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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:08 pm to GeauxxxTigers23
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:08 pm to GeauxxxTigers23
Not really. Is Ukraine out of ammo or just low on artillery shells? How low is the Russian ammo? How effective is Russia moving ammo from front to front on rail/highways in range of Ukraine?
0
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:11 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
Please provide some links to back this statement up. I follow this war closer than most and I haven't seen anyone (much less a vast majority) make this statement.
I am quite certain that Tucker's favorite military analyst, Col. MacGregor, has said that Ukraine is spent and done, but this wouldn't be the first time he has said it and not the first time he is wrong, as in every prediction he has made thus far.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:16 pm to CitizenK
quote:
I am quite certain that Tucker's favorite military analyst, Col. MacGregor, has said that Ukraine is spent and done, but this wouldn't be the first time he has said it and not the first time he is wrong, as in every prediction he has made thus far.
Fair enough, but still nowhere close to a majority.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:17 pm to CitizenK
Scott Ritter has been saying that the Ukrainians are about to be destroyed and that a Russian victory is inevitable. He's been saying that daily since this began. He said it every day that the Russians were retreating in panic. He is still saying it.
Scott Ritter is an idiot who has never been correct about anything in this war.
Scott Ritter is an idiot who has never been correct about anything in this war.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:33 pm to TBoy
quote:
Scott Ritter is an idiot who has never been correct about anything in this war.
Scott Ritter is a pedophile and convicted sex offender.
Anyone giving that asshat a second thought is wasting their time.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 5:58 pm to El Segundo Guy
quote:
Scott Ritter is a pedophile and convicted sex offender.
you took the words right out of my mouth. He also has no actual tactics and strategy experience, just weapons inspection which he was a failure at.
Edit - He was also an intelligence (aerial/satellite) analyst. Storming Norman was not a fan of this work. Just saying
This post was edited on 11/30/22 at 6:55 pm
Posted on 11/30/22 at 8:52 pm to ImaObserver
ISW Update
quote:
Russian efforts around Bakhmut indicate that Russian forces have fundamentally failed to learn from previous high-casualty campaigns concentrated on objectives of limited operational or strategic significance
quote:
Even if Russian troops continue to advance toward and within Bakhmut, and even if they force a controlled Ukrainian withdrawal from the city (as was the case in Lysychansk), Bakhmut itself offers them little operational benefit. The costs associated with six months of brutal, grinding, and attrition-based combat around Bakhmut far outweigh any operational advantage that the Russians can obtain from taking Bakhmut. Russian offensives around Bakhmut, on the other hand, are consuming a significant proportion of Russia’s available combat power, potentially facilitating continued Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere.
quote:
Russian state nuclear power company Rosatom stated that the former chief engineer of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) has become the new director of the ZNPP
quote:
The Kremlin continues efforts to stifle domestic dissent through legislation that broadens the definition of “foreign agents” and those amenable to foreign influence
quote:
The Belarusian Minster of Defense made comments likely in support of ongoing information operations, and some Russian sources reframed those comments so as to place further pressure on Belarusian officials to support Russia’s war in Ukraine.
quote:
Russian opinion polling suggests that the Russian public may be tiring of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Russian opposition media outlet Meduza reported on November 30 that it had gained access to the results of an opinion poll commissioned by the Kremlin for internal use that shows that 55 percent of Russians favor peace talks with Ukraine and 25 percent favor continuing the war
quote:
Key Takeaways
The Russian military’s efforts around Bakhmut suggest that Russian forces failed to learn from previous costly campaigns focused on operationally insignificant settlements.
Russian state nuclear company Rosenergoatom appointed a new director for the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
The Kremlin continues efforts to stifle domestic dissent through an expansion of measures ostensibly aimed against “foreign agents.”
Russian opinion polling suggests that the Russian public may be growing tired of Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Russian forces continued efforts to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations along the Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russia forces continued to make incremental gains around Bakhmut and to conduct offensive operations in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area.
A Ukrainian official acknowledged that Ukrainian forces are conducting an operation on the Kinburn Spit.
Russian and Ukrainian sources indicated that Russian officials are continuing to conduct partial mobilization measures.
