re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

ISW Update Sept 19th

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Key Takeaways:

Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly declined a request from the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) to offset Russian losses by declaring another mobilization wave in spring 2024 likely to avoid political costs associated with involuntary reserve call-ups. Putin has since remained committed to his crypto mobilization campaign, constraining Russia's mobilization potential.

Mobilization in Russia remains unlikely in the near to medium term due to Putin’s personal fear that mobilization is a direct threat to his regime’s stability.

Russian authorities have reportedly tasked Russian forces with pushing Ukrainian forces out of Kursk Oblast by mid-October 2024 and establishing a "buffer zone" into Ukrainian border areas along the international border with Russia in northeastern Ukraine by the end of October — significant undertakings that the Russian military is very unlikely to achieve in such a short period of time.

The Kremlin continues to signal its commitment to improving Russian drone operations in Ukraine and drone production capabilities amid efforts to offset the social and economic impacts of a protracted Russian war effort.

Putin claimed that Russia must ensure that there are "no barriers" to the movement of Russian citizens between mainland Russia and Kaliningrad Oblast.

The reported transfer of Indian artillery shells through European intermediaries to Ukraine is reportedly generating tensions within the Russian-Indian relationship.

The European Parliament called on member states to lift restrictions on Ukraine's ability to use Western-provided long-range systems to strike military objects in Russia.

Ukrainian forces recently marginally advanced in Kursk Oblast.

Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk, and Russian forces recently advanced near Kharkiv City, Svatove, Siversk, Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and Hulyaipole.

Russian President Vladimir Putin indicated during a meeting on the development of the Russian Armed Forces on September 18 that the Kremlin aims to improve Russia's federal level training system.

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Putin claimed that Russia must ensure that there are "no barriers" to the movement of Russian citizens between mainland Russia and Kaliningrad Oblast.

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So, people who doubt Putin would ever think of messing with a NATO country... how do you suppose he can achieve what he just claimed he has to ensure?

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There are a lot of brilliant and productive Russians... who got the hell out of Russia.

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The former finance director of Gazprom has applied for US citizenship, a biz friend of mine. He's been here since he left Gazprom in 2007. Grew up in Moscow as the son of well connected parents and pro Ukraine. Thinks Putin is not the brightest star in the sky, just the most ruthless. Another has long been a citizen originally from St. Petersburg one of the USSR's top young physicists. He's pro Ukraine as well.

Meanwhile people who only know what nothingburger idiot bloggers say about Russia think they are calling me out. In fact, are showing their ignorance and stupidity.

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Who works at those American defense contractor plants? Do those companies pay taxes? Do those workers pay taxes? Do those workers pay mortgages in American cities and towns? Eat at local restaurants and buy stuff at local stores?

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Ukraine exposed a weakness and no way could be compete with China without the 2/3 of money "for Ukraine" would have made it through congress.

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If you watched the vid he's referencing, or studied Russian History, you'd take away something the vid makes a point to highlight

"Russia remains a country ..."

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Oh, I'm keenly aware of Russian history. Far more so than those here who fail to recognize the predictable (therefore avoidable) Russian rationale for this war in the first place.

Respondent to your point though, if the posts in question were framed in terms of a country or system, it would be a different matter. They weren't. Instead, they negatively stereotyped individual human beings because the poster doesn't like the country those humans are stuck living in, or the system they are subjected to.

I guess the dehumanization enables this war as a contest ripe for spectator entertainment though, a Hunger Games of sorts. This thread often reads that way.

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Meanwhile people who only know what nothingburger idiot bloggers say about Russia think they are calling me out. In fact, are showing their ignorance and stupidity.

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This from an American who thinks it somehow makes sense to let 10s of millions of illegals invade our border while pissing away 100s of billions so a country can defend theirs....who are these sheeple you speak of

I dont have a friend of a friend of a business associate, Ive actually worked and traveled in Russia and there are some incredibly smart people at various levels.

But speaking again of your sheeple, I think Putin pretty well had many Americans spot on, killing their babies or maiming them when they do survive, inventing new categories of humans,and sexual perversion, pitting every race color and creed against one another, using the MIC to become filthy rich at the expense of lives of others in foreign lands.

And Russia still advances across all fronts......

How is the weather in Kyiv?

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How is the weather in Kyiv?

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You consistently act like a troll in here, and then you complain when people treat you like a troll.

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You consistently act like a troll in here

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This dude only posts from websites with titles like "Kyivisthebest.web" and has been doing it for months if not years, if anyone here is actually in Kyiv its him

Is noticing trolling?

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then you complain when people treat you like a troll.

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Actually my complaints mostly tend to be about inconsistent standards when it comes to asking for proof and selectively applying logic when it fits the narrative people want to believe.

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investigation into the murder of US "volunteer" Russell "Texas" Bentley.

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Has anyone heard from Lima lately ? Between this and pagergate it’s been quiet on his end .