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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:46 am to
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:46 am to
quote:

think we need to have real conversations about how we move on from here with Russian control of around 20% of Ukraine. Ukraine is just not gonna be capable of taking that land back right now IMO and Russia ain’t gonna stop until Ukraine comes to the table in some sort of way.


Great post, amigo
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8423 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:46 am to
quote:

I just think claiming our coup as some casus belli for Russia is funny cause they were doing the exact same thing at the exact same time



I don't think people are saying it is a casus belli, but the war doesn't happen had we not done it.

The other question in regards to the situation is "Would Ukraine be better off had we not done the coup?", and from there "Why does/should the US care either way?".
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:49 am to
quote:

The other question in regards to the situation is "Would Ukraine be better off had we not done the coup?",
well they'd be an actual honest to Christ Russian puppet state on the level of Belarus so probably not
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Russia has problems with corruption
rain is a little wet
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:51 am to
quote:

"Why does/should the US care either way?".


Because of our global Karenism.

Bureaucrats need something to do and build careers.

Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8423 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:53 am to
quote:

well they'd be an actual honest to Christ Russian puppet state on the level of Belarus so probably not



What do you think they will be by the end of this war then?

Half of the country destroyed, even outside of the thousands killed a lot of those who left when the war started won't come back once its over. I think at minimum they lose the territories in the east in an eventual peace deal.

I guess a better question would have been "Would the Ukrainian PEOPLE be better off had the US not done the coup?" and its becoming increasingly harder to say no by the day.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42747 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:55 am to
quote:

I don't think people are saying it is a casus belli, but the war doesn't happen had we not done it.


I believe Putin was going to go after Crimea once his guy was removed from office. The coup sped things up.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:55 am to
quote:

What do you think they will be by the end of this war then
an independent nation ruled by its own choices and decisions?
quote:

Would the Ukrainian PEOPLE be better off had the US not done the coup?"
well, considering they'd be living in a puppet state on the level of Belarus, probably not
This post was edited on 3/8/24 at 10:56 am
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42747 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 10:57 am to
quote:

So tell me O great soccerboi, how shall I improve my "vetting skill"? What crystal ball do you use? I tend to just read here and there, and when I see something claimed on numerous sites for days and days, usually it's true. What super duper sites are chads like you using to power your superior intellect. I'm guessing reddit.

I have the same problem that you have.

Unlike most of the guys on the PT board who can ascertain which sources are legit, which articles are factual, and which polls are correct immediately; I get fooled s as ll the time.

It’s a gift.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26821 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:00 am to
quote:

The guy was effectively “impeached” by the Ukrainian Congress and he fled to Russia.
Was it all perfectly by the book so to speak? I doubt it, but I believe the Ukrainians as a whole wanted to get away from Russia.


Non-Russian Ukrainians have a great deal of historically based animosity toward Moscow. Like Eastern Europe, they don't ever want to have to be under Moscow's thumb ever again.

Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42747 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Russia has problems with corruption, but the rule of law is much weaker in Ukraine. Ukraine is run by a number of oligarchs who do mixed business in legal and and illegal trades. Danilov is one of the most striking examples of that class of people, he’s a mobster.


Try googling Russian oligarths for 100.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8131 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:07 am to
quote:

Imagine if Russia or China was meddling in Mexico like that.

Sure, Mexico decides they want to join a trade alliance with China and Russia, or BRICs to simplify.

(Trade alliance does not preclude Mexico from trading with the US, BTW, it just means Mexico will focus more on BRICs)

... nothing changes, no invasion. Businesses in the US would wait to see how Mexico develops - richer or poorer - and then adjust their product/marketing strategy mix as a result.

Russia didn't invade in 2014 because of some US boogie man. Russia invaded because Ukraine wanted to join the EU. Once Ukraine joins the EU, the average Ukrainian will be richer than the average Russian within 3-5 years, and that's what Putin is really afraid of.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Sure, Mexico decides they want to join a trade alliance with China and Russia, or BRICs to simplify.

(Trade alliance does not preclude Mexico from trading with the US, BTW, it just means Mexico will focus more on BRICs)

... nothing changes, no invasion. Businesses in the US would wait to see how Mexico develops - richer or poorer - and then adjust their product/marketing strategy mix as a result.

Russia didn't invade in 2014 because of some US boogie man. Russia invaded because Ukraine wanted to join the EU. Once Ukraine joins the EU, the average Ukrainian will be richer than the average Russian within 3-5 years, and that's what Putin is really afraid of.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8423 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:10 am to
quote:

on the level of Belarus,


Funny you keep saying that since Ukraine and Belarus weren't drastically different by any QoL measures. They have been "on the level of Belarus" for a while now.

But I guess sending hordes of your own population to die over control of at least partially ethnically Russian areas increase in order to increase Raytheon profits on behalf of the US government sounds like a fairly sweet gig to some.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:

sending hordes of your own population to die over control of at least partially ethnically Russian areas increase in order to increase Raytheon profits on behalf of the US government 
you forgot about the nazi salt mine bio labs
This post was edited on 3/8/24 at 11:13 am
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21020 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Where do we go from here?

I’ve been an avid Ukraine supporter in this conflict since the beginning, really since 2013, but I think we need to have real conversations about how we move on from here with Russian control of around 20% of Ukraine. Ukraine is just not gonna be capable of taking that land back right now IMO and Russia ain’t gonna stop until Ukraine comes to the table in some sort of way.


Ukraine is not capable of an offensive in 2024 that will retake substantial territory. That's because last year's offensive used up the artillery shells in the West. It will take until 2025 before another such offensive is possible.

Until then, Ukraine needs to fight a war of attrition while increasing strategic control of the air and the sea.

F-16s this summer will help a lot, as will Ukraine's dynamic drone industry, which is running circles around Russia's right now in terms of development.

Russia is going to go broke eventually. They cannot keep this up indefinitely. The West, on the other hand, CAN afford to continue to support Ukraine. The economics of the long war do not work for Russia, unless the West quits supporting Ukraine.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8423 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:15 am to
quote:

a trade alliance


quote:

meddling


I don't think we invade Mexico even in an actually comparable case to what we are doing in Ukraine, but at least use a 1:1 comparison.

Mexico was also never part of the US. There aren't ethnically American areas in Mexico. Mexico doesn't control a key water access point for the US. The context is vastly different.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8423 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:17 am to
quote:

The West, on the other hand, CAN afford to continue to support Ukraine.


Posted by LSU7096
Member since May 2004
3022 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:21 am to
Obama's CIA and color revolutions
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11675 posts
Posted on 3/8/24 at 11:25 am to
Yeah I don't understand that either. If people haven't checked, we're pretty broke. Just because we're the broke people in a mobile home, not a homeless shelter, I guess that makes us flush with cash.
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