Russian officials’ ongoing efforts to integrate illegally annexed territories into the Russian Federation are likely very disorganized.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 9:13 pm to CitizenK
To play a little devil’s advocate here I’m sure both sides are exhausted right now both physically and with ammunition. That’s just normal after almost 10 months of hard fighting. The big thing is though when soldiers get exhausted they lose discipline and make mistakes so the force with the better trained and equipped troops have a distinct advantage. Even the biggest Putin loving troll cocksucker cannot deny which side has the better trained and equipped force right now and that is without a doubt the Ukrainians. They have shown time and time again they are superior in the field tactically and they actually have their troops outfitted with proper cold weather gear and body armor whereas the Russians have been sent to the front with WW2 era uniforms, helmets that can be crushed by punching them with a fist, body armor that isn’t really armor but is filled with foam and no tourniquets or bandages but tampons instead. The Russians are undisciplined, undersupplied, not unified and are filthy soldiers. Next time you see pictures of the trenches for a Ukraine and the trenches for the Russians take notice. One is full of trash and knee deep in mud and water and the other takes pride in their fighting positions while having places to get dry and warm and most importantly keep their dry kits so they aren’t always soaking wet and freezing 24/7. This is all before you factor in the biggest advantage for Ukraine which is the fact that they are fighting on their own land for their homes and families so motivation will always be on their side.
Posted on 11/30/22 at 9:58 pm to Obtuse1
quote:
Speaking of melting back, in 8.5 hours OML is down another month. If he comes back will he just slide his goalposts to Dec or just say frick it and go winter of 2032.
I think baw is banland... for this gem of an egg bowl melt
Posted on 11/30/22 at 10:12 pm to MoarKilometers
quote:
I think baw is banland... for this gem of an egg bowl melt
So much for booger sugar helping him achieve sanity.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 4:26 am to Chromdome35
quote:
What is with all these alters lately.
I downvote, and then RA.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 6:28 am to MoarKilometers
quote:
I think baw is banland... for this gem of an egg bowl melt
Guy’s got some serious issues
Posted on 12/1/22 at 6:29 am to GeauxxxTigers23
Random tweets
LINK
LINK
LINK
LINK
LINK
quote:
The Russians are starting a "planned evacuation" from the city of Polohy to the temporarily occupied Mariupol, military expert, pilot-instructor and reserve colonel Roman Svitan said.
The number of the so-called 500s, i.e. Russian soldiers who refuse to fight, has increased significantly. Mi-8 and Mi-24 fly in special units and catch dozens of deserters," he said.
LINK
quote:
#German Minister of State for Europe @AnnaLuehrmann has said that negotiations on #Ukraine's accession to the #EU may begin soon.
According to her, #Kyiv has made impressive progress and maintained a "momentum of reforms
LINK
quote:
Switzerland has frozen Russian assets worth almost $8 billion.
In addition, 15 real estate objects of Russians were arrested, the Ministry of Economy of the country reported.
LINK
quote:
A fire broke out in a warehouse in the suburbs of Moscow, Russian media reports.
The area of ??the fire is 450 square meters. m. Employees of the Ministry of Emergency Situations are working on the spot. The causes of the fire are unknown, as are the number of victims.
LINK
quote:
Air defense systems are operating over the Belgorod region (Russia), local residents report.
LINK
Posted on 12/1/22 at 6:48 am to RLDSC FAN
British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 01 December 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
Since October 2022, Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukraine's electricity distribution grid, primarily with cruise missiles. This is likely the first example of Russia attempting to implement the concept of a Strategic Operation for the Destruction of Critically Important Targets (SODCIT), a key component of the military doctrine it has adopted in recent years.
Russia envisioned SODCIT as using long-range missiles to strike an enemy state's critical national infrastructure, rather than its military forces, to demoralise the population and ultimately force the state's leaders to capitulate.
Russia's strikes continue to cause power shortages resulting in indiscriminate, widespread humanitarian suffering across Ukraine. However, its effectiveness as a strategy has likely been blunted because Russia has already expended a large proportion of its suitable missiles against tactical targets. Also, with Ukraine having successfully mobilised for nine months, material and psychological effect of the SODCIT is likely less than if it was deployed in the initial period of a war.
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 01 December 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
Since October 2022, Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukraine's electricity distribution grid, primarily with cruise missiles. This is likely the first example of Russia attempting to implement the concept of a Strategic Operation for the Destruction of Critically Important Targets (SODCIT), a key component of the military doctrine it has adopted in recent years.
Russia envisioned SODCIT as using long-range missiles to strike an enemy state's critical national infrastructure, rather than its military forces, to demoralise the population and ultimately force the state's leaders to capitulate.
Russia's strikes continue to cause power shortages resulting in indiscriminate, widespread humanitarian suffering across Ukraine. However, its effectiveness as a strategy has likely been blunted because Russia has already expended a large proportion of its suitable missiles against tactical targets. Also, with Ukraine having successfully mobilised for nine months, material and psychological effect of the SODCIT is likely less than if it was deployed in the initial period of a war.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 7:36 am to cypher
Russian Public Support for War Plummets – Leaked Poll
A leaked Kremlin poll has revealed that public support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has dropped significantly, with just one in four Russians now in favor.
