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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/15/24 at 11:27 pm to StormyMcMan
Posted on 5/15/24 at 11:27 pm to StormyMcMan
quote:
Also a little shocked Noone has posted this
Russia is already promoting the "Ukraine totally did it" line as they typically do.
The would-be assassin is a "Slovakian Far-Leftist," which in their political milieu means he's... pro-Russia? He released a statement mentioning Fico's suppression of the media and press (getting rid of national broadcaster RTVS for being too critical of Fico's government)...
But Fico is a Putin ally... and head of a Left-wing party, Smer (Socialist Democracy)... which made a coalition with the right-wing ultra-Nationalist Slovak National Party... ???
I'm just reminded of a guy from England I know who always says "don't try to understand British politics through your Yankee lens... it won't make sense. Even our right wing supports the National Health Service and strict gun control..." Each country is its own country with its own political spectrum, I guess...
EuroNews: "What do we know about Robert Fico's alleged shooter?"
Slovakian media has identified the shooter as 71-year-old Juraj Cintula, a self-described writer who previously worked as a security guard and is allegedly linked to pro-Russian group Slovacki branci.
Posted on 5/15/24 at 11:28 pm to Ice Cream Sammich
quote:
Do you wear Velcro shoes?
That's a fashion abomination.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 5:01 am to IAmNERD
quote:
Not sure why anyone would believe they would take it any faster than they did either one of those. Which, again, took multiple months and tons of losses in both cases. Yet they're gonna roll Kharkiv in a week? That's just not reality.
In a war of attrition the war is won by grinding the other side down until they lose their will to fight. This is what Putin and the Russians are attempting to do to the Ukrainians.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 5:11 am to Lee B
quote:
A Russian S-400 complex, 2 MiG-31 aircraft, and a warehouse of fuels and lubricants were hit at the Belbek military airfield on the night of May 15, according to updated information on Russian Telegram channels.
Also, allegedly, closer to the morning of May 15, a missile hit the S-400 Triumph air defense system already in the area of Vishneve village in Crimea. After the attack, the air defense missile system reportedly caught fire.
quote:
So, in two nights Russia has lost 6 fighter jets MiG-31 and Su-27, 3 SAM complexes S-300/400, 1 Radar site and other stuff. About 30 Russian soldiers were killed
Tasty Video.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 6:32 am to Coeur du Tigre
Random tweets
LINK
video in LINK
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quote:
??Turkey helps russia sell oil, — Politico.
It is noted that from February 2023 to February 2024, Turkey increased its purchases from Russia by 105% compared to the previous year. During the same period, fuel exports from Turkey to the EU increased by 107%.
The scheme of Turkey and russia was built on the loopholes in the sanctions. Despite the fact that the EU banned the import of Russian oil in February 2023, there is permission to import "mixed" fuel. The study confirms that Moscow earned €3 billion per year from the scheme from only three ports.
LINK
quote:
Russian elite troops assault a hospital in the center of Vovchansk
The video shows a hospital in Vovchansk, Kharkiv region, being stormed by Russian occupiers. One of the invaders for some reason climbed on the visor of the building and fell to the ground. Others jumped through the windows.
video in LINK
quote:
Vovchans'k.
Last night film was released of a Russian POW captured in the town.
Today Yuriy Butusov reports he is from the 138th Motor Rifle Brigade and claims that his unit along with the 25th Motor Rifle Brigade were tasked to capture Vovchansk in 2 days.
Film released 15.05.24
LINK
quote:
Rybar Live: Special military operation, May 15
Mikhail Zvinchuk, head of the Russian think tank Rybar: «In the area of Rabotino village we received information about the liberation of the entire settlement. However, according to our information, some enemy groups are clinging to the northern end of Rabotino village»
LINK
quote:
Consumer disconnections that began on May 14 may last until August-September.
Yurii Boyko, a member of the supervisory board of NEC "Ukrenergo", expressed this assessment.
He also noted that there will be a deficit in the energy system in winter even at high temperatures.
LINK
quote:
Volodymyr Zelenskyy held the General Headquarters of the Supreme Command in Kharkiv.
"As of today, the situation in Kharkiv region is generally under control, our soldiers are inflicting significant losses on the occupier. But the direction remains extremely difficult - we are strengthening our units," the president said.
LINK
quote:
Ilan Shor, a fugitive Moldovan oligarch and pro-Kremlin politician, has received a Russian passport
"I applied for it, I received it. So today I am, among other things, a citizen of the Russian Federation," Shor said in an interview.
In #Moldova, he was sentenced to 7.5 years in prison for his involvement in a bank fraud case. In 2019, the politician left the country. He also under the #EU sanctions for "destabilization and undermining the sovereignty of Moldova".
LINK
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If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
Antony Blinken visits in Ukraine a drone production plant.
Visible are rows of "Baba Yaga" heavy bomber drones in production.
