re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

British Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 29 November 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

Over the last three months, Russian forces in Ukraine have likely largely stopped deploying as Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs).

The BTG concept has played a major part in Russian military doctrine for the last ten years, and saw battalions integrated with a full range of supporting sub-units, including armour, reconnaissance and (in a departure from usual Western practice) artillery.

Several intrinsic weaknesses of the BTG concept have been exposed in the high intensity, large-scale combat of the Ukraine war so far. BTGs' relatively small allocation of combat infantry has often proved insufficient. Decentralised distribution of artillery has not allowed Russia to fully leverage its advantage in numbers of guns; and few BTG commanders have been empowered to flexibly exploit opportunities in the way the BTG model was designed to promote.

Oh boy, so Wagner Group (Lots of neo SS) is ghey?

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I couldn't stop laughing.

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On the outskirts of Kherson in the village of Pravdyne, a new mass burial of people killed by the Russian military was discovered. The bodies were found with their hands tied and blindfolded. All were shot in the head at close range

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How anybody can believe that Russia is in the right is beyond me.

The billboard in Moscow:

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Now this new one about PMC Wagner being ghey.

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I also posted in Politard board which will get a LOT of thumbs down

Check this doozy out from the poli board....

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isw update

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Russian forces made marginal gains around Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed. Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces made marginal advances southeast of Bakhmut but ISW remains unable to confirm most other claimed gains around Bakhmut made since November 27.[1] Some Russian milbloggers made unsubstantiated claims that Russian forces broke through the Ukrainian defensive line south of Bakhmut along the T0513 highway to advance towards Chasiv Yar, which would cut one of two remaining main Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Bakhmut, but such claims are likely part of a continuing Russian information operation and are premature, as ISW has previously assessed.[2] ISW continues to assess that the degraded Russian forces around Bakhmut are unlikely to place Bakhmut under threat of imminent encirclement rapidly.[3]

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The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (MoD) reported on November 29 that Russian forces have likely stopped deploying battalion tactical groups (BTGs) in the past three months. The UK MoD stated that the BTGs‘ relatively low allocation of infantry, decentralized distribution of artillery, and the limited independence of BTG decision-making hindered their success in Ukraine.[5] ISW assessed starting in April that Russian BTGs were degraded in various failed or culminated Russian offensives, including the attacks on Kyiv, Mariupol, Severodonetsk, and Lysychansk, and later efforts to reconstitute these BTGs to restore their combat power have failed.[6] Russian forces have likely since thrown their remaining combat power and new personnel, including mobilized personnel, into poorly trained, equipped, and organized ad hoc structures with low morale and discipline.[7] The structure of BTGs and the way the Russian military formed them by breaking up doctrinal battalions, regiments, and brigades likely deprived the Russians of the ability to revert to doctrinal organizations, as ISW has previously assessed, so that the Russians must now rely on ad-hoc structures with mobilized personnel.[8]

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Key Takeaways

Russian forces made marginal gains around Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed.

The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (MoD) reported that Russian forces have likely stopped deploying battalion tactical groups (BTGs) in the past three months, supporting ISW’s prior assessments.

Russian forces continued to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations around Svatove as Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations around Svatove and Kreminna.

Russian forces continued limited ground attacks west of Kreminna to regain lost positions.

Russian forces conducted ground attacks near Siversk and Avdiivka, and in western Donetsk Oblast.

Russian forces continued strengthening defensive positions in eastern Kherson Oblast as Ukrainian forces continued striking Russian force concentrations in southern Ukraine.

Russian forces continued to struggle with outdated equipment and domestic personnel shortages amid official actions indicative of a probable second wave of mobilization.

An independent investigation found that Russia may have transported thousands of Ukrainian prisoners from penal colonies in occupied Ukraine to Russia following the withdrawal from the west bank of Kherson Oblast.

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Russian TV lamenting being third in the satellite arena. Skabeeva asks will one satellite help...

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Skabeeva again. They are preparing to take Crimea so what can we do but bomb them every say

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Simonyan is upset Ukraine is fighting back...

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Continuing on my crazy Russian women theme Drapeko (a Duma member) saying Ukraine is Russia and is implying that it is an internal matter so it surprised them other countries are helping out.

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From the above clip




Santa has a new tactical sleigh

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Solovyov planning to send paratroopers to Berlin.

Someone might want to tell him Russia only has about 120 Il-76 transports so their whole fleet couldn't even drop 2 full regiments in a single sortie. I am also willing to be the only way one of them touches back down in the Motherland is if it fakes engine problems shuts down two and limps back to Russia before it gets out of Ukraine or Belarus airspace. When he says there won't be anything left of it the it must be referring to the Russians sent on that suicide mission. He is a master at writing checks his (Russia's) arse can't cash, I don't care how fat it is.

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Russian journalist Oleg Kashin speaking some truth, he better stay away from windows and cigarettes.

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Talking heads fighting over how fast Ukraine is restoring power

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What generators?









Maybe these or the small portable ones you see all along the streets in Ukrainian cities now.


Solovyov with a message to Europe, we are always breaking Europeans.

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Russian ambassador to the UK getting grilled on the BBC about having to leave Kherson

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Solovyov going the dulce et decorum est pro patria mori route with war

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE
30 November 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

In July 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin approved amendments to the 2012 'Foreign Agents Law', which has been widely used to repress opponents of the regime. The new measures are scheduled to come into force on 01 December 2022.

The 2012 law defined 'foreign agents' as individuals or organisations who have received financial support from abroad. The amendments will extend the definition to those which are merely under undefined 'influence or pressure' of foreign actors. The Ministry of Justice will also have the power to publish the personal details and addresses of designated 'foreign agents, almost certainly placing them at risk of harassment.

The new laws will further extend the repressive powers available to the Russian state. This continues a trend since Putin returned to the presidency in 2012, but which has dramatically accelerated since the invasion of Ukraine. The Kremlin is likely acting pre-emptively to prevent greater domestic dissent as the conflict remains unresolved and increasingly impacts Russians' everyday lives.