Published by the Kremlin’s Federal Guard Service (FSO), the report was intended for the eyes of senior government officials, but was leaked to independent Russian news site Meduza.
The fall in public support for keeping Russian soldiers in Ukraine (down from 57 percent in July), follows widespread disapproval of President Vladimir Putin’s calls for mobilization and the forced conscription of hundreds of thousands of Russian men to the front lines.
Last week, the Russian president attempted to placate the public backlash by meeting with the wives and mothers of Russian troops, telling them not to believe “lies” about the invasion during a special event held at his personal residence in Nov-Ogarevo, near Moscow.
“I want you to know that I personally, all the leaders of the country, share this pain,” he said. “We know that nothing can replace the loss of a son.”
The meeting was slammed by the founder of Russia’s Council of Mothers and Wives, Olga Tsukanova, who said in a video address that Putin should meet with “real mothers,” rather than “hand-picked” individuals.
It was later revealed that only one of the 17 women who attended the meeting actually had a son conscripted into the army.
The Kyiv Post
A leaked Kremlin poll has revealed that public support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has dropped significantly, with just one in four Russians now in favor.
Published by the Kremlin’s Federal Guard Service (FSO), the report was intended for the eyes of senior government officials, but was leaked to independent Russian news site Meduza.
The fall in public support for keeping Russian soldiers in Ukraine (down from 57 percent in July), follows widespread disapproval of President Vladimir Putin’s calls for mobilization and the forced conscription of hundreds of thousands of Russian men to the front lines.
Last week, the Russian president attempted to placate the public backlash by meeting with the wives and mothers of Russian troops, telling them not to believe “lies” about the invasion during a special event held at his personal residence in Nov-Ogarevo, near Moscow.
“I want you to know that I personally, all the leaders of the country, share this pain,” he said. “We know that nothing can replace the loss of a son.”
The meeting was slammed by the founder of Russia’s Council of Mothers and Wives, Olga Tsukanova, who said in a video address that Putin should meet with “real mothers,” rather than “hand-picked” individuals.
It was later revealed that only one of the 17 women who attended the meeting actually had a son conscripted into the army.
The Kyiv Post
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:02 am to cypher
And this is not the only poll that's shown declining Russian support for the war. There have been two others that came from completely different sources.
The question is when the when the breaking point comes. It's why Ukraine is going to continue to put substantial pressure on Russian troops and there won't be any winter lull in the fighting.
The question is when the when the breaking point comes. It's why Ukraine is going to continue to put substantial pressure on Russian troops and there won't be any winter lull in the fighting.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:43 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Cobra Tate Registered on: 11/24/2022
STD alter
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:53 am to Chromdome35
quote:
IQ0f7 I have a few questions for you related to the Russian Troll farm ecosystem.
How does the Troll farm pay you for your work?
1) Are you contracted for x length of time?
2) Are you paid for each post?
3) Are you assigned a set of target sites to troll?
Are you an American citizen?
Are you given a list of talking points to parrot?
What's your view on the recent revelations about the head of Wagner and his status in prison?
...And how did you find Tigerdroppings? You guys troll here quite a bit. Is LSU football popular in Russia?
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:54 am to GeauxxxTigers23
quote:
Don’t take your war news from some silly European women.
The OT would be clueless if that happened.
Posted on 12/1/22 at 8:54 am to Chromdome35
Here is a CNN article from June 12th talking about Russia's impending capture of Bahkmut...boy they sure missed this prediction.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/12/europe/bakhmut-donetsk-russia-ukraine-intl-cmd
Here we are 150+ days later and Russia still is trying to take Bahkmut...talk about a pathetic show of military power. Face it, Russia's army is no better than a 3rd world power. Truly pathetic.
ETA: Here is an article from APRIL 13th 2022 discussing the war closing in on Bahkmut. How terrible is the Russian Army if it can't take one small city from its much smaller neighbor in over SEVEN months?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/13/i-had-blood-all-over-me-kramatorsk-station-attack-survivors-face-long-road-to-recovery
https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/12/europe/bakhmut-donetsk-russia-ukraine-intl-cmd
Here we are 150+ days later and Russia still is trying to take Bahkmut...talk about a pathetic show of military power. Face it, Russia's army is no better than a 3rd world power. Truly pathetic.
ETA: Here is an article from APRIL 13th 2022 discussing the war closing in on Bahkmut. How terrible is the Russian Army if it can't take one small city from its much smaller neighbor in over SEVEN months?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/13/i-had-blood-all-over-me-kramatorsk-station-attack-survivors-face-long-road-to-recovery
This post was edited on 12/1/22 at 9:00 am
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