LINK
quote:
#Putin arrived in #China. This is his first foreign visit since his re-election
He was greeted in Beijing by Xi Jinping, a orchestra and jumping children with flags and flowers.
LINK
quote:
The Estonian parliament has passed a law allowing the use of frozen Russian assets to compensate for the damage caused by the war in Ukraine. Estonia became the first country to adopt such a legal act.
LINK
Posted on 5/16/24 at 6:49 am to StormyMcMan
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 16 May 2024
Ukraine's economy remains resilient after two years of Russia's invasion. Despite attacks by Russia on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, it is likely that Ukraine will see real economic growth of around 3 per cent in 2024. This continues the trend of wartime recovery after Ukraine's economy contracted by around 29 per cent in 2022, followed by real economic growth of 5 per cent in 2023, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) improved the annual inflation forecast to 8.2 per cent for 2024, down from 8.6 per cent previously forecasted. Inflation in Ukraine fell to 3.2 per cent on an annualised basis in March 2024, reinforcing the trend of falling inflation levels from the peak of over 26 per cent in 2022. However, inflation is likely to rise in the second half of 2024. The NBU projects fading effects from last year's strong harvest, a continued recovery in consumption, and rising costs for businesses during the war.
Continued improvements in the economic conditions of Ukraine have almost certainly allowed the NBU to progressively lower its base interest rate. The NBU lowered the base interest rate to 13.5 per cent at the end of April 2024, down from 14.5 per cent set in March 2024, and below the wartime peak of 25 per cent.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 16 May 2024
Ukraine's economy remains resilient after two years of Russia's invasion. Despite attacks by Russia on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, it is likely that Ukraine will see real economic growth of around 3 per cent in 2024. This continues the trend of wartime recovery after Ukraine's economy contracted by around 29 per cent in 2022, followed by real economic growth of 5 per cent in 2023, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) improved the annual inflation forecast to 8.2 per cent for 2024, down from 8.6 per cent previously forecasted. Inflation in Ukraine fell to 3.2 per cent on an annualised basis in March 2024, reinforcing the trend of falling inflation levels from the peak of over 26 per cent in 2022. However, inflation is likely to rise in the second half of 2024. The NBU projects fading effects from last year's strong harvest, a continued recovery in consumption, and rising costs for businesses during the war.
Continued improvements in the economic conditions of Ukraine have almost certainly allowed the NBU to progressively lower its base interest rate. The NBU lowered the base interest rate to 13.5 per cent at the end of April 2024, down from 14.5 per cent set in March 2024, and below the wartime peak of 25 per cent.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:16 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
So, in two nights Russia has lost 6 fighter jets MiG-31 and Su-27, 3 SAM complexes S-300/400, 1 Radar site and other stuff. About 30 Russian soldiers were killed
How can this be. LW has assured us that Russia has cracked the code and long range artillery and missiles can't get through.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:18 am to Ice Cream Sammich
quote:
Do you wear Velcro shoes?
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:30 am to Lee B
quote:
And I don't want to sound like some Biden fan (I'm merely a Biden tolerator) but you're saying the guy who's always been a complete dick to Putin's face and called him a murderer to the international press is less threatening than someone who's businesses owe the Oligarchs billions and who stood next to Putin and very meekly mumbled that he believed Putin over his own government... which he was in charge of at the time (Putin, who "doesn't understand English," cracked a smile and laughed in disbelief...)...
Whatever... downvote away. Badges of honor.
I think you have lots of other issues besides being a Biden pole smoker.
Go to bed grandpa.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:54 am to AU86
Ukrainian drones damage Bazalt enterprise facility in Tula, Russia – video
VALENTYNA ROMANENKO — Thursday, 16 May 2024, 11:50
Drones of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine (DIU) damaged the production facilities of the Bazalt, Russian defence industry state enterprise, based in the city of Tula, on the night of 15-16 May.
Source: Ukrainska Pravda source in DIU
Quote: "A military facility in Tula was struck overnight into Thursday as a result of DIU’s planned operations. The facility directly manufactures military products for the war against Ukraine."
Details: Open-source intelligence monitoring has confirmed that the incident was captured by street surveillance cameras.
Russian media, on the other hand, claim that in Tula Oblast, the air defence system shot down two drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Note: Open sources indicate that Bazalt is a Russian defence facility focused on the development and supply of weapons and ammunition for the ground troops, the air force, and the navy.
Apart from its main division in Moscow, it includes a research and production unit in Krasnoarmeysk, Moscow Oblast, as well as production units in Tula and Kostroma oblasts.
Ukrainska Pravda
VALENTYNA ROMANENKO — Thursday, 16 May 2024, 11:50
Drones of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine (DIU) damaged the production facilities of the Bazalt, Russian defence industry state enterprise, based in the city of Tula, on the night of 15-16 May.
