church.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:11 pm to
NYT Article on Bucha

quote:

Ms. Pomazanko’s killing is just one of scores being uncovered days after Russian troops withdrew from the outlying suburbs of Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, after weeks of fierce fighting. On Sunday, Ukrainians were still finding the dead in yards and on the roads amid mounting evidence that civilians had been killed purposely and indiscriminately.


quote:

Serhiy Kaplishny is a coroner in Bucha who worked there from Feb. 24, the day of the invasion, until March 10, when he fled. He returned to Bucha on Saturday. He said that, so far, his team had collected more than 100 bodies during and after the fighting and the Russian occupation.


quote:

“They were civilians,” Mr. Kaplishny said, showing cellphone pictures of dead men in civilian clothes with their hands bound behind their backs and in one case in the front.

In the images, eight bodies with hands bound lay in a courtyard of a house and five in a basement, he said. “Look, that one was shot in the eye,” Mr. Kaplishny said.


quote:

A main thoroughfare in Bucha — Vokzalnaya, or Station Street — was unpassable on Sunday, strewn with destroyed Russian tanks and armored vehicles, downed cables and burned debris. Scores of Russian soldiers were killed, residents said, when the column of Russian tanks came under a drone attack.

Several of the houses on one side of the street caught fire, but some of the Russian soldiers who survived the blast escaped into people’s yards, residents said. Two bodies in the garden of one house farther up the street were probably those of Russian soldiers, said Kostiantyn Momotov, who lived nearby.

The men had cast off their army uniforms and boots, he said, pointing to a camouflage jacket on the ground, and put on civilian clothes, possibly to avoid capture, he said. Both men had been shot in the head. After the drone attack on the column, it took a week before Russian reinforcements arrived on March 4 and took control of Bucha, several residents said.

After that, the Russians parked their tanks at the main intersections and in people’s yards and conducted house-to-house searches, they said.


Tried to quote the important pieces, obviously more in full article. Seems at least mostly consistent with a lot of what we’ve seen on Twitter from accounts frequently shared in here.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8683 posts
Posted on 4/3/22 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

The question now is does Russia regroup at the border and attempt another assault on Kyiv or is too well defended at this point.


I don’t think Russia has the personnel or materiel available to do that. As you well know, offensive warfare just churns through resources.

They’ll retrench in the East and probably reinforce Crimea.
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