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Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:33 am to NC_Tigah
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:33 am to NC_Tigah
quote:
Those estimates don't include the most recent damage, do they?
Probably not, no. Those are the effects prior, and this past week/weekend are likely to make things even worse.
The rumor is that Biden's "grand strategy" is simple: make Russia run out of money before Ukraine runs out of men.
Hitting Russian economic infrastructure seems like a good plan, though I'm not sure why Ukraine wasn't doing that in March 2022, rather than March 2024.
1
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:46 am to RuLSU
quote:
Hitting Russian economic infrastructure seems like a good plan, though I'm not sure why Ukraine wasn't doing that in March 2022, rather than March 2024.
The necessary weapons are just now being produced in sufficient quantity, in large part due to Oleksandr Kamyshin . He's been on the job for about a year.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 11:30 am to cypher
quote:
Overall, a Reuters analysis found the attacks have idled around 7% of Russian refining capacity in the first quarter.
Russia has already had repair issues at the major refineries in Samara region, 3 of which were hit. They have been operating well below capacity for months already.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 11:50 am to IAmNERD
quote:
The US has spent the last 20 years putting warheads on foreheads in the Middle East while some AirForce dude acts like he is playing a video game in a Connex box in some Nevada desert.
They have come up with ingenious ways to use what they have on ha d and have even started to develop and use some longer ranged drones, but they're nowhere near what the US, UK, and France are in capabilities. Especially without the west propping them up.
exactly
dunno what worse...that or people thinking the following
1) an emp takes out all electronics and things like cars wouldn't work etc
and
2) people thinking china is some advanced military with all kinds of advanced weapons
the lack of basic knowledge by so many is...well just laughable.
This post was edited on 3/18/24 at 12:33 pm
Posted on 3/18/24 at 11:58 am to NC_Tigah
18% of refining capacity was hit (not counting the topping plant) one had 2/3 of its crude units back (2 out of 3)
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:01 pm to CitizenK
If capacity for diesel is down ahead of planting season, it's not good. Farmers in Russia didn't make money last year. Only government is buying.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:07 pm to cypher
quote:
My understanding is that russia has no strategic crude reserve to buffer crude output. So whatever they produce has to be refined or exported.
Russia can choke wells to lower production per well. Shutting in presents problems with need to rework the well if it's down for say a month or so.
Being a producer rather than importer, there is no need for any large storage buffer. If increase in crude oil exports, it's to make up for lost revenue of the value added refined products. Production already costs around $50 per barrel of oil but Putin has levied taxes on top of this to pay for HIS war. With two major companies being essentially state owned (Gazprom and Rosneft) it's robbing Peter to pay Peter sort of thing.
Edit: Off Topic but our own Strategic Petroleum Reserve has been tits on a boar hog for about a decade, if not longer.
This post was edited on 3/18/24 at 12:13 pm
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:13 pm to StormyMcMan
quote:
NATO soldiers are already in Ukraine for arms control, intelligence operations and training - Spanish newspaper El Pais
I will take things that I have been telling this board for over a year Alex.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:36 pm to WeeWee
quote:
I will take things that I have been telling this board for over a year Alex.
I thought it was known that operators were in theater as early as spring 2022?
This isn't news, in other words.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:01 pm to RuLSU
The whole point of having special forces in theater is that you don't have to acknowledge them. They are special for a reason.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:05 pm to WeeWee
Belgium sending a new package worth €412 million. It includes artillery shells, 3 minesweepers and 300 Iveco Lynx multirole vehicles. Belgium sent 80 of these last year in a separate package also so in total they have sent 380.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:08 pm to GOP_Tiger
Sen. Lindsey Graham is in Kyiv right now and just met with Zelensky. Lindsey might be the most schizo politician we have.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:16 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
Sen. Lindsey Graham is in Kyiv right now and just met with Zelensky. Lindsey might be the most schizo politician we have.
Schizo? Nah, he's a hawk. If there are targets to be fired upon, Lindsey will advocate the purchase of bullets to ensure they are fired upon excessively.
Sadly, the perpetual agitation for more military usage has created a "boy who cries wolf" situation. When the arsenal of democracy was actually needed, it was 20+ years after the US lost credibility on military engagement.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:23 pm to RuLSU
we’re still paying for the sin of the Iraq war - domestically and internationally.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 2:34 pm to Hateradedrink
Sickening that this is allowed
Posted on 3/18/24 at 3:10 pm to ColtRange
quote:
Sickening that this is allowed
So you hate free speech. Got it.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 4:34 pm to WeeWee
quote:
I will take things that I have been telling this board for over a year Alex.
Also, observers. Any nation which hasn't sent military observers is STUPID. That has gone on for all wars and conflicts for well over a century.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 4:42 pm to RuLSU
quote:
When the arsenal of democracy was actually needed, it was 20+ years after the US lost credibility on military engagement.
The arsenal was gutted under Obama. There is a difference between arsenal and engagements.
FTR, Saddam had chem weapons agents mfg capability in the USA. I actually put my hands on it (with nitrile gloves of course)
Posted on 3/18/24 at 5:02 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
The Tsar Bomba was 50 megatons.
The bomb we're addressing here is 100 megatons.
That is quite speculative, the bigger issue is if it is cobalt salted. Cobalt has a fairly short half-life (IIRC 5 years or so) but it still would render land uninhabitable for an extended period of time.
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