Source: Ukrainska Pravda source in DIU
Quote: "A military facility in Tula was struck overnight into Thursday as a result of DIU’s planned operations. The facility directly manufactures military products for the war against Ukraine."
Details: Open-source intelligence monitoring has confirmed that the incident was captured by street surveillance cameras.
Russian media, on the other hand, claim that in Tula Oblast, the air defence system shot down two drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Note: Open sources indicate that Bazalt is a Russian defence facility focused on the development and supply of weapons and ammunition for the ground troops, the air force, and the navy.
Apart from its main division in Moscow, it includes a research and production unit in Krasnoarmeysk, Moscow Oblast, as well as production units in Tula and Kostroma oblasts.
Ukrainska Pravda
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:41 am to CitizenK
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/29/26 at 11:43 am
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:43 am to StormyMcMan
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/29/26 at 11:42 am
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:49 am to RollTide1987
quote:
In a war of attrition the war is won by grinding the other side down until they lose their will to fight. This is what Putin and the Russians are attempting to do to the Ukrainians.
And they probably will do it too, because Ukraine just can’t take on Russia themselves. The things they’re getting is no where near enough to expel Russia. They needed all these things years before Russia invaded. They need to be able to replace losses immediately, and they can’t.
Russia has the manpower and will to win a war of attrition. They don’t care about their own men’s lives, or having outdated equipment. They have the numbers of soldiers and don’t even have anything to worry about with that right now. The people of St. Petersburg and Moscow aren’t feeling the effects of the war, and those are the only people’s opinions who matter in Russia. Their best soldiers and groups aren’t being used much yet. They still have plenty of Chechens and rural Russians to use for this war. Plenty of peasants.
They can produce equipment and get it out on the battlefield, and can replace their losses faster than Ukraine can. Doesn’t matter if it isn’t on par with Western equipment, when it’s Ukrainians using the Western equipment. Russia can rely on themselves while Ukraine has to rely on other countries. Ukraine is in trouble. They don’t have enough to stop an aggressive Russian offensive that’s begun. Doesn’t matter if Russia could have issues with their military logistics in a year, because this war will be over by then. Russia will ensure it never gets to that point. They’re about to overwhelm and put too much pressure on Ukraine, for Ukraine to overcome. It’s about to be an ugly summer.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:49 am to OMLandshark
quote:
I feel relatively confident Putin would have taken a deal where Russia gets to keep Donbas and Crimea and access to the Black Sea and NATO simply fricks off and doesn’t add Ukraine to NATO.
You need to help mediate this thing because everything I’ve read Russia wants Zelensky out and their hand picked govt. in.
They don’t want the West ti guarantee Ukraine’s security.
Putin wants control of Ukraine. That’s obvious.
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:55 am to OMLandshark
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/29/26 at 11:42 am
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:58 am to doubleb
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/29/26 at 11:41 am
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:21 am to OMLandshark
Article on Ukraine's USV development.
Opinion: Ukraine’s naval drones are taking over the Black Sea
May 16, 2024 3:14 PM
Testing phases that would ordinarily take years are taking months or even weeks to complete. Prototypes are immediately tested on the battlefield, after which amendments are made, and the next prototype is sent into combat. The evolution is rapid, and the changes that come with each stage of development are drastic.
For example, the weight of the Sea Baby naval drone’s warhead increased from 108 kilograms to 850 kilograms between mid-2022 and the end of 2023. According to SBU spokesperson Artem Dekhtiarenko, in April, the Sea Baby was modernized to hit a target over 1,000 kilometers (621.4 miles) away, meaning the “SBU can reach a target almost anywhere in the Black Sea.”
The Kyiv Independent
Opinion: Ukraine’s naval drones are taking over the Black Sea
May 16, 2024 3:14 PM
Testing phases that would ordinarily take years are taking months or even weeks to complete. Prototypes are immediately tested on the battlefield, after which amendments are made, and the next prototype is sent into combat. The evolution is rapid, and the changes that come with each stage of development are drastic.
For example, the weight of the Sea Baby naval drone’s warhead increased from 108 kilograms to 850 kilograms between mid-2022 and the end of 2023. According to SBU spokesperson Artem Dekhtiarenko, in April, the Sea Baby was modernized to hit a target over 1,000 kilometers (621.4 miles) away, meaning the “SBU can reach a target almost anywhere in the Black Sea.”
The Kyiv Independent
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:34 am to OMLandshark
quote:
Jeffrey Sachs speaks with @GGreenwald
That's a pair of far leftists. To those who holler about LGBT these two are quite supportive of that movement.
This post was edited on 5/16/24 at 9:35 am
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:51 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Russia is already promoting the "Ukraine totally did it" line as they typically do.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 5/16/24 at 10:12 am to CitizenK
LOL gtfo bro. Smearing people for politics unrelated to this conflict while you've been lockstep with team Obama / Biden on Ukraine since 2014.
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