re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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One more reason he was a great President

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that couldn't even defend his own seat

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Russian TV

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Please pardon my ignorance, but when everyone mentions Russian TV, and that guy in the Steven Seagal costume speaks, what level of exposure are we talking here? Similar to our ABC, NBC major broadcasting networks? Or more so some sort of subscription service, online episodes or something of the sort? Is this just every day, common mainstream television?

isw update

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Russian forces conducted another massive wave of missiles strikes targeting critical Ukrainian infrastructure across the country on October 31, likely in an attempt to degrade Ukraine’s will to fight as temperatures drop

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Russian occupation officials once again shifted their rhetoric regarding the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (HPP) and are likely setting information conditions to continue to drive evacuations from the west bank of the Dnipro River and provide rhetorical cover for a Russian withdrawal from the area

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Russian forces are likely continuing to move troops and military assets across the Dnipro River in anticipation of Ukrainian advances towards Kherson City

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Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin continued his efforts to increase his status among Russian elites and his presence in St. Petersburg by attacking local officials and announcing the creation of a PMC Wagner Center in St. Petersburg on October 31.

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Key Takeaways

Russian forces launched another massive wave of strikes against critical Ukrainian infrastructure, further damaging the power grid and leaving much of Kyiv without water.

Russian officials again changed their minds about the risk of Ukrainian forces destroying the Kakhovka dam, ordering evacuations of areas that could be flooded. There is no scenario in which Ukraine would benefit from destroying the dam, and this rhetoric is likely meant to speed evacuations and provide informational cover for Russian withdrawals from the west bank.

Russian forces are continuing to withdraw from the west bank of the Dnipro River even as they set conditions to fight for positions around Kherson City.

Wagner Private Military Company financier Evgeniy Prigozhin sought to bring charges against the St. Petersburg mayor for corruption and announced the imminent opening of the PMC Wagner Center in St. Petersburg. Prigozhin also attacked “oligarchs” and “elites” for living in comfort and preventing the full mobilization of Russia.

Russian sources continued to claim that Ukrainian troops conducted counter-offensive operations in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast and along the Svatove-Kreminna line on October 30 and 31.

Russian forces continued defensive operations and Russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces continued counter-offensive operations in Kherson Oblast on October 30 and 31.

The Ukrainian interdiction campaign is reportedly damaging Russian forces exfiltrating across the Dnipro River.

Russian forces continued ground attacks around Bakhmut on October 30 and 31.

Russian sources claimed that Russian troops made incremental gains in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area on October 30 and 31, but ISW cannot verify these claims.

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) is likely attempting to prevent draft dodging by trying to deceive the Russian population into believing that autumn conscripts will not be sent to fight in Ukraine.

The MoD also announced the end of partial mobilization on October 31, executing Russian President Vladimir Putin’s order to end mobilization by the end of October

Local Russian governments remain responsible for even basic provisions to mobilized personnel, demonstrating the inefficiency of crowdfunding efforts and uncoordinated supply lines to support a modern military.

Russian occupation authorities in Kherson Oblast announced that they would allow the use of Ukrainian hryvnias alongside Russian rubles, demonstrating the failure of their monthslong rubleization efforts in Kherson.

Russian officials continue to create poor conditions in occupied parts of Kherson Oblast, likely to drive local inhabitants to evacuate.

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They probably need ATACMS and possibly western Fighter jets to be able to really effectively push back the Russians.

It doesn’t seem like the Ukrainians have the force to push the Russians off balance and keep them there long enough to sustain an offensive. The Russians seem to have adapted to the current HIMARS missiles and are decentralizing ammo dumps and keeping them further back.

The Ukrainians already have HIMARS, so giving them better protectiles would be a small step to equalize the force equation.

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The Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Shoigu stated during the address that:

— Conscripts will not go to the "special military operation" zone;

- 87,000 people out of 300,000 called up as part of partial mobilization were sent to the areas of hostilities;

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LINK

So Russia just admitted to sending at least 87,000 to the front with less than 41 days of training

British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 01 November 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

Imagery showed two MiG-31K FOXHOUND interceptor jets were almost certainly parked at Belarus's Machulishchi Airfield on 17 October, with a large canister stored nearby within a protective earth berm. It is likely that the canister is associated with the AS-24 KILLJOY air launched ballistic missile, a large munition which the MiG-31K variant is adapted to carry.

Russia has fielded KILLJOY since 2018, but it has not previously been deployed in Belarus. Russia has occasionally launched these weapons during the Ukraine war, but stocks are likely very limited. It continues to expend its advanced long-range munitions against targets of limited operational importance.

With a range of over 2000km, basing KILLJOY in Belarus gives Russia little added advantage in terms of striking additional targets within Ukraine. It has likely carried out the deployment mainly to message to the West and to portray Belarus as increasingly complicit in the war.

Hungary is now paying the price for their insistence on buying Russian gas.

Literally, they are paying five times as much as what the rest of Europe is paying.

LINK Google translation below:

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If we start from previous data, the average price of Russian gas imports to Hungary in October may be around HUF 900 per cubic meter . On the other hand, at last week's lowest point, the stock market quotation was around HUF 120 per cubic meter, and even the weekly average did not reach a fifth of the estimated Russian price.

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None of you at all question why we keep pushing this war forward almost a year later?

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Well it's obvious we are keeping the war going because Hunter Biden made $600k once, our biolabs only mere miles from the Russian border creating weaponized virus birds, we support the evil Jewish nazi Zelenskyy, democrats need to launder their money, the Big Guy needs his 10%, and I'm almost sure drag queens, libraries, and the city of Chicago are all involved as well

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Why dont they commit to a getting a peace deal done?

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Is “they” Russia????

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None of you at all question why we keep pushing this war forward almost a year later?

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The war started in 2014. It ramped up in February, 8 months ago.

We haven’t pushed anything, but when Russia ramped things up, we ramped up our aid. I would think we would lower our aid if Russia backed down.

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Why dont they commit to a getting a peace deal done?

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None of you at all question why we keep pushing this war forward almost a year later?

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Tell me what you think the resolution should be that leaves the US better off on the world stage from this day forward. See if you can provide at least some detail and propose something you truly think is possible. Something that would make sense for Ukraine and the West, that Putin would accept. I’ll wait (I’m sure for eternity).