re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Russian units are retreating from Vovchansk as they have been rendered combat ineffective.

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That’s absolutely terrible. I can’t fathom how any of these people on here actually cheer Russia on like a deranged football fan. They are fricking animals that need to be dealt with and put in their place. I would find as many troop concentrations across the border in Russia as I possibly could and rain cluster ATACMS down on them. They have forfeited their right to breathe as far as I’m concerned.

The kit failed, and the wings appear to have broken off.

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You call that a guarantee? I call it a goal

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"Ukraine can" would be a goal. "Ukraine will" is a promise.

ISW Update

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Key Takeaways:

Russian forces appear to be intensifying the tempo of their offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast while decreasing the rate of attacks in northern Kharkiv Oblast — consistent with ISW's assessment that Russian offensive operations in Kharkiv Oblast are primarily intended to fix and distract Ukrainian forces in order to allow Russian forces to intensify elsewhere in theater.

US policy continues to prohibit Ukrainian forces from striking legitimate military targets in Russian territory in range of Ukrainian HIMARS.

Russian forces are exploiting the sanctuary that US policy still protects to support Russian combat operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast and elsewhere in Ukraine.

Russian air defenses will reduce the effectiveness of Ukrainian F-16s if the US does not allow Ukrainian forces to use ATACMS to destroy Russian air defense systems in Russian territory.

The partial removal of the Russian sanctuary has already had a net positive effect, underscoring the powerful latent potential a larger policy change could achieve.

Dutch Defense Minister Kajsa Ollongren announced on June 21 that the Netherlands and another unspecified country will supply Ukraine with a Patriot air defense system.

Russian opposition outlet Vazhnye Istorii reported on a series of leadership changes within the Russian Federal Security Service's (FSB) Fifth Service, which reportedly specializes in collecting intelligence within Russia and the former Soviet Union.

Western countries have reportedly provided Ukraine with roughly 800 million euros ($855.4 million) worth of Serbian-produced ammunition despite Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic's ongoing efforts to balance favor between Russia and the West.

Satellite imagery confirmed that Ukrainian forces struck at least one Russian air defense training center in Krasnodar Krai during recent strikes on June 20 to 21.

Select Russian milbloggers claimed that unnamed actors, implied to be Ukrainians, conducted a strike using ATACMS against Rostov Oblast, although ISW cannot independently confirm these reports.

Russian forces recently advanced near Svatove, Chasiv Yar, and Avdiivka. 

Russian law enforcement and security agencies continue working with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) to recruit those accused of criminal offenses into the Russian military, likely as part of ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts.

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That’s actually a smart idea for the type of war that is being fought. Yea it’s a smaller gun in the 105 mm but that gun is also well known for its accuracy. They would also be cheap and fast to produce versus regular self propelled artillery since it’s just a rotating 105 on a Humvee. It would also be much easier to hide from enemy drones with its small size. Ukraine could use a couple hundred of those to good use. Lord knows we have enough Humvees in storage so they wouldn’t need to produce a new vehicle.

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National Security Adviser Chang Ho-jin said on Sunday that the mix of South Korea's arms support for Ukraine will vary depending on how Russia's military cooperation with North Korea goes.

Appearing on a KBS program on Sunday, Chang stressed that Seoul's decision on whether to provide weapons to Ukraine depends on Russia. 

The security adviser rhetorically asked if there would be any line remaining for South Korea if Russia gave precision weapons to North Korea, hinting that South Korea could provide lethal weapons to Ukraine if Russia crossed the line.

On Thursday, Chang said that the top office will reconsider providing arms support to Ukraine after Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un signed a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty that includes a vow of mutual aid if either country is attacked.

Later that day, Putin warned that it would be a "big mistake" if South Korea supplied weapons to Ukraine.

As for future relations between South Korea and Russia, Chang said that not only South Korea but also Russia should make efforts to improve bilateral relations, adding that if Moscow wants to restore and develop relations with Seoul after the Ukraine war ends, Russia should think carefully.

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Real journalism here. Ukraine discussion starts around 7:50.

The one we gave Ukraine was sent in April and is still in the fight, so we should hopefully get some good data from it.

The thing that makes Hawkeye such a good idea for Ukraine is, as LSUPilot says, its small size and ability to hide from drones, as compared to much larger SPGs.

My gut is that it makes sense for the US Army to invest in Hawkeye production.