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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:12 am to
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
17240 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Because if Ukraine wins, we'll be leading the charge to rebuild the entire country and its going to cost exponentially more than the war.


Rebuilding Ukraine won't be a cost but an opportunity for our capitalists to make money.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15676 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Ok, so if we've got an infinite amount of money to spend and you're ok with it. Is there a tipping point as to how much you're willing to spend on Ukraine? If so, how much?


Falso premise. Do you save money by not changing the oil in your vehicles? Same goes for Ukraine. Cheapest money ever spent. Russia becomes not a threat after degradation in Ukraine. China sees what happens and that the coalition supporting Ukraine sticks together so forgets Taiwan.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39820 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:32 am to
quote:

We’re printing money we don’t have to give it to US contractors. That’s not a wild concept.


We aren't 'printing money.' The Fed has started 'quantitative tightening' since June of 2022, which in Powell's own words is 'shrinking the balance sheet.'

Regardless, your point is doesn't make any sense. If the Fed was participating in open market operations just to fund Ukraine, and for those funds to end up in the hands of US citizens (who happen to be contractors), that investment will lead to more economic growth. You are thinking of US debt as though it is like credit card debt, which it is not. Each dollar the US spends has an output attached to it, which increases the velocity of transactions done in dollars, which boosts GDP growth, which allows for the Fed to have a wide leeway in terms of monetary policy, both accommodative and restrictive.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Falso premise. Do you save money by not changing the oil in your vehicles? Same goes for Ukraine. Cheapest money ever spent. Russia becomes not a threat after degradation in Ukraine. China sees what happens and that the coalition supporting Ukraine sticks together so forgets Taiwan.

How much? It's not difficult
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
28562 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:42 am to
quote:

How much? It's not difficult


More than Russia.

If Russia wins when the west reaches a predetermined top figure, then Russia will starve itself to reach that top number. This is actually a Russian strategy, to try to find the limit of western assistance and then get western policy makers to say, "This much, and no more." Then Russia will do whatever it takes to ensure that the west spends to that limit. Then Russia wins.

So the actual correct answer in this situation is, the west will outspend Russia no matter how much Russia commits.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42608 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Well, that's just nonsense. We're printing money we don't have in the middle of the highest inflationary period in at least 40 years

How much cash are we giving them? How much are we spending to replace weapons we are giving Ukraine?

These are two big questions and it’s tough to get an answer.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:02 am to
quote:

Regardless, your point is doesn't make any sense. If the Fed was participating in open market operations just to fund Ukraine, and for those funds to end up in the hands of US citizens (who happen to be contractors), that investment will lead to more economic growth. You are thinking of US debt as though it is like credit card debt, which it is not. Each dollar the US spends has an output attached to it, which increases the velocity of transactions done in dollars, which boosts GDP growth, which allows for the Fed to have a wide leeway in terms of monetary policy, both accommodative and restrictive

If this were the case, we would never have a recession
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:03 am to
quote:

More than Russia.


We're already doing that. How much?
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39820 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:14 am to
quote:

If this were the case, we would never have a recession



Lol, what a terrible response to being completely wrong about the Fed 'printing money.' That the fact that recessions can occur isn't evidence that dollars spent by the US aren't output-dependent. The fact that the traditional notions of Keynesian economics includes governments spending more in recessionary phases doesn't mean that governments can prevent recessions through spending alone. Every thing in the economy is output-dependent. You can have recessions which are dependent on supply-chain crises, you can have recessions linked to the overextension of credit, you can have asset bubbles, and on and on.

When the Fed participates in open market operations by selling a security, the asset has to go somewhere. You aren't thinking anything through.

Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8192 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:14 am to
Does your husband ever tell you to stop nagging?
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Does your husband ever tell you to stop nagging?

Feel free to answer as well. No one else will
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20968 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:37 am to
Almost no rain forecasted in the south this week for the first time in months. Maybe it will start to dry out a bit.


Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
24857 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:40 am to
Ask the correct board, you get answers.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39820 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Feel free to answer as well. No one else will



As much as it takes.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8165 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:11 am to
I will answer you as best I can.

I do not have a fixed dollar amount that we shouldn't go over. I do worry about the deficit and the amount of government spending that has occurred in the last 3 years. On top of Trump's economic stimulus spending which was large, this current administration has passed over $7 TRILLION dollars of new spending. $100B is 1.43% of this. What about the other 98.57%? Are you as worried about that as you are about the 1.43%?

I get that Ukraine is a very visible, in-your-face, kind of expenditure, but this never-ending talking point on the cost of the aid seems very misplaced to me given everything else being spent.

So, how much is enough? I think we continue to provide them with munitions and heavy equipment support in the short term. We should provide everything we can to help their upcoming offensive be successful.

If that offensive fails to alter the situation on the battlefield in a material way and a long-term stalemate appears inevitable, then I think that's the point where we reevaluate what our go-forward support looks like.



Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15676 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:26 am to
That person doesn't have the intellectual capacity to understand very much.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:36 am to
quote:

As much as it takes.


$5 trillion? Less? More?
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138902 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:38 am to
quote:

So, how much is enough? I think we continue to provide them with munitions and heavy equipment support in the short term. We should provide everything we can to help their upcoming offensive be successful.

If that offensive fails to alter the situation on the battlefield in a material way and a long-term stalemate appears inevitable, then I think that's the point where we reevaluate what our go-forward support looks like.


Ok, and what if Ukarine wins? How much are you willing to spend to rebuild?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20968 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:40 am to
(Russian website) TopWar

Acting Governor: Armed Forces of Ukraine have captured part of the "gray zone" of the Zaporozhye region and are shelling settlements

quote:

Ukrainian formations have now invaded the "gray zone" of the Zaporozhye region and occupied part of it. This was stated on the air of the Russia 24 TV channel by the acting governor of the Russian Zaporozhye region Evgeny Balitsky.

Meanwhile, the leader of the movement "We are with Russia" Vladimir Rogov, who constantly comments on the events in the Zaporozhye region, said that for an hour and a half the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been conducting a massive shelling of several villages in the region. As Rogov wrote in his Telegram channel, Ukrainian formations are shelling the settlements of Kamenka-Dneprovskaya, Velyka (Bolshaya) Znamenka, Vodyane. The fire is conducted from guns of caliber 152 mm. To date, about 20 arrivals have been recorded, Vladimir Rogov said.

The listed settlements are located not far from Energodar, where a strategically important facility is located - the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. On the other side of the Dnieper is Nikopol, controlled by Ukrainian forces.

It should be noted that earlier, many Western analysts called the Zaporozhye region one of the most likely directions of the counteroffensive of Ukrainian formations announced for the spring - early summer of 2023.

Of course, it is unlikely that this counter-offensive has already begun with the shelling of villages or the occupation of sites in the "gray zone" of the Zaporozhye region. But it is possible that the Ukrainian formations are thereby trying to conduct reconnaissance in force, probing the positions and capabilities of Russian troops, and also diverting Russian forces, creating the appearance of military activity in this area.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20968 posts
Posted on 4/24/23 at 10:44 am to
Tucker Carlson is out at FoxNews. Now, who will Putin get to repeat his talking points?
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